Washington St.
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#51
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#158
Pace66.3#247
Improvement+0.1#75

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#46
First Shot+7.0#27
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#282
Layup/Dunks+0.6#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.5#4
Freethrows-0.3#189
Improvement+0.1#66

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#69
First Shot+4.2#61
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#197
Layups/Dunks+1.1#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#103
Freethrows+0.6#154
Improvement+0.0#159
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 4.0% 7.5% 1.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.9% 42.3% 20.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.4% 37.7% 16.4%
Average Seed 9.0 8.5 9.7
.500 or above 69.5% 84.3% 60.3%
.500 or above in Conference 63.5% 80.4% 53.0%
Conference Champion 3.6% 6.6% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 0.9%
First Four4.9% 5.7% 4.3%
First Round26.6% 39.5% 18.6%
Second Round13.4% 20.7% 8.9%
Sweet Sixteen4.2% 6.6% 2.8%
Elite Eight1.6% 2.6% 1.0%
Final Four0.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon (Away) - 38.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 7
Quad 24 - 36 - 10
Quad 34 - 110 - 12
Quad 46 - 116 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 167   Texas St. W 83-61 88%     1 - 0 +19.0 +15.8 +4.9
  Nov 12, 2022 61   Boise St. L 61-71 54%     1 - 1 -1.6 -4.1 +2.7
  Nov 15, 2022 259   @ Prairie View L 59-70 86%     1 - 2 -13.0 -10.9 -2.8
  Nov 21, 2022 255   @ Eastern Washington W 82-56 85%     2 - 2 +24.3 +14.3 +11.9
  Nov 25, 2022 197   Detroit Mercy W 96-54 90%     3 - 2 +37.4 +25.3 +16.4
  Dec 01, 2022 50   @ Oregon L 70-73 38%    
  Dec 04, 2022 70   Utah W 70-65 66%    
  Dec 07, 2022 237   Northern Kentucky W 73-57 94%    
  Dec 10, 2022 78   UNLV W 69-67 59%    
  Dec 18, 2022 19   Baylor L 74-79 31%    
  Dec 22, 2022 194   George Washington W 78-67 84%    
  Dec 30, 2022 9   UCLA L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 01, 2023 73   USC W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 05, 2023 40   @ Arizona St. L 64-68 35%    
  Jan 07, 2023 6   @ Arizona L 76-88 15%    
  Jan 11, 2023 231   California W 71-55 93%    
  Jan 14, 2023 79   Stanford W 68-63 69%    
  Jan 19, 2023 70   @ Utah L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 22, 2023 44   @ Colorado L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 26, 2023 6   Arizona L 79-85 31%    
  Jan 28, 2023 40   Arizona St. W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 02, 2023 73   @ USC L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 04, 2023 9   @ UCLA L 66-77 16%    
  Feb 11, 2023 91   Washington W 73-66 73%    
  Feb 16, 2023 217   Oregon St. W 75-59 92%    
  Feb 19, 2023 50   Oregon W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 23, 2023 79   @ Stanford L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 25, 2023 231   @ California W 68-58 82%    
  Mar 02, 2023 91   @ Washington W 70-69 53%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.3 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.3 3.8 0.9 0.1 13.5 4th
5th 0.3 2.6 6.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.3 2.3 5.7 3.5 0.5 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.0 3.4 0.5 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.2 4.6 7.1 9.4 11.5 12.5 13.5 11.7 9.5 7.4 4.6 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 98.2% 0.4    0.4 0.1
17-3 74.6% 0.8    0.6 0.3 0.0
16-4 42.3% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 17.4% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
14-6 3.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 31.1% 68.9% 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.5% 100.0% 26.8% 73.2% 3.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.1% 100.0% 18.5% 81.5% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.6% 98.7% 16.7% 82.0% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.4%
15-5 4.6% 93.7% 14.2% 79.5% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 92.7%
14-6 7.4% 81.9% 8.8% 73.1% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.0 1.3 80.2%
13-7 9.5% 61.9% 8.2% 53.7% 9.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.6 58.5%
12-8 11.7% 36.0% 6.8% 29.2% 10.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.6 0.6 0.0 7.5 31.3%
11-9 13.5% 16.7% 5.4% 11.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 11.3 12.0%
10-10 12.5% 7.0% 4.1% 2.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 11.6 3.0%
9-11 11.5% 4.1% 3.7% 0.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.0 0.4%
8-12 9.4% 2.8% 2.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.2
7-13 7.1% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 7.0
6-14 4.6% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.5
5-15 2.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
4-16 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-17 0.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 28.9% 5.9% 23.0% 9.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.7 3.0 4.3 4.5 5.2 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 71.1 24.4%