IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#283
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.7	#336
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.6	#326

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.4	#213

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.1%	17.1%	8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.1	14.7	15.4

.500 or above	39.9%	77.7%	39.6%
.500 or above in Conference	55.9%	78.9%	55.7%
Conference Champion	4.2%	10.6%	4.2%
Last Place in Conference	0.7%	0.6%	0.7%

First Four	3.5%	1.8%	3.5%
First Round	7.2%	18.8%	7.2%
Second Round	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 8	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2025	20	@ Iowa St.	L	52-78	1%
Nov 09, 2025	324	@ Howard	L	68-69	49%
Nov 13, 2025	281	Southern Miss	W	69-66	60%
Nov 18, 2025	183	@ San Diego	L	66-74	22%
Nov 21, 2025	169	@ California Baptist	L	59-68	21%
Nov 24, 2025	258	@ UC Riverside	L	63-68	34%
Dec 02, 2025	116	@ Tulane	L	59-72	13%
Dec 08, 2025	281	@ Southern Miss	L	66-69	40%
Dec 18, 2025	251	Norfolk St.	L	63-65	43%
Dec 19, 2025	236	Hampton	L	61-64	41%
Dec 23, 2025	27	@ Ohio St.	L	55-80	2%
Jan 03, 2026	341	Prairie View	W	72-64	74%
Jan 05, 2026	285	Texas Southern	W	67-64	60%
Jan 10, 2026	246	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	64-69	33%
Jan 12, 2026	332	@ Florida A&M	W	65-64	51%
Jan 17, 2026	186	Southern	L	63-65	43%
Jan 24, 2026	365	Mississippi Valley	W	72-51	96%
Jan 26, 2026	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	79-60	94%
Jan 31, 2026	238	@ Jackson St.	L	63-69	32%
Feb 02, 2026	326	@ Alcorn St.	L	62-63	50%
Feb 07, 2026	292	Alabama St.	W	67-64	62%
Feb 09, 2026	325	Alabama A&M	W	72-66	69%
Feb 14, 2026	285	@ Texas Southern	L	64-67	41%
Feb 21, 2026	186	Southern	L	63-65	43%
Feb 26, 2026	246	Bethune-Cookman	W	67-66	52%
Feb 26, 2026	332	Florida A&M	W	68-62	69%
Mar 03, 2026	325	@ Alabama A&M	L	68-69	49%
Mar 05, 2026	292	@ Alabama St.	L	64-67	42%
Projected Record						13 - 15	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.0	1.6	1.0	0.4				4.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	2.2	3.1	1.4	0.3	0.0				7.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.7	3.2	4.0	1.6	0.2	0.0					9.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.7	3.7	4.9	1.6	0.1							11.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	3.7	5.2	2.1	0.1								11.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	3.3	5.8	2.4	0.2									12.2	6th
7th						0.0	0.6	3.1	5.8	2.8	0.3										12.8	7th
8th					0.1	0.7	3.0	4.7	2.7	0.3											11.4	8th
9th				0.1	0.8	2.7	3.8	2.1	0.4	0.0											9.8	9th
10th			0.1	1.0	2.1	2.5	1.3	0.2	0.0												7.3	10th
11th		0.1	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0														1.6	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0																0.2	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.7	3.5	6.1	8.7	10.7	12.8	13.4	12.4	11.0	8.2	5.8	3.3	1.4	0.4					Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.4		0.3	0.0	0.0
15-3	75.3%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.0
14-4	48.8%	1.6		0.7	0.7	0.2	0.0
13-5	16.5%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.6%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.2%	4.2		2.0	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.4%		52.2%	52.2%		13.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	1.4%		43.8%	43.8%		14.5												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.8
14-4	3.3%		28.5%	28.5%		16.2													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	2.3
13-5	5.8%		24.0%	24.0%		16.8														0.1	0.2	0.6	0.6	4.4
12-6	8.2%		16.7%	16.7%		18.2														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	6.8
11-7	11.0%		12.2%	12.2%		18.0													0.0		0.0	0.3	1.1	9.6
10-8	12.4%		8.0%	8.0%		18.4															0.0	0.1	1.0	11.5
9-9	13.4%		5.7%	5.7%		17.4																0.1	0.8	12.6
8-10	12.8%		3.4%	3.4%		16.7																0.0	0.4	12.3
7-11	10.7%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	10.6
6-12	8.7%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
5-13	6.1%																							6.1
4-14	3.5%																							3.5
3-15	1.7%																							1.7
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		8.1%	8.1%	0.0%	17.1												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	2.3	5.4	91.9		0.0%