San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#248
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#275
Pace74.8#51
Improvement-0.8#232

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#201
First Shot-2.5#248
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#97
Layup/Dunks-4.1#314
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#60
Freethrows-0.6#217
Improvement-0.3#210

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#292
First Shot+0.3#157
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#354
Layups/Dunks+0.1#166
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#191
Freethrows-0.9#242
Improvement-0.5#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 n/a 13.0
.500 or above 0.9% 3.3% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 8.1% 12.7% 7.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.5% 19.5% 27.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Away) - 9.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 33 - 83 - 17
Quad 45 - 49 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 163 Idaho St. L 68-71 43%     0 - 1 -6.1 +1.0 -7.4
  Wed, Nov 12 172 Idaho W 78-74 46%     1 - 1 +0.0 +4.1 -3.9
  Tue, Nov 18 284 Grambling St. W 78-68 68%     2 - 1 +0.3 -1.5 +1.3
  Fri, Nov 21 268 UC Riverside L 71-85 65%     2 - 2 -22.7 -4.9 -18.2
  Tue, Nov 25 126 California Baptist L 61-76 25%     2 - 3 -12.7 -11.5 -1.1
  Sun, Nov 30 277 @Long Beach St. L 72-76 43%     2 - 4 -7.2 +4.5 -12.1
  Fri, Dec 5 188 @San Jose St. L 69-86 28%     2 - 5 -15.8 -7.5 -7.6
  Tue, Dec 9 37 USC L 81-94 10%     2 - 6 -3.6 +3.3 -5.5
  Sat, Dec 13 270 Northern Arizona W 78-69 65%     3 - 6 +0.2 +5.6 -4.9
  Fri, Dec 19 89 @UC San Diego L 73-87 10%    
  Mon, Dec 22 50 @Washington L 69-88 4%    
  Sun, Dec 28 128 Pacific L 73-77 36%    
  Tue, Dec 30 5 Gonzaga L 69-93 1%    
  Fri, Jan 2 95 @San Francisco L 70-83 11%    
  Sun, Jan 4 74 @Santa Clara L 72-88 7%    
  Thu, Jan 8 292 Pepperdine W 76-71 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 128 @Pacific L 70-80 19%    
  Thu, Jan 15 118 @Seattle L 70-81 16%    
  Wed, Jan 21 155 Washington St. L 78-80 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 74 Santa Clara L 75-85 19%    
  Wed, Jan 28 292 @Pepperdine L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 159 Oregon St. L 73-75 42%    
  Wed, Feb 4 39 @St. Mary's L 64-84 4%    
  Sat, Feb 7 134 @Loyola Marymount L 69-79 19%    
  Wed, Feb 11 243 Portland W 81-78 60%    
  Sun, Feb 15 95 San Francisco L 73-80 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 134 Loyola Marymount L 72-76 37%    
  Wed, Feb 25 159 @Oregon St. L 70-78 23%    
  Sat, Feb 28 243 @Portland L 78-81 39%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.5 0.7 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.4 1.5 0.1 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.4 7.5 2.6 0.1 15.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 5.4 8.8 3.4 0.3 0.0 18.9 10th
11th 0.1 2.1 7.1 8.2 3.1 0.3 0.0 20.9 11th
12th 0.7 3.2 5.8 5.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 16.2 12th
Total 0.7 3.3 7.9 13.1 15.7 16.9 15.1 11.5 7.8 4.4 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.3% 0.3
11-7 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.8
10-8 2.3% 2.3
9-9 4.4% 4.4
8-10 7.8% 7.8
7-11 11.5% 11.5
6-12 15.1% 15.1
5-13 16.9% 16.9
4-14 15.7% 15.7
3-15 13.1% 13.1
2-16 7.9% 7.9
1-17 3.3% 3.3
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%