Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.3#355
Expected Predictive Rating-14.7#352
Pace66.8#236
Improvement+1.7#112

Offense
Total Offense-10.1#356
First Shot-10.8#361
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#134
Layup/Dunks-4.6#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#339
Freethrows-4.7#361
Improvement+1.6#99

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#333
First Shot-5.9#348
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#112
Layups/Dunks-7.6#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#209
Freethrows+0.6#151
Improvement+0.1#170
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 83.8% 40.5% 86.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 6.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 71 - 10
Quad 44 - 164 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 348   Holy Cross W 73-71 53%     1 - 0 -14.1 -2.2 -11.7
  Nov 11, 2023 78   @ Richmond L 48-90 2%     1 - 1 -32.2 -15.8 -17.8
  Nov 13, 2023 261   @ American L 58-78 12%     1 - 2 -22.4 -12.0 -12.1
  Nov 20, 2023 274   Central Michigan L 56-70 18%     1 - 3 -19.6 -9.3 -11.8
  Nov 21, 2023 243   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 59-61 15%     1 - 4 -6.1 -11.6 +5.3
  Nov 26, 2023 262   Albany L 51-86 24%     1 - 5 -42.8 -27.7 -14.5
  Dec 01, 2023 229   Rider W 67-65 19%     2 - 5 1 - 0 -4.0 -4.4 +0.5
  Dec 03, 2023 249   @ Mount St. Mary's L 48-80 11%     2 - 6 1 - 1 -33.7 -23.7 -10.6
  Dec 06, 2023 190   Bryant L 51-67 16%     2 - 7 -20.5 -24.0 +4.6
  Dec 09, 2023 84   @ St. Bonaventure L 56-89 2%     2 - 8 -23.3 -8.4 -17.3
  Dec 19, 2023 112   Cornell L 74-95 7%     2 - 9 -19.8 -10.6 -6.4
  Dec 22, 2023 226   @ Brown L 67-71 9%     2 - 10 -4.5 -8.1 +3.8
  Dec 30, 2023 90   @ Massachusetts L 66-79 2%     2 - 11 -4.0 -2.9 -1.2
  Jan 05, 2024 180   Fairfield L 69-93 14%     2 - 12 1 - 2 -27.9 -7.2 -20.6
  Jan 12, 2024 280   @ Canisius L 63-67 13%     2 - 13 1 - 3 -7.3 -8.6 +1.2
  Jan 15, 2024 251   @ Niagara W 93-88 11%     3 - 13 2 - 3 +3.2 +11.1 -8.3
  Jan 19, 2024 191   Quinnipiac L 70-82 16%     3 - 14 2 - 4 -16.6 -6.0 -10.5
  Jan 21, 2024 224   @ Marist L 48-50 9%     3 - 15 2 - 5 -2.5 -14.0 +11.2
  Jan 26, 2024 214   Iona L 51-70 18%     3 - 16 2 - 6 -24.6 -19.6 -6.8
  Jan 28, 2024 209   St. Peter's L 52-63 18%     3 - 17 2 - 7 -16.4 -15.9 -1.1
  Feb 02, 2024 229   @ Rider L 50-91 9%     3 - 18 2 - 8 -41.6 -21.8 -21.5
  Feb 04, 2024 249   Mount St. Mary's L 61-68 22%     3 - 19 2 - 9 -14.2 -13.4 -0.8
  Feb 08, 2024 224   Marist L 51-67 19%     3 - 20 2 - 10 -21.9 -15.0 -8.4
  Feb 10, 2024 345   @ Manhattan W 68-63 31%     4 - 20 3 - 10 -5.3 -9.0 +3.7
  Feb 16, 2024 209   @ St. Peter's L 53-75 8%     4 - 21 3 - 11 -22.0 -11.0 -12.8
  Feb 18, 2024 280   Canisius L 64-73 26%     4 - 22 3 - 12 -17.7 -0.6 -18.8
  Feb 25, 2024 180   @ Fairfield L 64-88 7%     4 - 23 3 - 13 -22.4 -8.2 -14.8
  Mar 01, 2024 345   Manhattan L 68-70 52%     4 - 24 3 - 14 -17.7 -4.9 -13.0
  Mar 03, 2024 191   @ Quinnipiac L 65-81 6%    
  Mar 07, 2024 251   Niagara L 65-73 23%    
  Mar 09, 2024 214   @ Iona L 61-76 7%    
Projected Record 4 - 27 3 - 17





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 29.6 25.2 3.5 0.1 58.4 10th
11th 37.4 4.1 0.1 41.6 11th
Total 67.0 29.3 3.5 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 3.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.5
4-16 29.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 29.3
3-17 67.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 67.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1%
Lose Out 67.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0