Wisconsin
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.9#40
Expected Predictive Rating+11.1#55
Pace74.2#61
Improvement-1.8#305

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#49
First Shot+5.6#45
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#100
Layup/Dunks+0.4#160
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#26
Freethrows+2.1#71
Improvement-2.0#320

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#47
First Shot+1.8#115
After Offensive Rebounds+3.3#15
Layups/Dunks+1.6#115
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#189
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#265
Freethrows+2.4#52
Improvement+0.2#174
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.1% 3.4% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 9.4% 13.8% 5.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.9% 58.2% 36.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 46.6% 57.8% 36.3%
Average Seed 8.2 8.0 8.6
.500 or above 83.4% 91.8% 75.8%
.500 or above in Conference 51.5% 57.9% 45.7%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 1.0%
First Four7.8% 7.6% 8.0%
First Round43.4% 54.8% 33.0%
Second Round23.6% 30.6% 17.3%
Sweet Sixteen6.7% 9.1% 4.4%
Elite Eight2.3% 3.2% 1.5%
Final Four0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Neutral) - 47.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 11
Quad 25 - 29 - 13
Quad 34 - 013 - 14
Quad 46 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 228 Campbell W 96-64 95%     1 - 0 +25.1 +19.0 +5.6
  Fri, Nov 7 327 Northern Illinois W 97-72 98%     2 - 0 +12.1 +12.2 -1.3
  Tue, Nov 11 306 Ball St. W 86-55 97%     3 - 0 +19.9 +11.2 +9.4
  Mon, Nov 17 232 SIU Edwardsville W 94-69 95%     4 - 0 +18.0 +25.2 -5.9
  Fri, Nov 21 9 BYU L 70-98 24%     4 - 1 -8.7 +1.2 -8.1
  Thu, Nov 27 69 Providence W 104-83 65%     5 - 1 +28.9 +16.6 +9.3
  Fri, Nov 28 49 TCU L 63-74 53%     5 - 2 +0.0 -5.6 +6.2
  Wed, Dec 3 58 Northwestern W 85-73 71%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +18.3 +13.9 +4.5
  Sat, Dec 6 88 Marquette W 96-76 80%     7 - 2 +22.9 +15.3 +5.5
  Wed, Dec 10 25 @Nebraska L 60-90 28%     7 - 3 1 - 1 -12.1 -4.7 -7.6
  Fri, Dec 19 36 Villanova L 73-74 48%    
  Mon, Dec 22 323 Central Michigan W 89-64 99%    
  Tue, Dec 30 236 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 89-70 96%    
  Sat, Jan 3 7 Purdue L 74-80 30%    
  Tue, Jan 6 30 UCLA W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 1 @Michigan L 72-90 5%    
  Tue, Jan 13 96 @Minnesota W 74-70 63%    
  Sat, Jan 17 132 Rutgers W 82-69 89%    
  Thu, Jan 22 103 @Penn St. W 83-78 67%    
  Sun, Jan 25 37 USC W 82-80 59%    
  Wed, Jan 28 96 Minnesota W 77-67 81%    
  Sat, Jan 31 31 Ohio St. W 80-79 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 27 @Indiana L 74-80 29%    
  Tue, Feb 10 14 @Illinois L 77-86 21%    
  Fri, Feb 13 12 Michigan St. L 72-75 39%    
  Tue, Feb 17 31 @Ohio St. L 77-82 33%    
  Sun, Feb 22 20 Iowa L 72-73 47%    
  Wed, Feb 25 66 @Oregon W 78-77 52%    
  Sat, Feb 28 50 @Washington L 77-79 43%    
  Wed, Mar 4 94 Maryland W 83-74 80%    
  Sat, Mar 7 7 @Purdue L 71-83 15%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.0 1.2 0.1 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 4.6 2.7 0.2 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.5 0.7 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.2 2.6 5.5 1.7 0.1 10.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 5.7 3.5 0.2 0.0 10.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 4.3 4.5 0.9 0.0 10.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.7 1.6 0.1 9.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 2.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.0 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.1 6.0 9.8 12.9 15.1 15.2 13.2 10.5 6.6 3.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 71.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 17.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 12.8% 87.2% 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.6% 100.0% 5.2% 94.8% 3.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.5% 100.0% 6.0% 94.0% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 3.6% 99.7% 3.2% 96.5% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-7 6.6% 98.5% 2.4% 96.2% 6.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.5%
12-8 10.5% 93.8% 1.1% 92.7% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 2.9 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.7 93.7%
11-9 13.2% 81.9% 0.4% 81.5% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.5 3.2 2.6 1.0 0.0 2.4 81.8%
10-10 15.2% 59.4% 0.2% 59.2% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.0 2.9 2.5 0.0 6.2 59.4%
9-11 15.1% 26.0% 0.2% 25.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.3 0.1 11.1 25.9%
8-12 12.9% 6.1% 0.1% 6.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 12.1 6.0%
7-13 9.8% 0.8% 0.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.8%
6-14 6.0% 6.0
5-15 3.1% 3.1
4-16 1.2% 1.2
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 46.9% 0.7% 46.3% 8.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.7 4.6 6.8 8.2 8.1 7.6 6.6 0.3 53.1 46.6%