Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#253
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#151
Pace73.3#78
Improvement+0.7#116

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#231
First Shot-6.1#330
After Offensive Rebound+4.3#10
Layup/Dunks+0.7#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#323
Freethrows-1.3#256
Improvement-0.1#191

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#271
First Shot-4.3#304
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#94
Layups/Dunks-5.0#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#145
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#272
Freethrows+2.6#42
Improvement+0.8#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 11.4% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 73.4% 86.7% 67.2%
.500 or above in Conference 64.0% 80.0% 56.6%
Conference Champion 9.6% 17.7% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 1.3% 5.5%
First Four1.3% 1.3% 1.4%
First Round6.9% 10.6% 5.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Away) - 31.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 416 - 717 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 335   Central Connecticut St. W 74-70 82%     1 - 0 -10.5 -8.2 -2.4
  Nov 13, 2023 140   @ Massachusetts L 81-102 19%     1 - 1 -16.5 +3.2 -18.2
  Nov 17, 2023 323   @ Army W 67-58 57%     2 - 1 +2.2 -0.5 +3.5
  Nov 19, 2023 268   Albany W 85-82 64%     3 - 1 -5.7 -3.7 -2.3
  Nov 26, 2023 355   Stonehill W 80-69 87%     4 - 1 -6.1 -0.1 -5.9
  Dec 01, 2023 221   @ Canisius L 72-77 32%    
  Dec 03, 2023 289   @ Niagara L 69-70 47%    
  Dec 08, 2023 314   Navy W 71-64 73%    
  Dec 11, 2023 87   Yale L 69-77 24%    
  Dec 18, 2023 334   @ Holy Cross W 73-70 63%    
  Dec 21, 2023 320   @ Lafayette W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 30, 2023 25   @ Florida L 69-90 3%    
  Jan 05, 2024 250   Rider W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 07, 2024 322   Manhattan W 76-69 75%    
  Jan 12, 2024 244   @ Marist L 68-72 38%    
  Jan 19, 2024 352   @ Siena W 73-68 69%    
  Jan 21, 2024 158   Iona L 75-77 42%    
  Jan 25, 2024 262   Mount St. Mary's W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 28, 2024 302   @ Fairfield L 74-75 50%    
  Feb 02, 2024 322   @ Manhattan W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 04, 2024 221   Canisius W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 08, 2024 255   St. Peter's W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 10, 2024 262   @ Mount St. Mary's L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 18, 2024 289   Niagara W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 23, 2024 302   Fairfield W 78-72 70%    
  Feb 25, 2024 250   @ Rider L 69-72 39%    
  Mar 01, 2024 158   @ Iona L 72-80 24%    
  Mar 03, 2024 352   Siena W 76-65 84%    
  Mar 07, 2024 244   Marist W 71-69 58%    
  Mar 09, 2024 255   @ St. Peter's L 64-67 40%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.7 2.5 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 9.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 3.1 4.1 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.0 4.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.1 4.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.8 5.0 1.6 0.1 11.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.4 1.6 0.1 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.4 1.6 0.1 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.6 1.7 0.1 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.7 1.3 0.1 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.8 4.4 6.5 8.8 10.8 11.2 12.1 11.4 9.9 7.9 5.6 3.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 99.5% 0.8    0.7 0.0
17-3 91.5% 1.4    1.2 0.2
16-4 72.2% 2.5    1.7 0.7 0.1
15-5 47.7% 2.7    1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0
14-6 19.8% 1.6    0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1
13-7 4.0% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.6% 9.6 5.7 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 47.8% 47.8% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 49.7% 49.7% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.8% 43.3% 43.3% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4
17-3 1.5% 37.1% 37.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9
16-4 3.4% 29.3% 29.3% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.4
15-5 5.6% 22.4% 22.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 4.3
14-6 7.9% 15.1% 15.1% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 6.7
13-7 9.9% 10.0% 10.0% 15.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 8.9
12-8 11.4% 6.9% 6.9% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 10.6
11-9 12.1% 5.7% 5.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.4
10-10 11.2% 3.4% 3.4% 15.8 0.1 0.3 10.8
9-11 10.8% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.6
8-12 8.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.8
7-13 6.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.5
6-14 4.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.4
5-15 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
4-16 1.6% 1.6
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.8 3.0 92.3 0.0%