Lehigh
Patriot League
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#295
Expected Predictive Rating-20.0#360
Pace73.4#69
Improvement-3.6#345

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#309
First Shot-2.7#254
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#290
Layup/Dunks-1.2#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#206
Freethrows-2.0#288
Improvement+0.1#171

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#244
First Shot-2.7#265
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#165
Layups/Dunks+0.9#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#163
Freethrows-1.1#253
Improvement-3.7#355
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 6.2% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 10.4% 27.9% 8.9%
.500 or above in Conference 61.6% 76.2% 60.3%
Conference Champion 5.7% 9.5% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 6.5% 3.1% 6.8%
First Four3.0% 4.5% 2.8%
First Round2.3% 4.0% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 7.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 41 - 8
Quad 49 - 910 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 121   Cornell L 78-84 25%     0 - 1 -6.1 -8.8 +3.4
  Nov 10, 2023 115   @ Penn St. L 65-74 11%     0 - 2 -2.6 -10.5 +8.6
  Nov 12, 2023 14   @ North Carolina L 68-90 2%     0 - 3 -3.5 -3.3 +1.5
  Nov 21, 2023 239   @ Monmouth L 79-88 27%     0 - 4 -9.8 +3.2 -12.8
  Nov 24, 2023 44   @ Providence L 64-78 4%     0 - 5 -0.5 +0.1 -0.7
  Nov 29, 2023 349   St. Francis (PA) L 61-62 80%     0 - 6 -16.9 -19.8 +2.9
  Dec 02, 2023 310   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 87-92 42%     0 - 7 -10.2 +0.2 -9.9
  Dec 21, 2023 97   @ Boston College L 64-79 8%    
  Dec 30, 2023 234   @ Marist L 63-70 27%    
  Jan 03, 2024 279   @ American L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 06, 2024 326   @ Loyola Maryland L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 10, 2024 306   Bucknell W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 13, 2024 346   Holy Cross W 75-67 78%    
  Jan 17, 2024 298   @ Navy L 64-67 41%    
  Jan 20, 2024 279   American W 73-71 59%    
  Jan 22, 2024 127   @ Colgate L 65-78 13%    
  Jan 27, 2024 346   @ Holy Cross W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 31, 2024 298   Navy W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 03, 2024 276   @ Boston University L 65-69 36%    
  Feb 07, 2024 343   Army W 71-63 76%    
  Feb 10, 2024 325   Lafayette W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 12, 2024 306   @ Bucknell L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 17, 2024 326   Loyola Maryland W 72-66 69%    
  Feb 21, 2024 343   @ Army W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 24, 2024 325   @ Lafayette L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 28, 2024 276   Boston University W 68-66 57%    
  Mar 02, 2024 127   Colgate L 68-75 27%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.6 4.6 2.4 0.6 0.1 15.5 2nd
3rd 0.5 3.9 6.0 3.6 1.0 0.1 15.1 3rd
4th 0.5 4.4 6.1 2.8 0.4 0.0 14.3 4th
5th 0.3 3.2 5.9 2.4 0.3 12.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 5.6 2.7 0.2 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 2.6 0.2 9.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 3.6 2.1 0.3 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.3 1.5 0.2 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.1 3.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.6 4.7 7.3 9.7 12.2 13.7 13.1 11.7 9.1 6.7 4.1 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 90.9% 0.9    0.8 0.1
15-3 71.3% 1.4    0.9 0.4 0.0
14-4 39.1% 1.6    0.8 0.8 0.0
13-5 16.2% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.5% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 3.2 2.1 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 32.5% 32.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.0% 26.3% 26.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7
15-3 1.9% 15.8% 15.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.6
14-4 4.1% 15.2% 15.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6 3.5
13-5 6.7% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 6.1
12-6 9.1% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.6 8.5
11-7 11.7% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.5 11.2
10-8 13.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 12.9
9-9 13.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.5
8-10 12.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 12.1
7-11 9.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.6
6-12 7.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.2
5-13 4.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.7
4-14 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.2 3.4 96.4 0.0%