Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#259
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#310
Pace69.9#172
Improvement+1.9#68

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#284
First Shot-2.3#238
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#295
Layup/Dunks-2.7#279
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#315
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#86
Freethrows-0.2#189
Improvement+2.3#37

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#212
First Shot-1.9#240
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#132
Layups/Dunks+0.0#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#252
Freethrows-1.4#266
Improvement-0.5#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.0% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 7.1% 9.7% 2.7%
.500 or above in Conference 40.9% 50.0% 25.3%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 6.8% 19.8%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round1.4% 1.8% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Home) - 63.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 48 - 710 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 22 @Kentucky L 51-77 2%     0 - 1 -7.4 -12.3 +4.9
  Fri, Nov 7 333 @Eastern Illinois L 57-65 58%     0 - 2 -15.5 -17.1 +1.5
  Wed, Nov 12 213 @Valparaiso L 63-68 31%     0 - 3 -5.3 -1.1 -4.7
  Sat, Nov 15 99 @Murray St. L 79-99 11%     0 - 4 -12.1 +1.7 -12.3
  Sat, Nov 22 53 @Oklahoma St. L 81-95 5%     0 - 5 -0.7 +2.0 -0.7
  Fri, Nov 28 206 @Tulane L 72-82 30%     0 - 6 -10.0 -2.2 -8.0
  Tue, Dec 2 59 @Creighton L 76-96 6%     0 - 7 -7.7 +9.9 -18.1
  Sat, Dec 6 191 Incarnate Word W 74-67 48%     1 - 7 1 - 0 +2.1 +1.2 +1.4
  Wed, Dec 17 274 Houston Christian W 72-68 63%    
  Sun, Dec 21 128 @Pacific L 65-75 16%    
  Mon, Dec 29 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-72 31%    
  Wed, Dec 31 207 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-75 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 303 East Texas A&M W 74-69 69%    
  Mon, Jan 5 273 Northwestern St. W 73-69 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 247 @New Orleans L 74-78 37%    
  Mon, Jan 12 70 @McNeese St. L 62-78 7%    
  Sat, Jan 17 223 Lamar W 67-66 54%    
  Mon, Jan 19 140 Stephen F. Austin L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 258 @SE Louisiana L 67-70 39%    
  Mon, Jan 26 247 New Orleans W 77-75 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 303 @East Texas A&M L 71-72 48%    
  Mon, Feb 2 273 @Northwestern St. L 70-72 41%    
  Sat, Feb 7 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 70-69 53%    
  Mon, Feb 9 207 UT Rio Grande Valley W 73-72 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 191 @Incarnate Word L 69-75 28%    
  Mon, Feb 16 274 @Houston Christian L 69-71 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 66-76 19%    
  Mon, Feb 23 223 @Lamar L 64-69 34%    
  Sat, Feb 28 258 SE Louisiana W 70-67 61%    
  Mon, Mar 2 70 McNeese St. L 65-75 18%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.4 2.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.4 3.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.9 3.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.5 1.3 0.1 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.0 1.6 0.1 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.3 2.3 0.2 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.8 2.9 0.5 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.4 2.7 0.7 0.0 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 6.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 4.0 6.7 9.0 11.1 12.5 12.4 11.5 9.5 7.4 5.3 3.6 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 76.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-4 66.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1
17-5 28.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
16-6 16.5% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-7 4.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0
21-1 0.0% 0.0
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.2% 19.6% 19.6% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.4% 23.8% 23.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-5 1.0% 12.4% 12.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
16-6 2.0% 11.0% 11.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.8
15-7 3.6% 7.3% 7.3% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.3
14-8 5.3% 5.8% 5.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.0
13-9 7.4% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.3
12-10 9.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.4
11-11 11.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 11.4
10-12 12.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.4
9-13 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.5
8-14 11.1% 11.1
7-15 9.0% 9.0
6-16 6.7% 6.7
5-17 4.0% 4.0
4-18 2.0% 2.0
3-19 1.0% 1.0
2-20 0.3% 0.3
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 98.4 0.0%