William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.5#318
Expected Predictive Rating-11.5#333
Pace64.7#287
Improvement-1.0#232

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#294
First Shot-3.7#283
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#249
Layup/Dunks-4.3#324
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#273
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#116
Freethrows+0.5#142
Improvement-5.6#358

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#327
First Shot-5.7#345
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#96
Layups/Dunks+2.0#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#297
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#339
Freethrows-1.5#282
Improvement+4.6#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.3% 0.0% 100.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Home) - 67.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 101 - 11
Quad 46 - 117 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 261   American W 75-56 43%     1 - 0 +11.2 +0.0 +11.9
  Nov 11, 2023 231   @ George Washington L 89-95 20%     1 - 1 -6.7 +1.5 -7.4
  Nov 16, 2023 264   Nebraska Omaha L 83-89 34%     1 - 2 -11.2 +3.4 -14.4
  Nov 17, 2023 238   @ Air Force L 71-80 OT 21%     1 - 3 -10.1 -1.5 -8.9
  Nov 19, 2023 356   Lindenwood L 60-71 72%     1 - 4 -26.6 -18.1 -8.7
  Nov 25, 2023 270   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 96-81 45%     2 - 4 +6.8 +14.6 -8.2
  Nov 28, 2023 248   @ Norfolk St. L 62-96 23%     2 - 5 -35.6 -8.3 -29.1
  Dec 02, 2023 78   @ Richmond L 69-88 5%     2 - 6 -9.2 +8.4 -18.9
  Dec 06, 2023 283   Old Dominion W 84-79 48%     3 - 6 -3.9 +14.5 -18.1
  Dec 21, 2023 219   @ Pepperdine L 59-71 19%     3 - 7 -12.4 -11.2 -2.3
  Dec 30, 2023 323   @ Navy L 65-77 40%     3 - 8 -18.9 -8.1 -11.2
  Jan 04, 2024 314   Elon W 77-70 57%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -4.2 +2.7 -6.4
  Jan 06, 2024 134   Drexel L 55-77 20%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -22.6 -11.6 -13.7
  Jan 11, 2024 333   @ Hampton W 73-61 47%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +3.3 +3.5 +0.9
  Jan 13, 2024 208   Stony Brook L 59-63 35%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -9.4 -15.2 +5.7
  Jan 18, 2024 294   Campbell L 64-77 52%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -22.9 -6.5 -18.0
  Jan 20, 2024 346   @ N.C. A&T L 69-76 53%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -17.3 -11.5 -5.5
  Jan 25, 2024 122   @ Hofstra L 55-64 8%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -3.2 -11.3 +7.4
  Jan 27, 2024 242   @ Northeastern W 72-68 22%     6 - 13 3 - 5 +2.7 +7.0 -3.8
  Feb 01, 2024 173   Delaware L 53-81 28%     6 - 14 3 - 6 -31.3 -16.0 -18.1
  Feb 03, 2024 105   College of Charleston L 83-84 15%     6 - 15 3 - 7 +0.9 +8.3 -7.4
  Feb 08, 2024 213   @ Monmouth L 64-68 19%     6 - 16 3 - 8 -4.2 -2.6 -2.0
  Feb 10, 2024 173   @ Delaware L 58-69 14%     6 - 17 3 - 9 -8.9 -6.1 -4.1
  Feb 15, 2024 154   Towson L 52-61 24%     6 - 18 3 - 10 -11.0 -10.8 -1.8
  Feb 19, 2024 105   @ College of Charleston L 57-65 7%     6 - 19 3 - 11 -0.7 -14.0 +13.3
  Feb 22, 2024 126   UNC Wilmington L 65-81 18%     6 - 20 3 - 12 -15.9 -3.5 -14.3
  Feb 24, 2024 208   @ Stony Brook L 62-75 18%     6 - 21 3 - 13 -12.9 -12.9 +0.3
  Feb 29, 2024 314   @ Elon L 71-76 36%     6 - 22 3 - 14 -10.7 +1.5 -12.8
  Mar 02, 2024 333   Hampton W 74-69 68%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 67.7 67.7 13th
14th 32.3 32.3 14th
Total 32.3 67.7 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 67.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 67.5
3-15 32.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 32.3
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 67.7% 0.2% 16.0 0.2
Lose Out 32.3% 0.1% 16.0 0.1