Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.2#340
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#277
Pace62.3#344
Improvement+3.0#24

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#353
First Shot-8.6#360
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#134
Layup/Dunks-8.6#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#245
Freethrows-0.7#228
Improvement-0.4#218

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#283
First Shot-1.2#216
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#313
Layups/Dunks+1.8#112
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#299
Freethrows-0.3#203
Improvement+3.4#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 4.5% 15.0% 3.9%
.500 or above in Conference 10.0% 17.2% 9.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.1% 16.0% 25.5%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Away) - 5.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 410 - 1011 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 73 @Dayton L 48-88 3%     0 - 1 -29.1 -13.5 -19.8
  Sat, Nov 8 111 @St. Bonaventure L 70-89 6%     0 - 2 -12.6 +7.3 -21.7
  Wed, Nov 12 329 Mercyhurst W 58-55 58%     1 - 2 -10.2 -12.5 +2.7
  Mon, Nov 17 105 @High Point L 50-93 5%     1 - 3 -36.0 -19.7 -18.7
  Fri, Nov 21 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 60-57 63%     2 - 3 -11.7 -6.3 -4.8
  Sun, Nov 23 356 Binghamton W 75-66 72%     3 - 3 -8.2 +3.6 -10.5
  Sat, Nov 29 216 Buffalo L 53-71 32%     3 - 4 -24.4 -20.9 -5.1
  Fri, Dec 5 293 @St. Peter's L 57-69 25%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -16.2 -11.2 -6.1
  Sun, Dec 7 165 @Siena L 52-74 10%     3 - 6 0 - 2 -19.3 -13.5 -7.7
  Sat, Dec 13 336 @Maine W 70-43 37%     4 - 6 +19.2 +4.1 +17.5
  Tue, Dec 16 115 @Rhode Island L 58-75 5%    
  Mon, Dec 22 138 @Duquesne L 64-80 7%    
  Fri, Jan 2 294 Fairfield L 67-68 47%    
  Sun, Jan 4 257 Sacred Heart L 69-72 39%    
  Fri, Jan 9 320 @Manhattan L 68-73 33%    
  Sun, Jan 11 171 @Iona L 64-77 11%    
  Wed, Jan 14 353 Niagara W 66-61 68%    
  Sat, Jan 17 298 Mount St. Mary's L 66-67 47%    
  Thu, Jan 22 257 @Sacred Heart L 66-75 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 294 @Fairfield L 64-71 27%    
  Fri, Jan 30 156 Marist L 58-66 22%    
  Sun, Feb 1 165 Siena L 60-68 23%    
  Tue, Feb 3 353 @Niagara L 63-64 46%    
  Thu, Feb 5 169 @Quinnipiac L 63-76 11%    
  Fri, Feb 13 171 Iona L 67-74 26%    
  Sun, Feb 15 320 Manhattan W 71-70 54%    
  Fri, Feb 20 348 @Rider L 61-63 42%    
  Sun, Feb 22 298 @Mount St. Mary's L 63-70 27%    
  Fri, Feb 27 271 Merrimack L 62-64 41%    
  Sun, Mar 1 169 Quinnipiac L 66-73 25%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 2.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.6 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.2 1.0 0.1 11.0 9th
10th 0.2 1.6 5.2 5.4 1.5 0.1 14.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.2 6.4 6.9 2.2 0.3 0.0 18.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 3.3 6.1 5.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 17.9 12th
13th 0.3 1.8 4.1 5.1 3.4 1.1 0.1 15.9 13th
Total 0.3 1.8 4.9 8.7 11.8 15.0 15.4 13.6 10.8 7.8 5.1 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 35.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 6.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 8.2% 8.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-7 0.6% 7.1% 7.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-8 1.4% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3
11-9 2.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 2.6
10-10 5.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 5.0
9-11 7.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.8
8-12 10.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.7
7-13 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.5
6-14 15.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.4
5-15 15.0% 15.0
4-16 11.8% 11.8
3-17 8.7% 8.7
2-18 4.9% 4.9
1-19 1.8% 1.8
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%