Maryland
Big Ten
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.9#59
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#177
Pace63.8#310
Improvement+1.7#44

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#143
First Shot-0.5#186
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#100
Layup/Dunks+2.7#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#256
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#333
Freethrows+4.5#13
Improvement+0.3#145

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#16
First Shot+5.3#39
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#34
Layups/Dunks+0.8#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#47
Freethrows+1.4#102
Improvement+1.4#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 3.2% 3.3% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.4% 22.2% 9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 18.7% 19.4% 6.7%
Average Seed 8.9 8.9 10.3
.500 or above 56.4% 58.0% 30.2%
.500 or above in Conference 43.4% 44.3% 29.0%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 7.7% 14.8%
First Four3.8% 3.9% 2.4%
First Round19.7% 20.4% 8.2%
Second Round9.9% 10.4% 3.0%
Sweet Sixteen3.2% 3.3% 0.7%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.3% 0.3%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 94.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 24 - 47 - 13
Quad 33 - 29 - 15
Quad 47 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 262   Mount St. Mary's W 68-53 94%     1 - 0 +6.5 -2.3 +9.7
  Nov 10, 2023 141   Davidson L 61-64 76%     1 - 1 -1.6 -4.6 +2.7
  Nov 12, 2023 88   UAB L 63-66 62%     1 - 2 +2.7 -7.6 +10.3
  Nov 17, 2023 16   @ Villanova L 40-57 19%     1 - 3 +1.3 -16.6 +14.7
  Nov 21, 2023 280   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 92-68 95%     2 - 3 +14.7 -0.8 +11.7
  Nov 25, 2023 194   South Alabama W 68-55 89%     3 - 3 +8.3 +0.2 +9.6
  Nov 28, 2023 250   Rider W 71-54 94%    
  Dec 01, 2023 68   @ Indiana L 65-67 43%    
  Dec 06, 2023 90   Penn St. W 71-65 73%    
  Dec 12, 2023 291   Alcorn St. W 78-59 96%    
  Dec 19, 2023 240   Nicholls St. W 76-60 93%    
  Dec 22, 2023 26   @ UCLA L 58-65 26%    
  Dec 28, 2023 361   Coppin St. W 76-48 99.5%   
  Jan 02, 2024 1   Purdue L 61-70 20%    
  Jan 07, 2024 128   @ Minnesota W 65-62 62%    
  Jan 11, 2024 55   Michigan W 69-66 59%    
  Jan 14, 2024 31   @ Illinois L 62-69 27%    
  Jan 17, 2024 62   @ Northwestern L 60-63 40%    
  Jan 21, 2024 17   Michigan St. L 60-63 39%    
  Jan 24, 2024 37   @ Iowa L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 27, 2024 52   Nebraska W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 03, 2024 17   @ Michigan St. L 57-66 21%    
  Feb 06, 2024 54   Rutgers W 61-59 58%    
  Feb 10, 2024 27   @ Ohio St. L 62-69 27%    
  Feb 13, 2024 37   Iowa W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 17, 2024 31   Illinois L 65-66 48%    
  Feb 20, 2024 35   @ Wisconsin L 59-65 29%    
  Feb 25, 2024 54   @ Rutgers L 58-62 38%    
  Feb 28, 2024 62   Northwestern W 63-60 61%    
  Mar 03, 2024 68   Indiana W 68-64 64%    
  Mar 10, 2024 90   @ Penn St. W 68-67 52%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 6.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.1 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.4 0.8 0.1 8.6 6th
7th 0.3 2.7 4.5 1.3 0.1 8.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.9 4.6 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.7 3.9 0.7 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.0 1.3 0.1 8.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 2.2 3.2 1.5 0.1 7.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.6 1.4 0.2 7.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.6 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.0 6.1 8.4 10.8 11.8 12.0 11.6 10.1 8.4 5.9 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 73.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 71.6% 0.3    0.3 0.1
16-4 40.0% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 16.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 5.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 30.0% 70.0% 1.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 20.8% 79.2% 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.5% 99.2% 11.4% 87.7% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
16-4 1.0% 100.0% 13.1% 86.9% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.2% 95.5% 9.8% 85.7% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.0%
14-6 3.6% 92.1% 6.2% 85.9% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.3 91.5%
13-7 5.9% 76.3% 5.7% 70.7% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.4 74.9%
12-8 8.4% 54.1% 5.8% 48.3% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.8 0.9 0.0 3.9 51.2%
11-9 10.1% 29.3% 5.1% 24.2% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.1 25.5%
10-10 11.6% 10.9% 2.8% 8.2% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 10.3 8.4%
9-11 12.0% 3.2% 2.8% 0.4% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.6 0.4%
8-12 11.8% 2.4% 2.4% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 11.6
7-13 10.8% 1.7% 1.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.7
6-14 8.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 8.3
5-15 6.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 6.1
4-16 4.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 4.0
3-17 2.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.1
2-18 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8
1-19 0.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
0-20 0.1% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
Total 100% 21.4% 3.4% 18.0% 8.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.2 3.3 3.6 4.3 3.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 78.6 18.7%