Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.7 #203
Expected Predictive Rating -1.8 #196
Pace 63.9 #309
Improvement -0.9 #232

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #160 C B D+ D C-
Defense #259 C- C+ C- F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #241 1.06 #295 -3.1 #289
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #147 0.76 #166 +0.6 #150
Three Pointers 42% #165 1.11 #60 +2.2 #107
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #183 -0.2 #184
Freethrows 0.26 #304 70% #267 0.18 #310
Second Chance 36.0% #43 1.07 #140 0.39 #57
Turnovers 17.8% #269
Total Offense +0.0 #160

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #46 1.17 #187 -3.3 #287
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #202 0.79 #244 +0.0 #182
Three Pointers 37% #295 1.08 #270 +1.1 #140
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #259 -2.2 #256
Freethrows 0.39 #357 74% #295 0.29 #358
Second Chance 30.3% #170 1.01 #121 0.30 #141
Turnovers 15.7% #221
Total Defense -2.8 #259

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.7% #234 1.0% #262
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.2% #173 3.2% #242
Possession Length 18.5 #292 17.5 #211
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 #351 0.16 #140
Improvement +0.6 #147 -1.5 #272

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 9.9% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.0
.500 or above 90.2% 97.5% 84.9%
.500 or above in Conference 70.4% 87.2% 58.2%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round7.7% 9.8% 6.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Away) - 42.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 35 - 66 - 8
Quad 412 - 617 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 23 @Iowa L 69 - 101 3% -21  0 - 1 -13 +7 A+ A+ F -21 F F C
 Thu, Nov 6 152 @Drake W 81 - 79 OT 28% +2  1 - 1 +5 +5 B B F +0 A B- F+
 Thu, Nov 20 141 @St. Bonaventure L 61 - 75 25% -4  1 - 2 -10 -11 F C F +1 C B+ A
 Sun, Nov 23 186 @Monmouth L 70 - 71 OT 35% +1  1 - 3 +0 +1 D B+ C+ -1 B D D+
 Wed, Nov 26 138 Illinois-Chicago W 88 - 74 46% +13  2 - 3 +12 +18 B A+ C -6 C+ C- C
 Fri, Nov 28 282 Southern Utah W 61 - 54 76% +11  3 - 3 -3 -11 F C+ D +8 A C+ A
 Sun, Nov 30 329 Stetson W 80 - 62 84% +12  4 - 3 +5 +12 A- A+ A- -5 B C- F
 Thu, Dec 4 244 @Green Bay W 80 - 78 46% -1  5 - 3 1 - 0 +0 +6 C+ C+ D- -5 F A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 247 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 74 46% +1  5 - 4 1 - 1 -4 -4 D- D C+ +0 D+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 164 Toledo W 75 - 70 53% -6  6 - 4 +2 -1 D- D A+ +3 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 221 Youngstown St. W 80 - 77 OT 65% -3  7 - 4 2 - 1 -4 +8 C B A- -11 F D- A+
 Sat, Dec 20 354 @St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 70 78% +2  8 - 4 -2 +9 B+ F C- -10 D F F
 Mon, Dec 29 179 Northern Kentucky L 77 - 79 57% +1  8 - 5 2 - 2 -6 +1 C- A+ D+ -7 D- A C
 Fri, Jan 2 291 @Detroit Mercy W 85 - 77 57% +0  9 - 5 3 - 2 +4 +11 D A+ F -7 F D+ A
 Sun, Jan 4 135 @Oakland L 73 - 96 24% -14  9 - 6 3 - 3 -18 +0 C- C- C -19 C F+ F
 Sun, Jan 11 224 Purdue Fort Wayne L 74 - 79 65% -5  9 - 7 3 - 4 -12 +4 C+ D- B -17 F F A-
 Thu, Jan 15 340 @IU Indianapolis L 93 - 96 OT 71% +2  9 - 8 3 - 5 -12 +4 B- C F -15 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 179 @Northern Kentucky W 92 - 89 OT 34% +3  10 - 8 4 - 5 +5 +4 C- A- C +0 C A- C
 Thu, Jan 22 247 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88 - 76 68% +7  11 - 8 5 - 5 +4 +10 A+ A+ F -6 F A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 244 Green Bay L 67 - 71 68% -5  11 - 9 5 - 6 -12 -4 D+ C- F+ -8 C F C
 Wed, Jan 28 340 IU Indianapolis W 74 - 58 86% +5  12 - 9 6 - 6 +1 +5 C C+ C- -1 C A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 31 224 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 73 - 75 42%
 Wed, Feb 4 151 Wright St. L 73 - 74 50%
 Sat, Feb 7 221 @Youngstown St. L 71 - 73 42%
 Thu, Feb 12 321 @Cleveland St. W 79 - 75 64%
 Sun, Feb 15 135 Oakland L 79 - 80 44%
 Sun, Feb 22 151 @Wright St. L 70 - 76 29%
 Wed, Feb 25 291 Detroit Mercy W 79 - 71 77%
 Sat, Feb 28 321 Cleveland St. W 82 - 72 82%
Totals 16 - 13 10 - 10 -3 +0 C B D+ -3 C- C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.8 0.5 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 5.7 2.9 0.2 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 8.8 6.3 0.5 17.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 8.7 9.9 1.7 0.0 21.3 5th
6th 0.4 6.9 11.8 3.2 0.1 22.2 6th
7th 0.1 3.3 8.6 3.3 0.2 15.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.9 1.8 0.1 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 1.0 0.1 2.2 9th
10th 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.2 2.3 8.7 18.3 25.7 24.0 14.4 5.4 1.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 38.8% 0.4    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 4.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 1.0% 21.8% 21.8% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-7 5.4% 15.7% 15.7% 14.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 4.5
12-8 14.4% 12.6% 12.6% 14.5 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.0 12.6
11-9 24.0% 9.1% 9.1% 14.9 0.1 0.4 1.5 0.3 21.8
10-10 25.7% 6.3% 6.3% 15.1 0.2 1.0 0.4 24.1
9-11 18.3% 4.6% 4.6% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 17.5
8-12 8.7% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 8.4
7-13 2.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.3
6-14 0.2% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 14.8 92.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 13.3 20.0 33.3 44.4 2.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 0.1%