New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#247
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#203
Pace72.6#96
Improvement-5.4#363

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#187
First Shot-2.0#229
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#114
Layup/Dunks-2.0#259
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#218
Freethrows+2.6#46
Improvement-1.2#278

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#301
First Shot-0.1#181
After Offensive Rebounds-3.7#352
Layups/Dunks+3.2#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#105
Freethrows-3.9#350
Improvement-4.2#360
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.7% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 14.9
.500 or above 10.6% 19.4% 6.2%
.500 or above in Conference 37.7% 55.2% 29.2%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 11.0% 4.7% 14.0%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round1.5% 2.5% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Away) - 32.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 20 - 31 - 7
Quad 33 - 64 - 13
Quad 48 - 712 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 49 @TCU W 78-74 5%     1 - 0 +18.0 +9.0 +8.7
  Mon, Nov 10 34 @LSU L 58-93 4%     1 - 1 -19.2 -9.9 -7.9
  Fri, Nov 14 206 @Tulane W 85-63 32%     2 - 1 +22.0 +15.4 +8.0
  Tue, Nov 18 292 @Pepperdine L 79-90 48%     2 - 2 -15.2 +2.4 -17.1
  Fri, Nov 21 183 @Fresno St. L 76-85 27%     2 - 3 -7.6 -3.0 -3.7
  Mon, Nov 24 80 @Mississippi St. L 78-81 OT 9%     2 - 4 +7.4 +2.6 +5.0
  Wed, Nov 26 24 @Texas Tech L 50-82 3%     2 - 5 -14.0 -15.9 +2.1
  Wed, Dec 3 75 @Memphis L 70-86 8%     2 - 6 -5.3 +3.1 -8.3
  Sat, Dec 6 274 Houston Christian L 76-85 66%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -17.9 +1.8 -20.3
  Mon, Dec 8 191 Incarnate Word W 84-83 50%     3 - 7 1 - 1 -3.9 +7.4 -11.2
  Sat, Dec 13 8 @Houston L 57-99 1%     3 - 8 -19.1 -1.6 -18.8
  Mon, Dec 29 207 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 74-79 33%    
  Wed, Dec 31 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 273 @Northwestern St. L 74-76 42%    
  Mon, Jan 5 303 East Texas A&M W 79-73 71%    
  Sat, Jan 10 259 Nicholls St. W 78-74 63%    
  Mon, Jan 12 258 @SE Louisiana L 71-74 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 140 Stephen F. Austin L 74-77 39%    
  Mon, Jan 19 223 Lamar W 71-69 56%    
  Sat, Jan 24 70 @McNeese St. L 67-83 8%    
  Mon, Jan 26 259 @Nicholls St. L 75-77 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 273 Northwestern St. W 77-73 65%    
  Mon, Feb 2 303 @East Texas A&M W 77-76 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 207 UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-76 55%    
  Mon, Feb 9 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-73 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 274 @Houston Christian L 73-75 44%    
  Mon, Feb 16 191 @Incarnate Word L 73-79 30%    
  Sat, Feb 21 223 @Lamar L 68-72 36%    
  Mon, Feb 23 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 71-80 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 70 McNeese St. L 70-80 19%    
  Mon, Mar 2 258 SE Louisiana W 74-71 62%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.4 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.0 3.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.7 1.4 0.1 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.6 1.6 0.1 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.2 3.2 0.5 9.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.3 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 6.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.1 6.6 9.6 12.0 13.6 13.4 11.8 9.8 6.8 4.6 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 94.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0
18-4 71.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-5 39.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-6 16.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-7 5.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-4 0.2% 28.8% 28.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-5 0.6% 20.5% 20.5% 13.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-6 1.4% 15.0% 15.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2
15-7 2.6% 9.6% 9.6% 14.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.3
14-8 4.6% 5.4% 5.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 4.3
13-9 6.8% 3.5% 3.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.6
12-10 9.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.7
11-11 11.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.6
10-12 13.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.3
9-13 13.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.6
8-14 12.0% 12.0
7-15 9.6% 9.6
6-16 6.6% 6.6
5-17 4.1% 4.1
4-18 2.0% 2.0
3-19 0.8% 0.8
2-20 0.2% 0.2
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 98.4 0.0%