Oklahoma
Big 12
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#40
Expected Predictive Rating+13.5#35
Pace62.7#326
Improvement+0.1#70

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#77
First Shot+7.3#26
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#338
Layup/Dunks+6.4#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#132
Freethrows-0.2#189
Improvement+0.3#14

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#39
First Shot+2.5#103
After Offensive Rebounds+4.3#15
Layups/Dunks-6.9#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#95
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#40
Freethrows+2.9#43
Improvement-0.1#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 1.7% 2.6% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 8.8% 12.7% 4.4%
Top 6 Seed 22.5% 29.7% 14.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 53.1% 62.8% 42.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 50.7% 60.7% 39.6%
Average Seed 7.3 6.9 7.9
.500 or above 67.4% 78.3% 55.1%
.500 or above in Conference 33.0% 38.7% 26.6%
Conference Champion 2.5% 3.4% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 20.5% 16.8% 24.7%
First Four6.4% 6.3% 6.4%
First Round50.1% 59.7% 39.4%
Second Round28.6% 35.6% 20.7%
Sweet Sixteen11.1% 14.3% 7.5%
Elite Eight4.1% 5.3% 2.7%
Final Four1.4% 1.7% 0.9%
Championship Game0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Villanova (Away) - 53.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 11
Quad 25 - 311 - 14
Quad 32 - 013 - 14
Quad 44 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 59   Sam Houston St. L 51-52 68%     0 - 1 +4.6 -14.1 +18.7
  Nov 11, 2022 336   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 66-58 98%     1 - 1 -6.9 -10.0 +3.3
  Nov 15, 2022 138   UNC Wilmington W 74-53 86%     2 - 1 +20.2 +12.8 +10.4
  Nov 18, 2022 144   South Alabama W 64-60 87%     3 - 1 +2.6 -3.4 +6.3
  Nov 24, 2022 91   Nebraska W 69-56 69%     4 - 1 +18.6 +8.7 +12.0
  Nov 25, 2022 68   Seton Hall W 77-64 60%     5 - 1 +21.1 +14.9 +7.0
  Nov 27, 2022 64   Mississippi W 59-55 59%     6 - 1 +12.2 +2.7 +10.4
  Dec 03, 2022 79   @ Villanova W 64-63 53%    
  Dec 06, 2022 282   UMKC W 72-52 97%    
  Dec 10, 2022 15   Arkansas L 63-69 29%    
  Dec 17, 2022 317   Central Arkansas W 82-59 98%    
  Dec 20, 2022 66   Florida W 70-68 59%    
  Dec 31, 2022 4   Texas L 61-67 30%    
  Jan 04, 2023 33   Iowa St. W 62-60 58%    
  Jan 07, 2023 27   @ Texas Tech L 59-65 31%    
  Jan 10, 2023 17   @ Kansas L 62-70 22%    
  Jan 14, 2023 14   West Virginia L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 18, 2023 38   @ Oklahoma St. L 63-66 39%    
  Jan 21, 2023 20   Baylor L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 24, 2023 52   @ TCU L 63-65 43%    
  Jan 28, 2023 12   Alabama L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 01, 2023 38   Oklahoma St. W 66-63 60%    
  Feb 04, 2023 14   @ West Virginia L 61-70 21%    
  Feb 08, 2023 20   @ Baylor L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 11, 2023 17   Kansas L 65-67 41%    
  Feb 14, 2023 45   Kansas St. W 66-62 63%    
  Feb 18, 2023 4   @ Texas L 58-70 15%    
  Feb 21, 2023 27   Texas Tech W 63-62 52%    
  Feb 25, 2023 33   @ Iowa St. L 59-63 37%    
  Mar 01, 2023 45   @ Kansas St. L 63-65 41%    
  Mar 04, 2023 52   TCU W 66-62 65%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.2 2.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.4 2.9 4.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.2 5.2 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.1 2.4 0.2 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.4 3.3 0.3 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.5 3.5 0.4 0.0 14.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.6 5.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 13.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.2 3.7 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.0 13.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.3 4.8 8.0 10.6 13.4 13.6 13.3 11.2 9.0 5.9 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 90.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 70.2% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 41.3% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 13.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
11-7 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 13.8% 86.2% 1.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.9% 100.0% 14.9% 85.1% 2.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.0% 100.0% 11.7% 88.3% 3.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 3.5% 100.0% 9.0% 91.0% 4.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 5.9% 99.8% 9.3% 90.5% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
10-8 9.0% 99.4% 7.4% 92.1% 6.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.4%
9-9 11.2% 96.8% 5.8% 91.0% 7.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 2.8 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 96.6%
8-10 13.3% 80.4% 5.0% 75.4% 8.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.2 2.3 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.6 79.3%
7-11 13.6% 47.5% 4.1% 43.4% 10.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1 45.3%
6-12 13.4% 19.1% 3.5% 15.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.8 16.2%
5-13 10.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.8% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.2 1.8%
4-14 8.0% 2.4% 2.3% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.8 0.1%
3-15 4.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 4.7
2-16 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 2.3
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 53.1% 4.9% 48.2% 7.3 0.4 1.2 2.8 4.4 6.4 7.2 7.1 6.2 5.0 4.4 4.6 2.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 46.9 50.7%