TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#210
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#198
Pace68.4#213
Improvement+0.4#159

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#297
First Shot-6.3#339
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#78
Layup/Dunks-0.7#211
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#314
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement-0.3#214

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#123
First Shot+0.0#170
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#88
Layups/Dunks+3.2#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#246
Freethrows-3.9#351
Improvement+0.7#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 7.4% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.5
.500 or above 30.9% 50.2% 25.0%
.500 or above in Conference 63.1% 82.0% 57.2%
Conference Champion 4.5% 10.9% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.1% 1.4% 6.2%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round4.3% 7.3% 3.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Away) - 23.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 33 - 53 - 11
Quad 49 - 512 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 38 @SMU L 58-69 5%     0 - 1 +4.1 -7.9 +11.7
  Sat, Nov 8 199 @Tarleton St. L 77-85 36%     0 - 2 -7.6 +5.8 -13.4
  Tue, Nov 11 17 @Kansas L 46-77 3%     0 - 3 -11.1 -15.8 +5.2
  Sun, Nov 16 53 @Oklahoma St. L 69-85 7%     0 - 4 -2.7 -5.7 +4.7
  Fri, Nov 28 76 @Xavier L 67-88 10%     0 - 5 -10.3 -4.5 -4.5
  Sat, Dec 6 223 @Lamar W 57-49 40%     1 - 5 1 - 0 +7.4 -3.1 +11.7
  Wed, Dec 17 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 65-73 24%    
  Mon, Dec 29 259 Nicholls St. W 72-67 69%    
  Wed, Dec 31 247 New Orleans W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Jan 3 207 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 68-71 39%    
  Mon, Jan 5 274 @Houston Christian L 68-69 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 273 @Northwestern St. L 68-69 48%    
  Mon, Jan 12 303 @East Texas A&M W 70-68 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 258 SE Louisiana W 69-64 68%    
  Mon, Jan 19 70 McNeese St. L 64-72 23%    
  Sat, Jan 24 191 @Incarnate Word L 68-72 35%    
  Mon, Jan 26 207 UT Rio Grande Valley W 71-68 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 274 Houston Christian W 71-65 69%    
  Mon, Feb 2 191 Incarnate Word W 71-69 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 259 @Nicholls St. L 69-70 47%    
  Mon, Feb 9 247 @New Orleans L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 223 Lamar W 66-63 62%    
  Mon, Feb 16 140 Stephen F. Austin L 68-70 44%    
  Sat, Feb 21 70 @McNeese St. L 61-75 11%    
  Mon, Feb 23 258 @SE Louisiana L 66-67 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 273 Northwestern St. W 72-66 69%    
  Mon, Mar 2 303 East Texas A&M W 73-65 75%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 12 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.6 3.4 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.9 5.0 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.4 4.8 2.1 0.5 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 4.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.5 1.4 0.2 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 3.6 1.7 0.2 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.1 4.9 6.8 8.8 10.5 11.8 11.6 11.1 9.4 7.4 5.4 3.4 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
20-2 97.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
19-3 83.8% 0.7    0.6 0.1
18-4 62.2% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
17-5 34.8% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
16-6 14.8% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-7 4.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.4 1.7 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
21-1 0.1% 47.6% 47.6% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.3% 22.7% 22.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
19-3 0.9% 30.9% 30.9% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6
18-4 1.7% 20.6% 20.6% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3
17-5 3.4% 18.1% 18.1% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.8
16-6 5.4% 14.0% 14.0% 14.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.6
15-7 7.4% 10.7% 10.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 6.6
14-8 9.4% 6.7% 6.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 8.8
13-9 11.1% 4.3% 4.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 10.6
12-10 11.6% 2.2% 2.2% 15.6 0.1 0.2 11.4
11-11 11.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.7
10-12 10.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.5
9-13 8.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.8
8-14 6.8% 6.8
7-15 4.9% 4.9
6-16 3.1% 3.1
5-17 1.7% 1.7
4-18 0.7% 0.7
3-19 0.3% 0.3
2-20 0.1% 0.1
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.7 0.6 95.6 0.0%