Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#184
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#150
Pace66.9#252
Improvement+0.5#150

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#212
First Shot-6.7#345
After Offensive Rebound+5.0#5
Layup/Dunks-3.6#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#242
Freethrows-3.1#332
Improvement-0.9#249

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#166
First Shot-0.1#179
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#179
Layups/Dunks-0.8#211
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#51
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#40
Freethrows-5.7#362
Improvement+1.4#77
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 13.8% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 88.7% 94.2% 81.4%
.500 or above in Conference 81.1% 89.2% 70.4%
Conference Champion 12.5% 18.0% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four0.4% 0.2% 0.5%
First Round11.5% 13.7% 8.7%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Home) - 56.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 34 - 54 - 8
Quad 414 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 20 @Iowa L 69-101 4%     0 - 1 -13.3 +6.3 -20.2
  Thu, Nov 6 136 @Drake W 81-79 OT 27%     1 - 1 +6.6 +4.4 +2.1
  Thu, Nov 20 111 @St. Bonaventure L 61-75 22%     1 - 2 -7.6 -7.3 -0.6
  Sun, Nov 23 220 @Monmouth L 70-71 OT 46%     1 - 3 -1.6 -2.1 +0.5
  Wed, Nov 26 189 Illinois-Chicago W 88-74 62%     2 - 3 +9.2 +15.2 -5.5
  Fri, Nov 28 316 Southern Utah W 61-54 84%     3 - 3 -5.2 -12.3 +7.7
  Sun, Nov 30 347 Stetson W 80-62 89%     4 - 3 +3.1 +11.7 -6.0
  Thu, Dec 4 276 @Green Bay W 80-78 56%     5 - 3 1 - 0 -1.1 +7.1 -8.1
  Sat, Dec 6 236 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-74 48%     5 - 4 1 - 1 -3.1 -3.4 +0.3
  Sat, Dec 13 167 Toledo W 75-70 58%     6 - 4 +1.3 -1.4 +2.9
  Wed, Dec 17 166 Youngstown St. W 71-69 57%    
  Sat, Dec 20 363 @St. Francis (PA) W 77-66 85%    
  Mon, Dec 29 193 Northern Kentucky W 74-70 63%    
  Fri, Jan 2 291 @Detroit Mercy W 73-70 60%    
  Sun, Jan 4 149 @Oakland L 77-82 31%    
  Sun, Jan 11 224 Purdue Fort Wayne W 78-73 68%    
  Thu, Jan 15 355 @IU Indianapolis W 87-78 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 193 @Northern Kentucky L 71-73 41%    
  Thu, Jan 22 236 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 77-71 69%    
  Sat, Jan 24 276 Green Bay W 74-66 75%    
  Wed, Jan 28 355 IU Indianapolis W 90-75 92%    
  Sat, Jan 31 224 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-76 46%    
  Wed, Feb 4 144 Wright St. W 70-69 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 166 @Youngstown St. L 68-72 35%    
  Thu, Feb 12 321 @Cleveland St. W 78-73 67%    
  Sun, Feb 15 149 Oakland W 80-79 52%    
  Sun, Feb 22 144 @Wright St. L 67-73 31%    
  Wed, Feb 25 291 Detroit Mercy W 76-67 78%    
  Sat, Feb 28 321 Cleveland St. W 81-70 84%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.9 3.5 1.9 0.6 0.1 12.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.7 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.1 6.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 15.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 6.8 3.3 0.4 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 13.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.1 3.0 0.3 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.1 5.4 8.3 11.5 14.0 14.9 14.1 11.6 8.0 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 99.4% 0.6    0.6
17-3 95.7% 1.9    1.7 0.2 0.0
16-4 80.0% 3.5    2.4 1.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 48.2% 3.9    1.7 1.7 0.4 0.0
14-6 18.3% 2.1    0.5 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.5% 12.5 7.0 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 37.5% 37.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.6% 44.8% 44.8% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-3 2.0% 33.1% 33.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.3
16-4 4.4% 28.7% 28.7% 13.7 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.2 3.2
15-5 8.0% 22.3% 22.3% 14.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 6.2
14-6 11.6% 18.0% 18.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.1 9.5
13-7 14.1% 14.3% 14.3% 14.7 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.1 12.1
12-8 14.9% 10.4% 10.4% 14.9 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.2 13.3
11-9 14.0% 7.6% 7.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 12.9
10-10 11.5% 5.1% 5.1% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 10.9
9-11 8.3% 3.0% 3.0% 15.7 0.1 0.2 8.1
8-12 5.4% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.3
7-13 3.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.1
6-14 1.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.3
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.9 4.7 1.3 88.3 0.0%