Maryland
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#95
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#92
Pace72.1#112
Improvement+2.6#45

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#107
First Shot+2.0#121
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#130
Layup/Dunks-0.7#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#270
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#224
Freethrows+5.5#2
Improvement+3.1#12

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#89
First Shot+2.5#91
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#168
Layups/Dunks+2.0#107
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#336
Freethrows+2.8#38
Improvement-0.5#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 6.3% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.0% 6.3% 1.4%
Average Seed 9.8 9.5 10.0
.500 or above 11.1% 26.0% 9.1%
.500 or above in Conference 4.8% 8.1% 4.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.9% 14.2% 20.7%
First Four0.9% 2.2% 0.7%
First Round1.5% 5.3% 1.0%
Second Round0.6% 2.2% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Away) - 11.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 101 - 10
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 14
Quad 23 - 35 - 17
Quad 33 - 27 - 19
Quad 45 - 013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 364 Coppin St. W 83-61 98%     1 - 0 +3.4 +4.3 -0.3
  Fri, Nov 7 89 Georgetown L 60-70 60%     1 - 1 -7.0 -11.6 +4.4
  Tue, Nov 11 333 Alcorn St. W 84-64 95%     2 - 1 +6.5 +2.8 +3.2
  Sat, Nov 15 99 @Marquette W 89-82 41%     3 - 1 +15.0 +12.5 +1.9
  Wed, Nov 19 302 Mount St. Mary's W 95-90 OT 92%     4 - 1 -5.4 +7.5 -13.5
  Mon, Nov 24 139 UNLV W 74-67 66%     5 - 1 +8.3 -1.7 +9.7
  Tue, Nov 25 5 Gonzaga L 61-100 7%     5 - 2 -17.2 -1.7 -15.5
  Wed, Nov 26 16 Alabama L 72-105 14%     5 - 3 -15.6 -2.3 -10.5
  Tue, Dec 2 292 Wagner W 89-63 92%     6 - 3 +15.9 +7.3 +7.2
  Sat, Dec 6 22 @Iowa L 64-83 12%     6 - 4 0 - 1 -0.5 -0.4 +0.1
  Sat, Dec 13 1 Michigan L 83-101 5%     6 - 5 0 - 2 +5.8 +23.0 -17.2
  Sat, Dec 20 25 @Virginia L 70-82 12%    
  Sun, Dec 28 205 Old Dominion W 82-70 86%    
  Fri, Jan 2 62 Oregon L 76-77 48%    
  Wed, Jan 7 26 Indiana L 73-79 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 30 @UCLA L 67-79 14%    
  Tue, Jan 13 36 @USC L 74-84 18%    
  Sun, Jan 18 105 Penn St. W 81-77 65%    
  Wed, Jan 21 12 @Illinois L 71-86 8%    
  Sat, Jan 24 11 @Michigan St. L 64-80 8%    
  Sun, Feb 1 7 Purdue L 69-81 13%    
  Thu, Feb 5 31 Ohio St. L 75-80 32%    
  Sun, Feb 8 96 @Minnesota L 69-72 40%    
  Wed, Feb 11 22 Iowa L 68-75 26%    
  Sun, Feb 15 130 @Rutgers W 74-73 52%    
  Wed, Feb 18 59 @Northwestern L 73-80 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 48 Washington L 75-77 41%    
  Wed, Feb 25 24 @Nebraska L 70-83 12%    
  Sun, Mar 1 130 Rutgers W 77-70 72%    
  Wed, Mar 4 43 @Wisconsin L 74-83 20%    
  Sun, Mar 8 12 Illinois L 74-83 20%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.1 2.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.5 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.5 0.1 4.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.1 0.6 0.0 6.9 12th
13th 0.2 2.7 5.0 1.6 0.1 9.7 13th
14th 0.1 2.4 6.4 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.7 14th
15th 0.1 2.0 7.1 5.0 0.9 0.0 15.1 15th
16th 0.1 1.8 6.6 6.0 1.4 0.1 15.9 16th
17th 0.1 2.0 6.1 5.7 1.5 0.1 15.5 17th
18th 0.5 2.0 4.2 3.5 0.8 0.0 11.0 18th
Total 0.5 2.1 6.2 11.5 15.3 17.2 16.0 12.8 8.7 4.8 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 84.6% 84.6% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.6%
12-8 0.5% 81.6% 81.6% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 81.6%
11-9 1.2% 51.9% 51.9% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 51.9%
10-10 2.9% 20.0% 20.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 2.3 20.0%
9-11 4.8% 4.0% 4.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.6 4.0%
8-12 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 8.6 0.3%
7-13 12.8% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 12.8
6-14 16.0% 16.0
5-15 17.2% 17.2
4-16 15.3% 15.3
3-17 11.5% 11.5
2-18 6.2% 6.2
1-19 2.1% 2.1
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.0 98.0 2.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%