East Carolina
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#280
Expected Predictive Rating-9.4#304
Pace71.2#139
Improvement-0.1#196

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#313
First Shot-5.7#332
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#149
Layup/Dunks+0.7#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.6#358
Freethrows+1.4#99
Improvement-1.6#299

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#210
First Shot-1.6#227
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#155
Layups/Dunks-0.6#202
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#243
Freethrows+1.1#116
Improvement+1.5#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.9% 1.5% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 7.5% 9.1% 5.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.9% 32.7% 40.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 57.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 60 - 9
Quad 32 - 72 - 16
Quad 47 - 69 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 230 Georgia Southern W 92-89 52%     1 - 0 -4.0 +2.4 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 8 102 @Richmond L 72-87 10%     1 - 1 -7.3 -0.9 -5.7
  Tue, Nov 18 108 @UNC Wilmington L 60-85 11%     1 - 2 -18.2 -8.5 -10.8
  Fri, Nov 21 267 Charleston Southern L 65-77 58%     1 - 3 -20.6 -11.1 -9.5
  Tue, Nov 25 12 Michigan St. L 56-89 2%     1 - 4 -15.0 -7.3 -6.7
  Thu, Nov 27 111 St. Bonaventure L 58-67 18%     1 - 5 -5.6 -13.6 +8.2
  Tue, Dec 2 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-56 78%     2 - 5 -2.7 +2.0 -2.5
  Sat, Dec 6 281 UNC Greensboro L 78-82 62%     2 - 6 -13.5 -0.1 -13.5
  Thu, Dec 11 231 Appalachian St. L 54-67 52%     2 - 7 -20.0 -16.9 -4.1
  Sun, Dec 14 216 Buffalo W 73-70 49%     3 - 7 -3.4 -4.0 +0.7
  Wed, Dec 17 263 Presbyterian W 67-65 57%    
  Mon, Dec 22 23 @North Carolina L 61-86 1%    
  Wed, Dec 31 206 Tulane L 73-74 49%    
  Wed, Jan 7 158 @Temple L 70-80 19%    
  Sun, Jan 11 119 UAB L 71-78 27%    
  Wed, Jan 14 86 @South Florida L 69-85 7%    
  Sun, Jan 18 194 Charlotte L 69-70 46%    
  Wed, Jan 21 100 @Wichita St. L 63-77 10%    
  Sat, Jan 24 145 @North Texas L 60-70 17%    
  Wed, Jan 28 208 Rice L 70-71 49%    
  Sun, Feb 1 117 @Florida Atlantic L 69-82 12%    
  Sat, Feb 7 158 Temple L 73-77 37%    
  Wed, Feb 11 286 Texas San Antonio W 74-71 61%    
  Sat, Feb 14 208 @Rice L 67-73 28%    
  Wed, Feb 18 100 Wichita St. L 66-74 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 194 @Charlotte L 66-73 25%    
  Wed, Feb 25 286 @Texas San Antonio L 71-74 41%    
  Sun, Mar 1 75 Memphis L 68-79 16%    
  Thu, Mar 5 83 Tulsa L 69-80 17%    
  Sun, Mar 8 119 @UAB L 68-81 13%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.4 0.2 3.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 2.6 0.5 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.4 1.3 0.1 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.2 2.8 0.2 13.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 4.2 7.6 3.9 0.5 0.0 16.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.5 5.8 8.8 4.6 0.6 0.0 21.4 12th
13th 1.0 4.0 7.6 7.2 3.7 0.5 0.0 24.0 13th
Total 1.0 4.1 9.1 13.7 17.2 16.6 13.8 10.6 6.4 3.9 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 70.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 13.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 5.6% 5.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.4% 2.4% 2.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 0.9% 3.1% 3.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
10-8 2.1% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
9-9 3.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.9
8-10 6.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.4
7-11 10.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-12 13.8% 13.8
5-13 16.6% 16.6
4-14 17.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.2
3-15 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.7
2-16 9.1% 9.1
1-17 4.1% 4.1
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%