Colorado
Pac-12
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#44
Expected Predictive Rating+7.8#75
Pace76.5#39
Improvement+0.0#110

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#64
First Shot+3.9#69
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#137
Layup/Dunks+3.9#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#154
Freethrows-0.4#203
Improvement+0.1#70

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#49
First Shot+3.5#68
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#47
Layups/Dunks+3.0#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#137
Freethrows-0.1#179
Improvement-0.1#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.5% 2.3% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 6.1% 8.8% 2.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.7% 54.3% 30.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 41.0% 50.6% 27.2%
Average Seed 8.9 8.6 9.5
.500 or above 88.7% 94.3% 80.6%
.500 or above in Conference 78.4% 87.2% 65.5%
Conference Champion 5.0% 7.3% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four7.3% 7.9% 6.5%
First Round41.2% 50.5% 27.6%
Second Round20.1% 25.5% 12.4%
Sweet Sixteen6.0% 7.9% 3.2%
Elite Eight2.3% 3.0% 1.2%
Final Four0.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: Arizona St. (Home) - 59.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 23 - 5
Quad 25 - 48 - 9
Quad 35 - 214 - 11
Quad 46 - 119 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 152   UC Riverside W 82-66 87%     1 - 0 +14.0 +1.5 +11.0
  Nov 11, 2022 242   @ Grambling St. L 74-83 85%     1 - 1 -10.1 -3.4 -5.8
  Nov 13, 2022 5   Tennessee W 78-66 21%     2 - 1 +30.5 +8.9 +20.0
  Nov 17, 2022 99   Massachusetts L 63-66 69%     2 - 2 +2.0 -9.3 +11.4
  Nov 18, 2022 56   Texas A&M W 103-75 53%     3 - 2 +37.2 +30.6 +6.0
  Nov 20, 2022 61   Boise St. L 55-68 57%     3 - 3 -4.6 -7.0 +2.0
  Nov 27, 2022 65   Yale W 65-62 68%     4 - 3 +8.2 +1.5 +6.8
  Dec 01, 2022 40   Arizona St. W 71-68 59%    
  Dec 04, 2022 91   @ Washington W 74-73 55%    
  Dec 08, 2022 72   Colorado St. W 74-69 69%    
  Dec 15, 2022 325   North Alabama W 87-63 99%    
  Dec 18, 2022 254   Northern Colorado W 90-72 95%    
  Dec 21, 2022 183   Southern Utah W 88-74 90%    
  Dec 29, 2022 79   @ Stanford W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 31, 2022 231   @ California W 71-60 83%    
  Jan 05, 2023 50   Oregon W 77-74 63%    
  Jan 07, 2023 217   Oregon St. W 79-63 93%    
  Jan 12, 2023 73   @ USC L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 14, 2023 9   @ UCLA L 70-80 17%    
  Jan 19, 2023 91   Washington W 77-70 74%    
  Jan 22, 2023 51   Washington St. W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 26, 2023 50   @ Oregon L 74-77 41%    
  Jan 28, 2023 217   @ Oregon St. W 76-66 82%    
  Feb 02, 2023 231   California W 74-57 93%    
  Feb 05, 2023 79   Stanford W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 11, 2023 70   @ Utah L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 16, 2023 40   @ Arizona St. L 68-71 38%    
  Feb 18, 2023 6   @ Arizona L 82-93 16%    
  Feb 23, 2023 73   USC W 75-70 69%    
  Feb 26, 2023 9   UCLA L 73-77 34%    
  Mar 04, 2023 70   Utah W 74-69 68%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.3 4.0 2.5 0.8 0.1 12.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.7 6.5 6.1 2.5 0.5 0.1 18.8 3rd
4th 0.4 3.1 6.5 4.7 1.1 0.1 16.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 6.2 3.9 0.8 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.1 3.3 0.6 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.7 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 3.7 5.9 8.6 11.5 13.6 13.9 13.2 10.8 7.5 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 85.7% 0.7    0.5 0.2
17-3 62.7% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1
16-4 33.7% 1.5    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
15-5 12.4% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
14-6 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.4 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 100.0% 15.7% 84.3% 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.8% 99.5% 16.7% 82.8% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
17-3 2.2% 100.0% 14.0% 86.0% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 4.6% 99.1% 12.5% 86.6% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.0%
15-5 7.5% 95.6% 12.4% 83.2% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.3 94.9%
14-6 10.8% 85.7% 8.5% 77.2% 8.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 2.9 2.1 0.7 0.0 1.5 84.4%
13-7 13.2% 68.3% 7.3% 61.1% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.3 3.2 2.1 0.1 0.0 4.2 65.9%
12-8 13.9% 46.6% 6.1% 40.5% 10.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 7.4 43.1%
11-9 13.6% 24.3% 4.9% 19.4% 11.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 10.3 20.4%
10-10 11.5% 10.1% 4.2% 6.0% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 10.4 6.2%
9-11 8.6% 3.8% 3.4% 0.5% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.3 0.5%
8-12 5.9% 2.1% 2.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.7
7-13 3.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
6-14 2.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.9
5-15 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-16 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 44.7% 6.4% 38.4% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.9 4.5 7.0 7.8 8.9 7.9 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 55.3 41.0%