Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#331
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#288
Pace73.0#84
Improvement+1.4#83

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#330
First Shot-1.0#196
After Offensive Rebound-4.9#361
Layup/Dunks+0.1#179
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#207
Freethrows-3.4#337
Improvement+0.5#135

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#326
First Shot+0.2#161
After Offensive Rebounds-4.7#362
Layups/Dunks-1.7#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#49
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#143
Freethrows-1.0#252
Improvement+0.9#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 6.4% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 3.8% 18.6% 3.7%
.500 or above in Conference 56.0% 77.1% 55.9%
Conference Champion 6.7% 17.9% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.0% 1.5%
First Four3.4% 5.0% 3.4%
First Round1.9% 3.6% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Baylor (Away) - 0.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 31 - 11
Quad 410 - 1110 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 119 @Florida St. L 76-108 7%     0 - 1 -26.1 +0.2 -23.8
  Thu, Nov 6 185 @South Alabama L 70-76 14%     0 - 2 -4.8 -3.7 -0.9
  Sat, Nov 8 97 @Minnesota L 50-95 5%     0 - 3 -36.8 -18.4 -18.5
  Tue, Nov 11 95 @Maryland L 64-84 5%     0 - 4 -11.5 -6.3 -4.6
  Thu, Nov 13 285 @Howard L 64-72 25%     0 - 5 -11.5 -5.7 -6.2
  Tue, Nov 18 35 @LSU L 81-107 2%     0 - 6 -10.2 +12.1 -21.3
  Sun, Nov 23 47 @Oklahoma L 53-72 2%     0 - 7 -5.0 -14.6 +9.3
  Fri, Nov 28 194 Indiana St. W 81-74 21%     1 - 7 +4.8 -1.2 +5.2
  Sat, Nov 29 188 @Louisiana Tech L 58-83 14%     1 - 8 -23.9 -4.2 -22.4
  Wed, Dec 3 4 @Iowa St. L 68-132 0.4%    1 - 9 -39.0 -0.7 -30.0
  Fri, Dec 19 32 @Baylor L 67-94 0.5%   
  Mon, Dec 29 60 @Mississippi L 61-84 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 204 Southern L 76-81 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 318 @Jackson St. L 72-76 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 281 @Alabama A&M L 68-75 26%    
  Mon, Jan 12 282 @Alabama St. L 73-80 26%    
  Sat, Jan 17 320 Texas Southern W 77-75 58%    
  Mon, Jan 19 327 Prairie View W 78-76 58%    
  Sat, Jan 24 335 @Florida A&M L 73-76 40%    
  Mon, Jan 26 261 @Bethune-Cookman L 70-78 24%    
  Sat, Jan 31 204 Southern L 76-81 34%    
  Mon, Feb 2 258 Grambling St. L 71-73 43%    
  Sat, Feb 7 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 78-79 47%    
  Mon, Feb 9 365 @Mississippi Valley W 78-69 81%    
  Sat, Feb 14 261 Bethune-Cookman L 73-75 43%    
  Mon, Feb 16 335 Florida A&M W 76-73 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 318 Jackson St. W 75-73 56%    
  Thu, Feb 26 320 @Texas Southern L 74-78 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 327 @Prairie View L 75-79 37%    
  Tue, Mar 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 81-66 92%    
  Thu, Mar 5 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-76 68%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 9 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 6.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.3 3.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.5 4.0 0.7 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.3 3.8 5.1 1.1 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 5.8 1.8 0.1 10.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.5 2.9 0.2 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.5 4.1 0.4 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.2 0.9 0.0 9.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.8 3.4 1.2 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.2 0.9 0.1 6.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 5.8 8.6 11.6 13.4 13.7 12.8 10.8 8.1 5.1 3.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 96.4% 0.6    0.6 0.0
15-3 85.3% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
14-4 66.5% 2.1    1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 35.5% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.9% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.7% 6.7 3.5 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 20.8% 20.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 19.1% 19.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5
15-3 1.4% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.3
14-4 3.1% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.8
13-5 5.1% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.4 4.7
12-6 8.1% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.6 7.5
11-7 10.8% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.6 10.2
10-8 12.8% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.5 12.3
9-9 13.7% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.4 13.3
8-10 13.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 13.1
7-11 11.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.5
6-12 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
5-13 5.8% 5.8
4-14 2.9% 2.9
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.6 96.4 0.0%