Maryland
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +4.3 #105
Expected Predictive Rating +4.1 #103
Pace 69.8 #155
Improvement +1.2 #134

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #124 C- B- C B C
Defense #98 C B- C B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #260 1.09 #264 -2.9 #282
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #229 0.76 #162 -1.0 #235
Three Pointers 47% #69 0.96 #260 +1.5 #126
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #251 -2.4 #250
Freethrows 0.35 #46 73% #174 0.25 #60
Second Chance 34.6% #75 1.08 #104 0.37 #63
Turnovers 17.1% #208
Total Offense +1.6 #124

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #223 1.15 #164 +1.0 #138
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #208 0.72 #105 +0.7 #130
Three Pointers 43% #105 1.06 #252 -2.2 #283
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #193 -0.5 #192
Freethrows 0.27 #88 71% #121 0.19 #86
Second Chance 27.9% #80 0.96 #94 0.27 #70
Turnovers 17.1% #153
Total Defense +2.7 #98

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.3% #173 0.1% #173
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.9% #261 0.9% #202
Possession Length 17.1 #150 17.2 #190
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #340 0.18 #219
Improvement +1.2 #119 +0.0 #188

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.0 11.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.3% 1.7% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 28.3% 10.5% 30.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Home) - 10.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 110 - 11
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 15
Quad 22 - 43 - 19
Quad 33 - 26 - 20
Quad 45 - 011 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 364 Coppin St. W 83 - 61 98% +13  1 - 0 +2 +3 D- C D+ -0 D- D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 77 Georgetown L 60 - 70 50% -10  1 - 1 -6 -11 F B- D+ +5 A+ B B-
 Tue, Nov 11 349 Alcorn St. W 84 - 64 95% +12  2 - 1 +5 +2 C- C+ F +3 D C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 96 @Marquette W 89 - 82 33% +3  3 - 1 +16 +12 A D- A- +3 A+ F C
 Wed, Nov 19 290 Mount St. Mary's W 95 - 90 OT 91% +2  4 - 1 -5 +9 C B- C -15 F D- B-
 Mon, Nov 24 128 UNLV W 74 - 67 59% -0  5 - 1 +9 -2 D- A- F +11 A A+ C+
 Tue, Nov 25 11 Gonzaga L 61 - 100 8% -19  5 - 2 -19 -2 D- A- F -17 F C- B+
 Wed, Nov 26 16 Alabama L 72 - 105 10% -20  5 - 3 -15 -1 C D- B+ -11 F F+ A-
 Tue, Dec 2 330 Wagner W 89 - 63 94% +9  6 - 3 +12 +4 F B- B+ +7 B+ A+ A
 Sat, Dec 6 25 @Iowa L 64 - 83 9% -15  6 - 4 0 - 1 +0 +1 D- A- D+ -1 C B+ D+
 Sat, Dec 13 1 Michigan L 83 - 101 6% -3  6 - 5 0 - 2 +4 +22 A+ A+ B- -18 F A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 23 @Virginia L 72 - 80 9% -4  6 - 6 +11 +10 A+ B+ F +1 B- A+ D-
 Sun, Dec 28 243 Old Dominion W 73 - 58 87% +18  7 - 6 +7 -1 C D- B+ +8 A C+ B
 Fri, Jan 2 78 Oregon L 54 - 64 50% -5  7 - 7 0 - 3 -6 -12 F C- B- +6 C- A+ A-
 Wed, Jan 7 30 Indiana L 66 - 84 24% -6  7 - 8 0 - 4 -6 -2 D B+ C+ -5 B+ D+ B
 Sat, Jan 10 35 @UCLA L 55 - 67 12% -9  7 - 9 0 - 5 +5 -6 F A+ C +10 A+ A- F
 Tue, Jan 13 49 @USC L 71 - 88 17% -4  7 - 10 0 - 6 -3 +8 B+ D+ C -12 D+ B- F
 Sun, Jan 18 115 Penn St. W 96 - 73 66% +15  8 - 10 1 - 6 +23 +27 A+ A+ B- -3 D- A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 21 8 @Illinois L 70 - 89 5% -12  8 - 11 1 - 7 +5 +8 C B+ A+ -4 B B- D
 Sat, Jan 24 10 @Michigan St. L 48 - 91 5% -24  8 - 12 1 - 8 -20 -5 D C+ C -20 F F F+
 Sun, Feb 1 9 Purdue L 68 - 81 11%
 Thu, Feb 5 36 Ohio St. L 73 - 79 27%
 Sun, Feb 8 73 @Minnesota L 65 - 72 26%
 Wed, Feb 11 25 Iowa L 66 - 75 20%
 Sun, Feb 15 113 @Rutgers L 72 - 74 43%
 Wed, Feb 18 63 @Northwestern L 69 - 77 24%
 Sat, Feb 21 41 Washington L 72 - 77 32%
 Wed, Feb 25 12 @Nebraska L 65 - 83 5%
 Sun, Mar 1 113 Rutgers W 75 - 71 65%
 Wed, Mar 4 37 @Wisconsin L 72 - 84 13%
 Sun, Mar 8 8 Illinois L 70 - 83 11%
Totals 11 - 20 4 - 16 +4 +2 C- B- C +3 C B- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.4 12th
13th 0.0 1.1 3.0 1.7 0.2 6.1 13th
14th 0.0 2.5 8.5 4.3 0.6 0.0 15.9 14th
15th 1.2 9.9 6.2 0.6 0.0 17.9 15th
16th 0.0 0.7 8.5 10.0 1.1 0.0 20.3 16th
17th 1.2 8.6 13.2 2.7 0.1 25.8 17th
18th 3.4 6.4 2.3 0.0 12.1 18th
Total 4.7 15.6 25.2 25.1 17.1 8.2 3.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0 0.0
9-11 0.2% 0.2
8-12 0.8% 0.8
7-13 3.1% 3.1
6-14 8.2% 8.2
5-15 17.1% 17.1
4-16 25.1% 25.1
3-17 25.2% 25.2
2-18 15.6% 15.6
1-19 4.7% 4.7
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.7%