South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#262
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#239
Pace71.6#128
Improvement+1.6#74

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#288
First Shot-3.4#274
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#238
Layup/Dunks-0.7#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#128
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#275
Freethrows-0.6#219
Improvement+0.3#154

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#209
First Shot+1.1#129
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#317
Layups/Dunks-2.2#261
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#118
Freethrows+0.1#175
Improvement+1.3#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.3% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 28.1% 33.5% 14.1%
.500 or above in Conference 49.2% 52.3% 41.2%
Conference Champion 2.5% 2.9% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 4.1% 6.9%
First Four1.5% 1.4% 1.8%
First Round3.2% 3.6% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Away) - 72.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 126 @California Baptist L 75-87 16%     0 - 1 -6.7 +3.7 -10.3
  Wed, Nov 5 183 @Fresno St. W 67-66 25%     1 - 1 +2.4 -5.3 +7.7
  Sat, Nov 15 108 @UNC Wilmington L 60-73 13%     1 - 2 -6.2 -2.8 -5.2
  Wed, Nov 19 266 Tennessee Tech L 84-88 62%     1 - 3 -12.6 +0.1 -12.4
  Fri, Nov 21 314 @West Georgia L 64-72 52%     1 - 4 -14.0 -13.0 -0.9
  Tue, Nov 25 350 NC Central W 82-67 82%     2 - 4 -0.3 +5.2 -5.2
  Sat, Nov 29 25 @Nebraska L 63-72 3%     2 - 5 +8.9 -3.4 +12.5
  Wed, Dec 3 244 Coastal Carolina W 85-78 OT 59%     3 - 5 -0.7 -0.5 -1.1
  Sat, Dec 6 296 Western Carolina W 78-67 68%     4 - 5 +0.6 -1.0 +1.3
  Sat, Dec 13 23 @North Carolina L 62-80 2%     4 - 6 +0.2 +4.1 -5.6
  Tue, Dec 16 360 @South Carolina St. W 76-70 72%    
  Sat, Dec 20 166 @Youngstown St. L 68-76 23%    
  Wed, Dec 31 255 Radford W 80-77 60%    
  Sat, Jan 3 263 @Presbyterian L 65-68 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 112 Winthrop L 75-81 29%    
  Wed, Jan 14 267 @Charleston Southern L 72-75 39%    
  Sat, Jan 17 105 @High Point L 73-86 13%    
  Wed, Jan 21 222 UNC Asheville W 74-73 54%    
  Sat, Jan 24 357 @Gardner-Webb W 80-74 70%    
  Thu, Jan 29 308 Longwood W 78-72 70%    
  Wed, Feb 4 222 @UNC Asheville L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 267 Charleston Southern W 75-72 61%    
  Thu, Feb 12 105 High Point L 76-83 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 308 @Longwood L 75-76 50%    
  Thu, Feb 19 112 @Winthrop L 72-84 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 263 Presbyterian W 68-65 60%    
  Thu, Feb 26 255 @Radford L 77-80 38%    
  Sat, Feb 28 357 Gardner-Webb W 83-71 86%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 5.9 5.8 2.4 0.4 0.0 16.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.8 7.5 6.0 1.6 0.1 18.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.9 7.9 5.7 1.1 0.1 17.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 7.1 4.5 0.8 0.0 15.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.3 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.2 6.3 10.1 13.8 15.9 15.8 13.5 9.6 5.8 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 88.5% 0.3    0.3 0.1
13-3 62.3% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.0
12-4 30.6% 0.9    0.3 0.5 0.1
11-5 6.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 34.8% 34.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 19.5% 19.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.2% 18.2% 18.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
12-4 2.8% 14.7% 14.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.4
11-5 5.8% 8.6% 8.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 5.3
10-6 9.6% 6.9% 6.9% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 8.9
9-7 13.5% 4.8% 4.8% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 12.9
8-8 15.8% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.1 0.5 15.3
7-9 15.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.4 15.5
6-10 13.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.6
5-11 10.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 9.9
4-12 6.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.3
3-13 3.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.2
2-14 1.2% 1.2
1-15 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.3 96.1 0.0%