Washington
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#50
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#57
Pace68.8#202
Improvement+2.0#62

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#46
First Shot+3.4#87
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#25
Layup/Dunks-1.1#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#234
Freethrows+2.6#53
Improvement+3.3#14

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#67
First Shot+3.4#68
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#140
Layups/Dunks+4.9#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#258
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#230
Freethrows+0.5#147
Improvement-1.3#280
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 6.3% 7.8% 3.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 41.2% 47.0% 29.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.9% 46.7% 29.0%
Average Seed 8.5 8.4 8.8
.500 or above 79.1% 85.5% 66.0%
.500 or above in Conference 44.7% 48.3% 37.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.1% 1.8%
First Four7.2% 7.6% 6.3%
First Round37.5% 43.1% 25.9%
Second Round19.3% 22.8% 12.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.6% 5.5% 2.9%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.9% 0.8%
Final Four0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Away) - 67.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 10
Quad 24 - 38 - 13
Quad 35 - 113 - 14
Quad 45 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94-50 98%     1 - 0 +28.3 +10.6 +15.8
  Thu, Nov 6 312 Denver W 84-70 97%     2 - 0 +2.0 -1.2 +3.1
  Sun, Nov 9 32 @Baylor L 69-78 30%     2 - 1 +7.3 -0.4 +7.9
  Fri, Nov 14 155 @Washington St. W 81-69 77%     3 - 1 +15.2 +18.8 -2.1
  Tue, Nov 18 203 Southern W 99-93 2OT 93%     4 - 1 +0.2 +0.6 -1.8
  Thu, Nov 27 98 Nevada W 83-66 71%     5 - 1 +22.0 +10.2 +11.5
  Fri, Nov 28 62 Colorado L 68-81 58%     5 - 2 -4.2 -2.0 -2.5
  Wed, Dec 3 30 UCLA L 80-82 50%     5 - 3 0 - 1 +8.9 +17.6 -8.9
  Sat, Dec 6 37 @USC W 84-76 33%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +23.4 +14.5 +8.5
  Sat, Dec 13 316 Southern Utah W 105-69 97%     7 - 3 +23.8 +24.7 -1.6
  Fri, Dec 19 118 @Seattle W 75-70 67%    
  Mon, Dec 22 248 San Diego W 88-69 96%    
  Mon, Dec 29 120 Utah W 83-72 84%    
  Sun, Jan 4 27 @Indiana L 72-79 26%    
  Wed, Jan 7 7 @Purdue L 68-81 12%    
  Sun, Jan 11 31 Ohio St. W 78-77 51%    
  Wed, Jan 14 1 Michigan L 72-85 12%    
  Sat, Jan 17 12 Michigan St. L 69-73 35%    
  Wed, Jan 21 25 @Nebraska L 72-79 26%    
  Sun, Jan 25 66 Oregon W 79-73 69%    
  Thu, Jan 29 14 @Illinois L 74-84 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 58 @Northwestern L 76-77 45%    
  Wed, Feb 4 20 Iowa L 70-72 43%    
  Sat, Feb 7 30 @UCLA L 70-76 30%    
  Wed, Feb 11 103 Penn St. W 84-74 81%    
  Sat, Feb 14 96 Minnesota W 74-65 79%    
  Sat, Feb 21 94 @Maryland W 77-75 59%    
  Tue, Feb 24 132 @Rutgers W 76-70 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 40 Wisconsin W 79-77 57%    
  Wed, Mar 4 37 USC W 79-77 56%    
  Sat, Mar 7 66 @Oregon L 75-76 49%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 3.3 0.9 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.9 2.3 0.2 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.6 4.1 0.6 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.2 1.8 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 5.8 3.3 0.3 0.0 11.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 4.6 4.7 0.8 0.0 10.9 11th
12th 0.3 3.1 5.3 1.8 0.1 10.5 12th
13th 0.1 1.6 4.5 2.2 0.2 0.0 8.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.7 3.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 6.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 4.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.8 16th
17th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.1 7.6 11.2 14.1 15.5 14.3 12.2 8.7 5.1 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 45.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 19.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 6.1% 93.9% 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.4% 100.0% 10.3% 89.7% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.1% 100.0% 2.9% 97.1% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.8% 99.8% 2.8% 97.0% 6.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-7 5.1% 97.7% 1.4% 96.3% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.6%
12-8 8.7% 93.8% 1.1% 92.7% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.6 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.5 93.8%
11-9 12.2% 82.1% 0.6% 81.5% 8.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 3.1 2.4 0.7 2.2 81.9%
10-10 14.3% 60.4% 0.3% 60.1% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 3.1 2.2 0.0 5.7 60.3%
9-11 15.5% 25.8% 0.1% 25.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 0.1 11.5 25.7%
8-12 14.1% 6.4% 0.0% 6.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 13.2 6.3%
7-13 11.2% 0.6% 0.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.1 0.6%
6-14 7.6% 7.6
5-15 4.1% 4.1
4-16 2.0% 2.0
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 41.2% 0.5% 40.7% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.9 3.2 5.2 7.8 8.1 7.5 6.1 0.2 58.8 40.9%