Stanford
Pac-12
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#79
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#147
Pace65.8#257
Improvement-0.2#198

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#131
First Shot-2.7#262
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#13
Layup/Dunks+0.5#154
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#324
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#201
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement-0.3#310

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#47
First Shot+1.2#137
After Offensive Rebounds+4.4#5
Layups/Dunks+1.1#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#221
Freethrows+0.8#143
Improvement+0.1#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 12.9% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.9% 9.1% 2.3%
Average Seed 11.2 10.3 12.0
.500 or above 47.0% 67.4% 40.5%
.500 or above in Conference 48.8% 69.4% 42.3%
Conference Champion 1.2% 3.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.5% 2.0%
First Four2.0% 3.0% 1.7%
First Round6.2% 11.7% 4.5%
Second Round2.0% 3.9% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Home) - 24.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 9
Quad 23 - 55 - 14
Quad 33 - 18 - 15
Quad 47 - 015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 228   Pacific W 88-78 89%     1 - 0 +3.4 +3.3 -0.6
  Nov 11, 2022 35   Wisconsin L 50-60 35%     1 - 1 +1.0 -11.7 +12.2
  Nov 15, 2022 25   San Diego St. L 62-74 36%     1 - 2 -1.2 -2.0 +0.4
  Nov 18, 2022 285   Cal Poly W 80-43 93%     2 - 2 +27.6 +11.9 +19.1
  Nov 24, 2022 64   Mississippi L 68-72 45%     2 - 3 +4.3 +1.9 +2.3
  Nov 25, 2022 188   Florida St. W 70-60 78%     3 - 3 +9.0 -2.8 +11.8
  Nov 27, 2022 30   Memphis L 48-56 29%     3 - 4 +4.8 -10.6 +14.3
  Dec 01, 2022 9   UCLA L 65-72 24%    
  Dec 04, 2022 40   @ Arizona St. L 60-67 27%    
  Dec 16, 2022 362   Green Bay W 77-50 99%    
  Dec 18, 2022 4   Texas L 60-72 13%    
  Dec 22, 2022 171   Loyola Chicago W 65-58 74%    
  Dec 29, 2022 44   Colorado L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 31, 2022 70   Utah W 66-64 58%    
  Jan 06, 2023 231   @ California W 64-56 76%    
  Jan 12, 2023 91   @ Washington L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 14, 2023 51   @ Washington St. L 63-68 31%    
  Jan 19, 2023 217   Oregon St. W 71-58 88%    
  Jan 21, 2023 50   Oregon W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 25, 2023 357   Chicago St. W 80-55 99%    
  Jan 28, 2023 231   California W 67-53 89%    
  Feb 02, 2023 70   @ Utah L 63-67 37%    
  Feb 05, 2023 44   @ Colorado L 66-72 29%    
  Feb 09, 2023 40   Arizona St. L 63-64 48%    
  Feb 11, 2023 6   Arizona L 74-82 23%    
  Feb 16, 2023 9   @ UCLA L 62-75 12%    
  Feb 18, 2023 73   @ USC L 64-68 38%    
  Feb 23, 2023 51   Washington St. W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 26, 2023 91   Washington W 69-65 64%    
  Mar 02, 2023 217   @ Oregon St. W 68-61 73%    
  Mar 04, 2023 50   @ Oregon L 66-72 32%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.2 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.3 2.4 0.5 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.3 2.6 5.4 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.3 2.6 6.0 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.7 3.6 0.5 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.5 4.0 0.8 0.0 13.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.8 4.9 3.6 0.8 0.0 12.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 2.8 3.6 2.2 0.5 0.1 10.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.5 7.3 9.9 12.5 13.4 13.3 11.9 9.2 6.7 4.0 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 86.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 64.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 35.3% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 16.1% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 98.3% 6.9% 91.4% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1%
17-3 0.4% 93.9% 15.6% 78.3% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.7%
16-4 1.0% 79.5% 10.4% 69.1% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 77.1%
15-5 2.2% 55.3% 6.6% 48.7% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.0 52.1%
14-6 4.0% 30.5% 8.3% 22.2% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.8 24.2%
13-7 6.7% 12.7% 4.7% 8.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 5.9 8.4%
12-8 9.2% 6.0% 4.8% 1.2% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.6 1.3%
11-9 11.9% 4.0% 3.8% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.4 0.2%
10-10 13.3% 2.9% 2.9% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.9
9-11 13.4% 2.6% 2.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 13.1
8-12 12.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.3
7-13 9.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 9.8
6-14 7.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.1
5-15 4.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.5
4-16 2.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-17 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.9% 3.1% 3.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.9 93.1 3.9%