Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.7 #131
Expected Predictive Rating -0.2 #166
Pace 69.3 #168
Improvement +2.1 #90

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #100 B+ C- D+ C C
Defense #211 C C+ D+ C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #250 1.35 #20 +2.0 #109
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #242 0.83 #73 -0.5 #203
Three Pointers 47% #72 1.13 #43 +5.4 #33
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #26 +6.9 #26
Freethrows 0.29 #216 73% #175 0.21 #201
Second Chance 30.2% #198 0.96 #300 0.29 #243
Turnovers 17.7% #266
Total Offense +2.8 #100

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #260 1.14 #157 +1.8 #117
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #101 0.81 #266 -1.3 #291
Three Pointers 42% #162 1.00 #160 -0.1 #176
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #168 +0.5 #167
Freethrows 0.29 #167 75% #320 0.22 #194
Second Chance 25.7% #33 1.17 #321 0.30 #131
Turnovers 14.8% #285
Total Defense -1.1 #211

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.4% #161 -0.9% #96
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 12.9% #17 0.0% #185
Possession Length 16.7 #114 18.4 #324
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #188 0.16 #156
Improvement +1.8 #90 +0.3 #180

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.2 15.0
.500 or above 5.0% 6.2% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 53.3% 60.9% 26.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland (Home) - 77.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 81 - 12
Quad 36 - 47 - 17
Quad 47 - 213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 188 Idaho L 81 - 83 74% -9  0 - 1 -7 +3 C- C- A+ -10 F+ B C
 Fri, Nov 7 136 @Davidson L 69 - 85 39% -16  0 - 2 -11 -0 F+ B+ F -11 F B- A-
 Mon, Nov 10 128 St. Thomas W 81 - 71 61% +15  1 - 2 +9 +9 B- A+ F+ +1 B B+ D+
 Fri, Nov 14 46 Washington L 69 - 81 26% -10  1 - 3 -4 +8 B- B A -13 D+ B- D-
 Wed, Nov 19 282 Southern Utah W 98 - 74 86% +12  2 - 3 +14 +18 B+ A+ A- -5 F A+ C+
 Tue, Nov 25 77 Arizona St. L 94 - 100 29% +2  2 - 4 +2 +21 A+ A- A -20 F F C
 Wed, Nov 26 53 Seton Hall L 61 - 75 21% -11  2 - 5 -4 +1 C+ D+ C -6 D- F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 127 @Bradley L 60 - 64 37% +3  2 - 6 +1 -9 C F F +10 A+ C- D-
 Sun, Dec 7 74 Nevada L 64 - 78 38% -5  2 - 7 -9 -0 C+ C F -10 A F D-
 Sun, Dec 14 44 @USC L 61 - 68 12% -6  2 - 8 +8 -4 C+ F C- +12 A+ A+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 241 Eastern Washington W 78 - 63 72% +12  3 - 8 +11 +1 B+ F+ F+ +10 A A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 150 Mercer W 84 - 78 66% +4  4 - 8 +3 +2 A+ F C +1 B- B+ D
 Sun, Dec 28 218 @Portland W 67 - 62 58% +3  5 - 8 1 - 0 +5 -3 C F D +8 A+ D- F
 Tue, Dec 30 124 @Seattle L 55 - 69 37% -6  5 - 9 1 - 1 -9 -8 F C F -1 C- A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 162 Loyola Marymount W 78 - 76 68% -1  6 - 9 2 - 1 -1 +7 A+ F C- -8 C+ B- F
 Sun, Jan 4 182 Oregon St. W 81 - 67 73% +11  7 - 9 3 - 1 +9 +11 B+ A F+ -1 C+ C- D
 Sat, Jan 10 42 @St. Mary's L 82 - 88 11% -9  7 - 10 3 - 2 +9 +16 A+ C F -7 D A+ B+
 Thu, Jan 15 11 Gonzaga L 65 - 86 9% -10  7 - 11 3 - 3 -4 +2 A+ D- F+ -7 B+ F+ D+
 Sun, Jan 18 98 @San Francisco L 80 - 85 27% -0  7 - 12 3 - 4 +3 +18 A+ F+ D+ -15 F+ F B+
 Wed, Jan 21 208 @San Diego L 92 - 96 56% -8  7 - 13 3 - 5 -4 +19 B C+ A -22 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 281 Pepperdine W 95 - 79 86% +12  8 - 13 4 - 5 +6 +18 A+ B- C -12 F A- B
 Wed, Jan 28 124 Seattle W 70 - 58 60% +6  9 - 13 5 - 5 +11 +5 A+ F F +7 A+ D D-
 Sat, Jan 31 218 Portland W 81 - 73 78%
 Wed, Feb 4 182 @Oregon St. W 75 - 74 53%
 Sat, Feb 7 50 Santa Clara L 76 - 82 29%
 Tue, Feb 10 11 @Gonzaga L 69 - 90 2%
 Wed, Feb 18 123 Pacific W 74 - 72 59%
 Sat, Feb 21 42 St. Mary's L 70 - 77 25%
 Wed, Feb 25 162 @Loyola Marymount L 73 - 74 45%
 Sat, Feb 28 281 @Pepperdine W 77 - 71 70%
Totals 13 - 17 9 - 9 +2 +3 B+ C- D+ -1 C C+ D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.5 7.1 12.3 5.8 0.7 26.3 4th
5th 0.1 6.8 15.8 5.2 0.4 0.0 28.4 5th
6th 2.0 12.4 4.6 0.2 19.1 6th
7th 0.1 6.4 6.0 0.3 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.4 0.6 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 0.9 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.4 1.0 0.0 1.4 10th
11th 0.3 0.1 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.8 4.8 14.8 26.3 27.7 17.8 6.7 1.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 1.1
11-7 6.7% 0.6% 0.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.6
10-8 17.8% 0.4% 0.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.7
9-9 27.7% 0.3% 0.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 27.7
8-10 26.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 26.2
7-11 14.8% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 14.8
6-12 4.8% 4.8
5-13 0.8% 0.8
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 14.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%