College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#170
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#201
Pace66.8#256
Improvement+2.9#29

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#161
First Shot-0.5#187
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#131
Layup/Dunks-0.2#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#235
Freethrows+1.1#108
Improvement-0.2#203

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#203
First Shot-3.0#272
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#57
Layups/Dunks+1.4#126
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#346
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#297
Freethrows+2.0#72
Improvement+3.1#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 6.7% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 14.8
.500 or above 53.4% 55.0% 26.1%
.500 or above in Conference 65.9% 66.8% 50.8%
Conference Champion 6.5% 6.7% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 2.4% 4.7%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.6%
First Round6.5% 6.6% 4.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Home) - 94.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 51 - 5
Quad 35 - 86 - 13
Quad 410 - 316 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 109 @Liberty L 75-90 23%     0 - 1 -8.2 +13.3 -23.3
  Sat, Nov 8 117 Florida Atlantic L 77-94 35%     0 - 2 -13.7 +6.6 -21.0
  Fri, Nov 14 360 South Carolina St. W 88-61 93%     1 - 2 +9.3 +11.3 -0.9
  Mon, Nov 17 136 Drake L 62-71 52%     1 - 3 -10.4 -11.7 +1.1
  Fri, Nov 21 152 Massachusetts W 69-65 45%     2 - 3 +4.5 -0.4 +5.0
  Sun, Nov 23 79 Yale L 63-74 22%     2 - 4 -3.6 -6.3 +1.8
  Mon, Nov 24 275 Evansville W 78-59 69%     3 - 4 +13.0 +3.7 +9.2
  Sun, Nov 30 85 Belmont L 73-96 33%     3 - 5 -19.4 +0.3 -19.5
  Wed, Dec 10 86 @South Florida L 75-81 17%     3 - 6 +3.5 +7.7 -4.3
  Sun, Dec 14 194 Charlotte W 74-67 67%     4 - 6 +1.6 -0.3 +2.1
  Wed, Dec 17 361 The Citadel W 80-63 94%    
  Sun, Dec 21 193 @Northern Kentucky L 73-75 43%    
  Mon, Dec 29 272 Drexel W 73-65 78%    
  Wed, Dec 31 190 @Elon L 76-78 43%    
  Mon, Jan 5 121 William & Mary L 79-80 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 229 Hampton W 72-66 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 139 @Towson L 66-71 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 197 @Stony Brook L 70-71 45%    
  Thu, Jan 22 228 Campbell W 78-72 71%    
  Sat, Jan 24 190 Elon W 79-75 64%    
  Thu, Jan 29 114 @Hofstra L 67-74 26%    
  Sat, Jan 31 209 @Northeastern L 71-72 48%    
  Thu, Feb 5 310 N.C. A&T W 79-68 84%    
  Mon, Feb 9 108 UNC Wilmington L 70-72 45%    
  Thu, Feb 12 114 Hofstra L 70-71 46%    
  Sat, Feb 14 228 @Campbell W 75-74 50%    
  Thu, Feb 19 310 @N.C. A&T W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 220 Monmouth W 75-69 70%    
  Thu, Feb 26 229 @Hampton W 70-69 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 108 @UNC Wilmington L 67-75 25%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.1 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 6.4 2.8 0.3 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.8 3.5 0.4 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.4 4.2 0.6 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.4 1.0 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 3.5 1.6 0.1 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.8 0.2 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.4 6.4 9.3 12.3 14.1 14.4 12.5 10.7 7.2 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 95.7% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 80.4% 1.6    1.1 0.5 0.1
14-4 51.1% 2.1    1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 20.7% 1.5    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.2 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 32.3% 32.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 30.9% 30.9% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-3 2.0% 22.9% 22.9% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6
14-4 4.1% 19.9% 19.9% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 3.3
13-5 7.2% 14.0% 14.0% 13.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 6.2
12-6 10.7% 12.6% 12.6% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 9.4
11-7 12.5% 8.7% 8.7% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 11.4
10-8 14.4% 4.9% 4.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 13.7
9-9 14.1% 3.1% 3.1% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 13.7
8-10 12.3% 2.1% 2.1% 15.6 0.1 0.2 12.1
7-11 9.3% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.2
6-12 6.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 3.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.2 1.7 0.5 93.4 0.0%