Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.0#345
Expected Predictive Rating-12.3#339
Pace70.2#133
Improvement-2.5#286

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#342
First Shot-3.0#267
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#361
Layup/Dunks-1.6#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#78
Freethrows-5.4#362
Improvement+0.8#133

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#336
First Shot-5.5#340
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#160
Layups/Dunks-5.9#346
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#159
Freethrows+1.6#70
Improvement-3.3#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 58.4% 16.9% 63.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Away) - 10.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 32 - 82 - 10
Quad 44 - 126 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 190   @ Bryant W 61-59 10%     1 - 0 +2.9 -8.2 +11.1
  Nov 10, 2023 17   @ Kansas L 61-99 1%     1 - 1 -20.2 -8.0 -8.2
  Nov 19, 2023 267   @ Central Connecticut St. W 67-63 16%     2 - 1 +1.4 -3.6 +5.1
  Nov 24, 2023 1   @ Connecticut L 60-90 0.3%    2 - 2 -6.5 -1.1 -6.7
  Nov 27, 2023 183   @ Fordham L 61-93 10%     2 - 3 -30.6 -14.6 -13.3
  Dec 01, 2023 249   Mount St. Mary's W 75-74 OT 29%     3 - 3 1 - 0 -6.2 -4.8 -1.4
  Dec 03, 2023 224   @ Marist L 56-70 12%     3 - 4 1 - 1 -14.5 -9.4 -5.7
  Dec 08, 2023 329   Fairleigh Dickinson L 71-76 52%     3 - 5 -18.5 -12.1 -6.1
  Dec 21, 2023 213   @ Monmouth L 71-77 12%     3 - 6 -6.2 -5.2 -0.7
  Dec 30, 2023 316   Wagner L 56-68 45%     3 - 7 -23.6 -12.5 -12.7
  Jan 05, 2024 251   Niagara L 67-81 29%     3 - 8 1 - 2 -21.2 -9.3 -11.9
  Jan 07, 2024 191   @ Quinnipiac L 59-76 10%     3 - 9 1 - 3 -16.2 -20.7 +6.5
  Jan 12, 2024 229   @ Rider L 58-71 13%     3 - 10 1 - 4 -13.6 -16.4 +2.9
  Jan 14, 2024 209   St. Peter's L 68-81 23%     3 - 11 1 - 5 -18.4 -2.1 -16.5
  Jan 21, 2024 180   Fairfield L 75-82 19%     3 - 12 1 - 6 -10.9 -0.4 -10.5
  Jan 26, 2024 280   @ Canisius L 70-82 18%     3 - 13 1 - 7 -15.3 -7.4 -7.2
  Jan 28, 2024 251   @ Niagara W 84-78 OT 15%     4 - 13 2 - 7 +4.2 -1.0 +4.4
  Feb 02, 2024 191   Quinnipiac L 71-77 21%     4 - 14 2 - 8 -10.6 -5.1 -5.5
  Feb 04, 2024 180   @ Fairfield L 68-77 9%     4 - 15 2 - 9 -7.4 -1.5 -6.4
  Feb 08, 2024 249   @ Mount St. Mary's L 78-82 15%     4 - 16 2 - 10 -5.7 +1.7 -7.2
  Feb 10, 2024 355   Siena L 63-68 69%     4 - 17 2 - 11 -23.0 -16.6 -6.4
  Feb 16, 2024 214   @ Iona L 63-73 12%     4 - 18 2 - 12 -10.2 -5.2 -5.7
  Feb 18, 2024 229   Rider L 62-104 25%     4 - 19 2 - 13 -48.0 -10.8 -39.9
  Feb 23, 2024 224   Marist L 50-57 25%     4 - 20 2 - 14 -12.9 -13.9 +0.0
  Mar 01, 2024 355   @ Siena W 70-68 48%     5 - 20 3 - 14 -10.6 +0.2 -10.5
  Mar 03, 2024 209   @ St. Peter's L 57-70 11%    
  Mar 07, 2024 214   Iona L 68-75 25%    
  Mar 09, 2024 280   Canisius L 69-73 35%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 4 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 29.6 40.2 12.8 1.2 83.8 10th
11th 14.7 1.5 0.0 16.2 11th
Total 44.3 41.7 12.8 1.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.2
5-15 12.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.8
4-16 41.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 41.7
3-17 44.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 44.3
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.2
Lose Out 44.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0