SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#258
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#251
Pace67.5#238
Improvement+1.5#78

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#316
First Shot-2.3#243
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#346
Layup/Dunks-2.8#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#341
Freethrows+3.9#14
Improvement+0.9#108

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#160
First Shot+0.8#136
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#238
Layups/Dunks+2.1#105
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#76
Freethrows-3.2#337
Improvement+0.6#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.6% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 15.3
.500 or above 12.3% 15.5% 4.7%
.500 or above in Conference 34.5% 41.4% 18.4%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 8.2% 25.1%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.2% 1.5% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Texas A&M (Home) - 69.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 63 - 12
Quad 49 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 60 @Mississippi L 58-88 6%     0 - 1 -17.8 -5.3 -14.1
  Fri, Nov 7 325 @Louisiana L 52-58 55%     0 - 2 -12.7 -10.6 -3.3
  Mon, Nov 10 130 @Georgia Tech L 60-70 17%     0 - 3 -5.2 -11.7 +7.3
  Sat, Nov 15 80 @Mississippi St. L 68-75 8%     0 - 4 +3.4 -3.4 +7.1
  Wed, Nov 26 108 @UNC Wilmington L 57-70 13%     0 - 5 -6.2 -7.3 -0.4
  Fri, Nov 28 357 Gardner-Webb W 76-68 80%     1 - 5 -6.2 -5.4 -0.9
  Sat, Nov 29 204 Navy W 69-65 40%     2 - 5 +1.2 +2.1 -0.5
  Sun, Dec 7 273 Northwestern St. L 68-76 64%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -16.9 -7.1 -10.2
  Sat, Dec 13 274 @Houston Christian W 74-71 OT 41%     3 - 6 1 - 1 +0.1 -2.1 +2.2
  Mon, Dec 15 303 East Texas A&M W 72-66 70%    
  Fri, Dec 19 34 @LSU L 61-82 2%    
  Tue, Dec 30 191 @Incarnate Word L 66-72 27%    
  Sat, Jan 3 140 Stephen F. Austin L 66-70 37%    
  Mon, Jan 5 223 Lamar W 64-63 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 70 @McNeese St. L 60-76 7%    
  Mon, Jan 12 247 New Orleans W 74-71 59%    
  Sat, Jan 17 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64-69 32%    
  Mon, Jan 19 207 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 67-72 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 259 Nicholls St. W 70-67 61%    
  Mon, Jan 26 70 McNeese St. L 63-73 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 63-73 19%    
  Mon, Feb 2 223 @Lamar L 61-66 34%    
  Sat, Feb 7 274 Houston Christian W 70-66 63%    
  Mon, Feb 9 191 Incarnate Word L 69-70 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 273 @Northwestern St. L 68-70 41%    
  Mon, Feb 16 303 @East Texas A&M L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Feb 21 207 UT Rio Grande Valley W 70-69 53%    
  Mon, Feb 23 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 67-66 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 259 @Nicholls St. L 67-70 39%    
  Mon, Mar 2 247 @New Orleans L 71-74 38%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 9 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.1 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.3 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.1 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.2 1.2 0.1 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.0 1.6 0.1 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.3 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.8 3.2 0.5 0.0 10.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.9 2.8 0.7 0.0 10.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 4.9 7.9 10.5 12.4 12.9 12.7 11.3 8.9 6.1 4.1 2.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 84.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-4 81.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-5 44.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-6 16.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-7 4.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0
19-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-4 0.2% 26.5% 26.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-5 0.5% 15.6% 15.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-6 1.0% 14.8% 14.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
15-7 2.3% 9.9% 9.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.1
14-8 4.1% 5.7% 5.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 3.9
13-9 6.1% 3.5% 3.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.9
12-10 8.9% 1.8% 1.8% 15.6 0.1 0.1 8.8
11-11 11.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.2
10-12 12.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.6
9-13 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.9
8-14 12.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.4
7-15 10.5% 10.5
6-16 7.9% 7.9
5-17 4.9% 4.9
4-18 2.7% 2.7
3-19 1.1% 1.1
2-20 0.4% 0.4
1-21 0.1% 0.1
0-22
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 98.7 0.0%