East Texas A&M
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#295
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#186
Pace71.3#137
Improvement+1.6#77

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#315
First Shot-4.0#289
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#272
Layup/Dunks-2.5#269
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#126
Freethrows-3.3#337
Improvement+1.6#64

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#238
First Shot-3.5#298
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#74
Layups/Dunks-5.5#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#179
Freethrows+0.3#161
Improvement+0.0#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 1.4% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 13.9 15.2
.500 or above 11.6% 32.8% 11.1%
.500 or above in Conference 23.0% 36.5% 22.7%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 22.6% 10.9% 22.8%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.4% 1.2% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 2.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 410 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 72 @New Mexico L 54-76 5%     0 - 1 -11.1 -17.9 +8.8
  Sun, Nov 9 110 @Hawaii L 74-100 10%     0 - 2 -19.5 +1.4 -18.4
  Fri, Nov 14 207 @Rice L 64-71 25%     0 - 3 -7.1 -5.3 -2.2
  Mon, Nov 24 361 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 70-65 67%     1 - 3 -6.8 -6.5 -0.1
  Tue, Nov 25 332 Army W 84-67 62%     2 - 3 +6.6 +7.8 -1.0
  Fri, Dec 5 6 @Connecticut L 59-83 1%     2 - 4 -0.4 +2.0 -3.9
  Sun, Dec 7 281 Central Arkansas W 75-68 58%     3 - 4 -2.5 -4.8 +1.9
  Fri, Dec 12 69 @McNeese St. L 66-102 5%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -25.0 -8.5 -12.4
  Mon, Dec 15 272 @SE Louisiana W 70-69 33%     4 - 5 1 - 1 -1.9 +4.1 -5.9
  Sun, Dec 21 45 @Texas A&M L 67-89 2%    
  Mon, Dec 29 140 Stephen F. Austin L 68-74 29%    
  Wed, Dec 31 224 Lamar L 66-67 48%    
  Sat, Jan 3 258 @Nicholls St. L 69-74 32%    
  Mon, Jan 5 247 @New Orleans L 73-79 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 206 UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-73 46%    
  Mon, Jan 12 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-70 46%    
  Sat, Jan 17 273 @Houston Christian L 69-73 34%    
  Mon, Jan 19 176 @Incarnate Word L 67-76 19%    
  Sat, Jan 24 275 @Northwestern St. L 69-73 34%    
  Mon, Jan 26 224 @Lamar L 63-70 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 258 Nicholls St. W 72-71 54%    
  Mon, Feb 2 247 New Orleans W 77-76 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 275 Northwestern St. W 72-70 56%    
  Mon, Feb 9 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 65-77 15%    
  Sat, Feb 14 69 McNeese St. L 65-77 13%    
  Mon, Feb 16 272 SE Louisiana W 71-69 56%    
  Sat, Feb 21 176 Incarnate Word L 70-73 38%    
  Mon, Feb 23 273 Houston Christian W 72-70 55%    
  Sat, Feb 28 206 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-76 26%    
  Mon, Mar 2 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-73 27%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.3 2.4 0.6 0.1 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.1 0.7 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.5 1.2 0.1 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.4 1.9 0.1 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.5 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 5.5 3.5 0.7 0.0 14.1 11th
12th 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.1 4.3 2.5 0.6 0.0 14.9 12th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.4 5.0 8.1 10.9 12.6 13.2 12.4 11.3 8.6 6.2 3.7 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 40.0% 0.0    0.0
18-4 81.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-5 30.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-6 10.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-7 3.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0
19-3 0.0% 0.0
18-4 0.1% 0.1
17-5 0.2% 10.7% 10.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-6 0.6% 10.5% 10.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-7 1.3% 5.9% 5.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-8 2.3% 3.8% 3.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.2
13-9 3.7% 1.8% 1.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
12-10 6.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.1
11-11 8.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 8.6
10-12 11.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.2
9-13 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
8-14 13.2% 13.2
7-15 12.6% 12.6
6-16 10.9% 10.9
5-17 8.1% 8.1
4-18 5.0% 5.0
3-19 2.4% 2.4
2-20 0.9% 0.9
1-21 0.2% 0.2
0-22
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%