Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.7#63
Expected Predictive Rating+12.9#42
Pace71.4#133
Improvement-1.3#270

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#64
First Shot+2.6#102
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#41
Layup/Dunks+2.7#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#119
Freethrows-1.3#262
Improvement-1.2#274

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#74
First Shot+3.4#70
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#188
Layups/Dunks-1.8#251
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#52
Freethrows+2.2#61
Improvement-0.1#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.7% 1.8% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.8% 28.0% 16.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 26.5% 27.7% 16.0%
Average Seed 9.3 9.3 9.6
.500 or above 89.8% 91.6% 74.3%
.500 or above in Conference 34.6% 35.5% 26.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 2.9% 4.9%
First Four8.0% 8.4% 4.9%
First Round22.3% 23.3% 13.6%
Second Round8.9% 9.3% 5.5%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 1.7% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Elon (Home) - 89.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 10
Quad 25 - 38 - 12
Quad 34 - 112 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 267 Charleston Southern W 98-67 94%     1 - 0 +22.4 +12.2 +7.0
  Sat, Nov 8 69 Providence W 107-101 OT 53%     2 - 0 +13.9 +11.6 +1.1
  Wed, Nov 12 173 Saint Joseph's W 94-59 88%     3 - 0 +31.0 +15.8 +13.4
  Sun, Nov 16 194 Charlotte W 84-76 90%     4 - 0 +2.6 +12.4 -9.3
  Wed, Nov 19 297 Bryant W 78-61 95%     5 - 0 +6.6 +2.6 +4.2
  Wed, Nov 26 72 Colorado St. W 66-64 53%     6 - 0 +9.9 +0.8 +9.3
  Thu, Nov 27 39 St. Mary's L 66-77 37%     6 - 1 +1.1 +2.8 -2.1
  Fri, Nov 28 51 Virginia Commonwealth L 68-86 41%     6 - 2 -7.1 +1.1 -8.0
  Tue, Dec 2 87 @South Carolina W 86-83 OT 48%     7 - 2 +12.1 +9.5 +2.3
  Sat, Dec 6 77 George Mason W 73-62 65%     8 - 2 +15.7 +9.1 +7.5
  Thu, Dec 11 296 Western Carolina W 96-74 95%     9 - 2 +11.6 +15.5 -4.7
  Sun, Dec 14 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 82-53 97%     10 - 2 +14.3 +9.9 +6.6
  Sat, Dec 20 190 Elon W 87-73 90%    
  Wed, Dec 31 26 Virginia L 75-78 39%    
  Sat, Jan 3 42 @Wake Forest L 75-81 28%    
  Wed, Jan 7 92 Stanford W 81-75 70%    
  Sat, Jan 10 81 California W 78-74 66%    
  Wed, Jan 14 38 @SMU L 76-82 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 55 Notre Dame W 74-72 57%    
  Wed, Jan 21 68 @Syracuse L 74-76 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 10 @Louisville L 75-88 11%    
  Tue, Jan 27 130 Georgia Tech W 79-69 81%    
  Sat, Jan 31 2 Duke L 69-80 16%    
  Sat, Feb 7 29 @North Carolina St. L 76-84 22%    
  Wed, Feb 11 35 @Clemson L 69-76 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 104 Florida St. W 86-78 75%    
  Tue, Feb 17 33 @Miami (FL) L 73-81 25%    
  Sat, Feb 21 42 Wake Forest L 78-79 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 23 @North Carolina L 72-82 19%    
  Tue, Mar 3 148 Boston College W 77-66 84%    
  Sat, Mar 7 26 @Virginia L 72-81 21%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.0 0.1 3.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 2.2 0.3 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 3.2 1.0 0.0 5.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.0 0.2 7.1 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 5.0 1.0 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 5.3 2.8 0.2 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 4.1 5.6 0.8 0.0 10.9 11th
12th 0.1 2.4 6.2 2.1 0.1 10.9 12th
13th 0.0 1.2 5.5 3.7 0.3 10.7 13th
14th 0.5 3.4 4.2 0.9 0.0 9.0 14th
15th 0.2 1.8 3.5 1.3 0.1 6.8 15th
16th 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 4.6 16th
17th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.7 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.6 5.4 9.9 13.9 16.2 16.3 13.5 9.8 6.0 3.4 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 52.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 13.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 8.0% 92.0% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.5% 100.0% 4.4% 95.6% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.3% 99.2% 4.8% 94.4% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
12-6 3.4% 95.4% 2.1% 93.3% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 95.3%
11-7 6.0% 87.1% 1.2% 85.9% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.8 86.9%
10-8 9.8% 67.2% 0.7% 66.5% 9.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.5 1.4 0.0 3.2 67.0%
9-9 13.5% 45.4% 0.3% 45.1% 10.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 2.6 0.0 7.3 45.3%
8-10 16.3% 18.2% 0.2% 17.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 0.1 13.3 18.0%
7-11 16.2% 4.0% 0.1% 3.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 15.6 3.9%
6-12 13.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.9 0.5%
5-13 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 9.9
4-14 5.4% 5.4
3-15 2.6% 2.6
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 26.8% 0.4% 26.4% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.1 3.6 5.2 7.1 6.9 0.2 73.2 26.5%