Tulane
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#206
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#170
Pace67.0#249
Improvement-1.2#260

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#143
First Shot+3.0#95
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#319
Layup/Dunks-0.2#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#226
Freethrows+3.8#19
Improvement-3.0#353

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#299
First Shot-2.3#250
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#289
Layups/Dunks+4.9#38
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#356
Freethrows+1.0#119
Improvement+1.8#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.0
.500 or above 24.6% 32.8% 14.8%
.500 or above in Conference 16.6% 19.5% 13.2%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 20.7% 17.8% 24.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Home) - 54.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 7
Quad 34 - 75 - 15
Quad 49 - 314 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 237 Samford W 85-72 65%     1 - 0 +5.9 +13.6 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 8 240 Texas St. W 79-71 67%     2 - 0 +0.6 +8.1 -7.1
  Tue, Nov 11 325 @Louisiana W 66-62 64%     3 - 0 -2.7 -0.9 -1.5
  Fri, Nov 14 247 New Orleans L 63-85 68%     3 - 1 -29.8 -11.1 -20.2
  Fri, Nov 21 46 Utah St. L 75-96 10%     3 - 2 -9.7 +8.2 -18.3
  Sun, Nov 23 148 Boston College W 93-90 OT 36%     4 - 2 +3.7 +13.2 -9.8
  Fri, Nov 28 259 Nicholls St. W 82-72 70%     5 - 2 +1.6 +7.6 -5.8
  Tue, Dec 2 284 Grambling St. W 65-63 74%     6 - 2 -7.7 -1.6 -5.8
  Sat, Dec 6 65 Akron L 71-88 21%     6 - 3 -11.6 -5.2 -6.2
  Sat, Dec 13 89 UC San Diego L 67-93 20%     6 - 4 -20.1 -11.1 -6.3
  Wed, Dec 17 178 Louisiana Tech W 69-68 55%    
  Sat, Dec 20 177 Portland St. W 73-72 54%    
  Wed, Dec 31 280 @East Carolina W 74-73 51%    
  Sun, Jan 4 117 Florida Atlantic L 76-79 38%    
  Sat, Jan 10 286 @Texas San Antonio W 75-74 53%    
  Wed, Jan 14 119 UAB L 76-79 38%    
  Sun, Jan 18 145 North Texas L 67-68 46%    
  Wed, Jan 21 117 @Florida Atlantic L 73-82 20%    
  Sun, Jan 25 194 @Charlotte L 69-73 37%    
  Wed, Jan 28 86 South Florida L 76-83 27%    
  Sun, Feb 1 75 @Memphis L 69-83 11%    
  Sun, Feb 8 100 Wichita St. L 69-74 32%    
  Wed, Feb 11 158 Temple L 77-78 49%    
  Sun, Feb 15 119 @UAB L 73-82 20%    
  Wed, Feb 18 145 @North Texas L 64-71 27%    
  Sun, Feb 22 208 Rice W 74-71 61%    
  Wed, Feb 25 83 Tulsa L 73-80 26%    
  Sun, Mar 1 86 @South Florida L 73-86 13%    
  Thu, Mar 5 158 @Temple L 75-81 29%    
  Sun, Mar 8 75 Memphis L 72-80 25%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.5 1.5 0.1 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.3 1.1 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.9 2.1 0.1 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.9 3.4 0.3 14.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 4.0 7.2 4.3 0.5 0.0 16.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 4.4 6.4 3.4 0.6 0.0 16.3 12th
13th 0.4 1.8 3.7 3.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 12.0 13th
Total 0.4 2.0 5.0 9.2 12.7 14.6 15.1 13.7 10.7 7.3 4.6 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 84.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 58.8% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 7.4% 7.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 8.3% 8.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.3% 4.5% 4.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
11-7 2.6% 3.6% 3.6% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.5
10-8 4.6% 1.8% 1.8% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
9-9 7.3% 1.1% 1.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
8-10 10.7% 0.6% 0.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 10.6
7-11 13.7% 0.5% 0.5% 15.2 0.1 0.0 13.7
6-12 15.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 15.0
5-13 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
4-14 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.7
3-15 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
2-16 5.0% 5.0
1-17 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%