Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#181
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#190
Pace75.7#42
Improvement+0.8#126

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#237
First Shot-0.2#175
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#328
Layup/Dunks+6.6#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#328
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#206
Freethrows-3.0#328
Improvement+0.4#144

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#128
First Shot+1.9#112
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#235
Layups/Dunks-1.9#252
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#55
Freethrows+2.4#48
Improvement+0.3#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.7% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.5 13.9
.500 or above 29.1% 41.6% 19.5%
.500 or above in Conference 27.0% 39.2% 17.7%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.2% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 14.2% 7.5% 19.2%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round2.0% 2.7% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bradley (Home) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 35 - 76 - 14
Quad 47 - 313 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 194 @Charlotte L 76-92 42%     0 - 1 -15.4 +3.6 -19.2
  Mon, Nov 10 232 @SIU Edwardsville W 64-55 48%     1 - 1 +8.0 -8.0 +15.9
  Fri, Nov 14 2 @Duke L 62-100 1%     1 - 2 -12.4 -3.0 -6.2
  Wed, Nov 19 178 Louisiana Tech W 60-51 61%     2 - 2 +4.8 -13.1 +17.7
  Sat, Nov 22 306 Ball St. W 70-52 82%     3 - 2 +6.9 -1.2 +9.5
  Wed, Nov 26 178 @Louisiana Tech L 73-75 38%     3 - 3 -0.2 +6.9 -7.2
  Fri, Nov 28 330 Alcorn St. L 74-81 80%     3 - 4 -17.4 -12.3 -4.2
  Sun, Dec 7 317 Southern Indiana W 77-55 84%     4 - 4 +9.7 +5.4 +5.8
  Sun, Dec 14 236 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 70-68 49%     5 - 4 +0.9 +0.7 +0.4
  Thu, Dec 18 116 Bradley L 72-74 43%    
  Sun, Dec 21 90 @Illinois St. L 69-79 17%    
  Mon, Dec 29 85 Belmont L 77-82 31%    
  Thu, Jan 1 93 @Northern Iowa L 62-72 18%    
  Sun, Jan 4 136 @Drake L 70-76 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 275 Evansville W 76-68 76%    
  Wed, Jan 14 90 Illinois St. L 72-76 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 99 @Murray St. L 78-87 20%    
  Wed, Jan 21 116 @Bradley L 69-77 24%    
  Sat, Jan 24 136 Drake L 73-74 50%    
  Tue, Jan 27 189 @Illinois-Chicago L 74-77 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 213 Valparaiso W 74-69 67%    
  Tue, Feb 3 275 @Evansville W 73-71 55%    
  Mon, Feb 9 129 Southern Illinois L 76-77 49%    
  Thu, Feb 12 99 Murray St. L 81-84 38%    
  Sun, Feb 15 213 @Valparaiso L 71-72 46%    
  Wed, Feb 18 93 Northern Iowa L 65-69 36%    
  Sat, Feb 21 85 @Belmont L 74-85 16%    
  Wed, Feb 25 129 @Southern Illinois L 73-79 28%    
  Sun, Mar 1 189 Illinois-Chicago W 77-74 62%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.1 3.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 2.2 1.9 0.6 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.9 3.0 0.9 0.1 7.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.8 4.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.8 5.5 1.8 0.1 0.0 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.7 5.8 2.1 0.2 16.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.0 6.0 5.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 16.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.5 4.8 3.5 1.0 0.1 14.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.4 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.3 11th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.7 6.5 9.4 12.3 13.5 13.2 12.4 9.7 7.0 4.8 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 93.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 82.1% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 46.9% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 24.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 31.0% 31.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.3% 16.7% 16.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.7% 18.3% 18.3% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-6 1.5% 9.9% 9.9% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
13-7 3.0% 9.6% 9.6% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.7
12-8 4.8% 6.6% 6.6% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.5
11-9 7.0% 4.1% 4.1% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.7
10-10 9.7% 2.8% 2.8% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.4
9-11 12.4% 1.8% 1.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 12.1
8-12 13.2% 0.7% 0.7% 15.4 0.1 0.0 13.1
7-13 13.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.4
6-14 12.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.3
5-15 9.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.4
4-16 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.4
3-17 3.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.7
2-18 1.6% 1.6
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 98.0 0.0%