Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.6 #199
Expected Predictive Rating -2.2 #205
Pace 71.2 #115
Improvement -0.3 #200

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #93 B- C C C B-
Defense #334 D C D D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #197 1.23 #96 +1.0 #142
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #311 0.85 #56 -1.8 #275
Three Pointers 48% #41 1.03 #169 +4.1 #54
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #84 +3.2 #84
Freethrows 0.30 #191 75% #87 0.23 #152
Second Chance 30.0% #204 1.11 #92 0.33 #144
Turnovers 16.1% #156
Total Offense +3.1 #93

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #49 1.19 #225 -3.7 #301
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #276 0.79 #229 +0.9 #124
Three Pointers 39% #246 1.16 #342 -1.7 #263
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #314 -4.5 #314
Freethrows 0.34 #293 73% #203 0.24 #289
Second Chance 33.7% #308 0.98 #93 0.33 #220
Turnovers 14.0% #318
Total Defense -5.7 #334

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.6% #80 1.5% #313
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.7% #101 7.1% #311
Possession Length 16.2 #70 18.1 #292
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #208 0.18 #229
Improvement -1.5 #259 +1.2 #109

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.5% 18.0% 14.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.3
.500 or above 87.7% 94.0% 78.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.8% 100.0% 99.5%
Conference Champion 20.6% 27.4% 10.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.0% 0.7% 1.4%
First Round16.1% 17.7% 13.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Away) - 60.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 41 - 10
Quad 417 - 418 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 126 Winthrop L 74 - 81 32% -2  0 - 1 -5 -1 D B F -4 A- F C-
 Sat, Nov 8 36 @Villanova L 74 - 94 5% -12  0 - 2 -3 +11 A+ F F+ -14 C+ F D-
 Tue, Nov 11 122 @Duquesne L 81 - 87 OT 22% -9  0 - 3 -1 -4 C- F D +5 B- A- C+
 Sat, Nov 15 277 Sacred Heart W 81 - 64 75% +13  1 - 3 +7 +2 B+ C- F +6 B- A+ D
 Thu, Nov 20 305 UNC Greensboro W 101 - 94 80% +8  2 - 3 -4 +23 A+ B- A- -27 F F F
 Sun, Nov 23 158 @Furman L 79 - 90 29% -11  2 - 4 -8 +17 C+ A- A+ -26 F B- F
 Fri, Nov 28 22 @Virginia L 69 - 94 3% -12  2 - 5 -5 +10 C- A+ D -18 F A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 3 363 Gardner-Webb W 107 - 74 95% +14  3 - 5 +12 +19 A+ B+ C -9 A+ F F
 Fri, Dec 12 359 South Carolina St. W 102 - 78 92% +19  4 - 5 +6 +19 B C A+ -13 D- F D+
 Sun, Dec 14 68 @Wake Forest L 73 - 111 10% -19  4 - 6 -27 +4 B D+ B -30 F D C-
 Tue, Dec 16 21 @Arkansas L 80 - 108 3% -20  4 - 7 -8 +4 C+ C+ F -9 D- F A
 Mon, Dec 29 25 @Auburn L 65 - 106 4% -30  4 - 8 -22 -5 F C+ C- -15 F C C
 Thu, Jan 1 263 Eastern Kentucky W 91 - 89 72% +1  5 - 8 1 - 0 -7 +11 C A A+ -17 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 303 Bellarmine W 98 - 76 80% +10  6 - 8 2 - 0 +11 +11 B- B- C- -1 F+ A- B
 Thu, Jan 8 285 @Jacksonville W 77 - 51 56% +15  7 - 8 3 - 0 +22 +9 A+ F D+ +15 A C- A-
 Sat, Jan 10 348 @North Florida W 89 - 82 74% +2  8 - 8 4 - 0 -2 +3 D+ B C -5 D+ C F
 Thu, Jan 15 232 @Florida Gulf Coast W 85 - 74 44% +6  9 - 8 5 - 0 +10 +8 D+ C A+ +2 A+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 17 329 @Stetson W 87 - 81 68% +8  10 - 8 6 - 0 -1 +11 C+ D- A+ -12 F+ D+ D
 Wed, Jan 21 330 North Alabama W 87 - 62 85% +10  11 - 8 7 - 0 +11 +9 B B D- +3 C+ B- A+
 Sat, Jan 24 328 @West Georgia L 66 - 74 68% -4  11 - 9 7 - 1 -15 -8 F B- F+ -8 F B+ C+
 Wed, Jan 28 219 Central Arkansas L 90 - 100 65% +1  11 - 10 7 - 2 -16 +9 A+ F B -25 F D F+
 Sat, Jan 31 303 @Bellarmine W 85 - 82 60%
 Thu, Feb 5 285 Jacksonville W 78 - 70 76%
 Sat, Feb 7 348 North Florida W 97 - 84 88%
 Wed, Feb 11 172 Austin Peay W 80 - 79 55%
 Sat, Feb 14 169 Lipscomb W 82 - 81 54%
 Wed, Feb 18 330 @North Alabama W 82 - 77 68%
 Sat, Feb 21 328 West Georgia W 86 - 75 84%
 Wed, Feb 25 263 @Eastern Kentucky L 82 - 83 50%
 Sat, Feb 28 219 @Central Arkansas L 79 - 81 42%
Totals 17 - 13 13 - 5 -3 +3 B- C C -6 D C D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.0 7.8 8.2 2.4 20.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 3.3 11.8 10.7 1.9 27.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 4.4 12.1 10.6 2.1 0.0 29.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.5 8.0 5.9 1.0 0.0 18.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.4 5.4 13.0 21.4 25.4 20.7 10.1 2.4 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 2.4    2.1 0.3
15-3 80.9% 8.2    4.6 3.1 0.4
14-4 37.7% 7.8    2.1 3.9 1.7 0.1
13-5 8.0% 2.0    0.3 0.7 0.8 0.2
12-6 0.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.6% 20.6 9.1 8.1 3.0 0.4



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 2.4% 32.4% 32.4% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.6
15-3 10.1% 23.5% 23.5% 14.5 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.0 7.7
14-4 20.7% 20.5% 20.5% 14.9 0.0 0.7 2.9 0.5 16.5
13-5 25.4% 17.1% 17.1% 15.2 0.0 0.4 2.6 1.3 21.0
12-6 21.4% 13.6% 13.6% 15.5 0.1 1.4 1.5 18.5
11-7 13.0% 10.1% 10.1% 15.6 0.5 0.9 11.7
10-8 5.4% 8.9% 8.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 4.9
9-9 1.4% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.1 1.3
8-10 0.2% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 16.5% 16.5% 0.0% 15.1 83.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 13.6 4.5 35.7 52.2 7.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%