Northwestern St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#273
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#291
Pace63.3#325
Improvement+4.2#13

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#191
First Shot+0.1#166
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#251
Layup/Dunks-7.5#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#201
Freethrows+3.1#31
Improvement+1.1#88

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#332
First Shot-4.6#325
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#217
Layups/Dunks-2.9#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#275
Freethrows-1.0#248
Improvement+3.0#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.6% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 5.9% 9.1% 2.4%
.500 or above in Conference 37.0% 48.2% 24.3%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.8% 6.4% 20.0%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round1.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lamar (Home) - 52.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 48 - 710 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 45 @Texas A&M L 68-98 4%     0 - 1 -15.7 -3.7 -9.8
  Thu, Nov 6 145 @North Texas L 53-80 18%     0 - 2 -23.1 -4.6 -23.4
  Tue, Nov 11 195 @North Alabama L 83-87 OT 27%     0 - 3 -3.4 +5.6 -8.8
  Tue, Nov 18 95 @San Francisco L 64-84 10%     0 - 4 -11.5 +3.4 -17.5
  Fri, Nov 21 91 @Grand Canyon L 72-85 9%     0 - 5 -4.2 +6.5 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 29 203 Southern L 73-75 50%     0 - 6 -7.8 -0.5 -7.4
  Fri, Dec 5 70 @McNeese St. L 54-92 7%     0 - 7 0 - 1 -27.1 -9.7 -19.1
  Sun, Dec 7 258 @SE Louisiana W 76-68 36%     1 - 7 1 - 1 +5.7 +9.5 -3.3
  Sat, Dec 13 81 @California L 70-79 7%     1 - 8 +1.3 +4.8 -3.9
  Mon, Dec 29 223 Lamar W 67-66 53%    
  Wed, Dec 31 140 Stephen F. Austin L 69-73 35%    
  Sat, Jan 3 247 New Orleans W 76-74 58%    
  Mon, Jan 5 259 @Nicholls St. L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 69-68 52%    
  Mon, Jan 12 207 UT Rio Grande Valley W 72-71 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 191 @Incarnate Word L 68-75 26%    
  Mon, Jan 19 274 @Houston Christian L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 303 East Texas A&M W 74-69 68%    
  Mon, Jan 26 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 66-76 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 247 @New Orleans L 73-77 35%    
  Mon, Feb 2 259 Nicholls St. W 72-70 59%    
  Sat, Feb 7 303 @East Texas A&M L 71-72 47%    
  Mon, Feb 9 223 @Lamar L 64-69 32%    
  Sat, Feb 14 258 SE Louisiana W 70-68 59%    
  Mon, Feb 16 70 McNeese St. L 65-76 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 274 Houston Christian W 72-69 61%    
  Mon, Feb 23 191 Incarnate Word L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-72 31%    
  Mon, Mar 2 207 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-75 31%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 2.4 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 3.3 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.9 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.3 1.2 0.1 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.1 1.7 0.1 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.5 2.1 0.2 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.9 3.0 0.3 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.5 2.8 0.6 0.0 9.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.4 1.5 0.4 0.0 7.8 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.5 4.7 7.0 9.9 11.6 13.2 12.5 11.2 9.2 6.8 4.7 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
19-3 87.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
18-4 58.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-5 37.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-6 13.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
15-7 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.1% 30.4% 30.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.2% 24.2% 24.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-5 0.6% 15.5% 15.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
16-6 1.4% 12.5% 12.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
15-7 2.8% 7.4% 7.4% 15.3 0.2 0.1 2.6
14-8 4.7% 4.1% 4.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.5
13-9 6.8% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.6
12-10 9.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.2
11-11 11.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.1
10-12 12.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.5
9-13 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.2
8-14 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.6
7-15 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.9
6-16 7.0% 7.0
5-17 4.7% 4.7
4-18 2.5% 2.5
3-19 1.2% 1.2
2-20 0.3% 0.3
1-21 0.1% 0.1
0-22
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 98.8 0.0%