Seattle
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.1 #124
Expected Predictive Rating +2.4 #127
Pace 69.0 #172
Improvement -2.6 #299

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #303 C+ F+ C D+ B-
Defense #27 B- B- A C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #69 1.17 #161 +2.8 #93
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #247 0.70 #261 -1.7 #269
Three Pointers 40% #202 1.05 #136 +0.1 #173
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #143 +1.2 #141
Freethrows 0.27 #270 70% #273 0.19 #284
Second Chance 25.5% #314 0.82 #363 0.21 #356
Turnovers 16.9% #210
Total Offense -4.8 #303

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #141 1.05 #60 +1.3 #129
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #111 0.85 #312 -1.6 #302
Three Pointers 38% #274 0.92 #62 +3.6 #50
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #76 +3.2 #76
Freethrows 0.29 #163 71% #101 0.21 #141
Second Chance 31.7% #234 0.90 #31 0.28 #98
Turnovers 21.0% #11
Total Defense +7.0 #27

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.5% #84 -0.2% #148
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.7% #162 -6.1% #70
Possession Length 16.6 #107 17.6 #227
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #304 0.14 #73
Improvement -6.1 #363 +3.4 #26

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.9 12.0
.500 or above 94.4% 96.6% 79.8%
.500 or above in Conference 25.1% 28.1% 5.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.4% 8.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Home) - 87.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 22 - 6
Quad 34 - 56 - 11
Quad 411 - 217 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 284 Denver W 84 - 73 87% +6  1 - 0 +1 -7 D- F D- +7 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 8 289 Cal Poly L 71 - 73 88% +4  1 - 1 -12 -13 C+ F F +1 C- C A+
 Wed, Nov 12 241 Eastern Washington W 94 - 67 82% +15  2 - 1 +20 +11 A+ C- F +7 B- A+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 228 Idaho St. W 83 - 74 80% +9  3 - 1 +2 +15 A+ B+ F+ -12 C F B
 Fri, Nov 21 84 @Stanford W 77 - 69 23% -2  4 - 1 +18 +7 B C- D+ +11 A+ B+ C+
 Fri, Nov 28 271 Texas St. W 66 - 52 78% +5  5 - 1 +8 +2 B F B +8 C A+ A-
 Sat, Nov 29 146 UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 74 55% -1  5 - 2 -2 +3 B D B -6 C- F A+
 Sun, Dec 7 266 UTEP W 75 - 68 85% +1  6 - 2 -2 +3 B C C- -5 D+ D B+
 Wed, Dec 17 181 @UC Davis W 79 - 78 53% +4  7 - 2 +2 +3 C C+ D- -0 F A+ C
 Fri, Dec 19 46 Washington W 70 - 66 27% -2  8 - 2 +12 -5 C F D +17 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 341 @Texas San Antonio W 71 - 68 84% +4  9 - 2 -6 -9 F+ F D +3 F B A-
 Sun, Dec 28 98 San Francisco L 59 - 67 50% -4  9 - 3 0 - 1 -6 -13 F F+ A+ +7 A+ D C-
 Tue, Dec 30 131 Washington St. W 69 - 55 63% +6  10 - 3 1 - 1 +13 -5 B- F C- +18 A+ C+ A+
 Fri, Jan 2 11 @Gonzaga L 72 - 80 OT 4% +6  10 - 4 1 - 2 +15 +5 B C+ B- +11 A A- B-
 Sun, Jan 4 42 @St. Mary's L 76 - 93 12% -0  10 - 5 1 - 3 -2 +17 A+ D A+ -21 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 182 @Oregon St. L 55 - 68 53% -2  10 - 6 1 - 4 -12 -16 F F D+ +4 A+ F B
 Thu, Jan 15 208 San Diego W 75 - 64 78% +6  11 - 6 2 - 4 +5 -4 B+ F C +8 B- A A+
 Sat, Jan 17 11 Gonzaga L 50 - 71 9% -8  11 - 7 2 - 5 -4 -14 D C- F +10 A C- A+
 Wed, Jan 21 162 Loyola Marymount W 69 - 59 69% +12  12 - 7 3 - 5 +7 -1 C- D A+ +8 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 123 @Pacific L 54 - 56 38% -8  12 - 8 3 - 6 +3 -10 B- F F +13 B+ B+ A-
 Wed, Jan 28 131 @Washington St. L 58 - 70 40% -6  12 - 9 3 - 7 -7 -13 F C- C+ +5 F A+ A+
 Wed, Feb 4 281 Pepperdine W 72 - 60 87%
 Sat, Feb 7 218 @Portland W 70 - 68 59%
 Wed, Feb 11 50 @Santa Clara L 65 - 77 14%
 Sun, Feb 15 182 Oregon St. W 70 - 63 75%
 Wed, Feb 18 42 St. Mary's L 62 - 69 26%
 Sat, Feb 21 218 Portland W 73 - 65 79%
 Wed, Feb 25 281 @Pepperdine W 69 - 63 71%
 Sat, Feb 28 162 @Loyola Marymount L 65 - 66 48%
Totals 17 - 12 8 - 10 +2 -5 C+ F+ C +7 B- B- A




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.3 3.3 3.5 0.5 7.5 4th
5th 0.1 4.8 9.9 2.2 0.0 17.0 5th
6th 2.2 13.1 4.8 0.2 20.3 6th
7th 0.2 10.6 8.8 0.6 0.0 20.2 7th
8th 0.0 3.6 11.2 1.3 0.0 16.1 8th
9th 0.4 7.4 2.0 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.1 2.6 3.1 0.1 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.3 2.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 1.0 4.9 14.6 26.1 28.3 18.6 5.9 0.6 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.6% 0.6
10-8 5.9% 1.1% 1.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 5.8
9-9 18.6% 0.4% 0.4% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 18.5
8-10 28.3% 0.1% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 28.3
7-11 26.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 26.1
6-12 14.6% 14.6
5-13 4.9% 4.9
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 11.9 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%