Youngstown St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#166
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#164
Pace69.9#174
Improvement+0.7#134

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#230
First Shot-0.9#195
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#266
Layup/Dunks-3.6#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#271
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#27
Freethrows-2.1#301
Improvement-2.4#334

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#115
First Shot+1.5#123
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#176
Layups/Dunks-5.1#332
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#204
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.2#4
Freethrows-1.5#279
Improvement+3.0#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.0% 20.2% 14.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 88.3% 94.6% 83.5%
.500 or above in Conference 91.9% 96.8% 88.2%
Conference Champion 27.2% 39.0% 18.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round16.8% 20.1% 14.2%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Away) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 34 - 55 - 8
Quad 413 - 418 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 107 @Pittsburgh L 59-74 24%     0 - 1 -8.1 -8.1 -1.0
  Fri, Nov 7 91 @Grand Canyon W 90-81 19%     1 - 1 +17.8 +20.5 -3.0
  Sat, Nov 15 111 @St. Bonaventure L 80-84 25%     1 - 2 +2.4 +10.5 -8.0
  Wed, Nov 19 167 @Toledo L 75-92 39%     1 - 3 -14.7 -4.3 -9.3
  Sun, Nov 23 281 UNC Greensboro L 62-68 72%     1 - 4 -12.5 -17.2 +4.8
  Mon, Nov 24 230 Georgia Southern W 67-61 63%     2 - 4 +2.0 -7.1 +9.3
  Fri, Nov 28 338 Chicago St. W 87-64 89%     3 - 4 +9.1 +6.2 +2.8
  Wed, Dec 3 144 Wright St. W 69-68 56%     4 - 4 1 - 0 -1.0 -3.4 +2.5
  Sat, Dec 6 355 @IU Indianapolis W 78-55 84%     5 - 4 2 - 0 +11.9 +2.0 +11.0
  Wed, Dec 17 184 @Robert Morris L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Dec 20 262 South Carolina Upstate W 76-68 77%    
  Mon, Dec 29 291 Detroit Mercy W 77-67 82%    
  Thu, Jan 1 149 Oakland W 81-79 57%    
  Sun, Jan 4 193 @Northern Kentucky L 73-74 46%    
  Wed, Jan 7 224 Purdue Fort Wayne W 79-73 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 144 @Wright St. L 68-73 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 321 @Cleveland St. W 79-73 71%    
  Thu, Jan 22 276 Green Bay W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 236 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-71 73%    
  Fri, Jan 30 355 IU Indianapolis W 92-75 93%    
  Wed, Feb 4 224 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 77-76 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 184 Robert Morris W 72-68 65%    
  Thu, Feb 12 149 @Oakland L 78-82 36%    
  Sun, Feb 15 291 @Detroit Mercy W 74-70 63%    
  Wed, Feb 18 321 Cleveland St. W 82-70 86%    
  Sat, Feb 21 193 Northern Kentucky W 76-71 66%    
  Wed, Feb 25 236 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-74 52%    
  Sat, Feb 28 276 @Green Bay W 72-69 60%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.8 6.2 7.6 5.8 3.1 1.0 0.2 27.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 4.0 7.8 5.7 2.3 0.5 0.0 20.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.6 6.8 3.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 15.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.5 3.1 0.4 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.2 2.5 0.3 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.2 1.8 0.3 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.4 4.3 7.1 9.4 12.5 14.6 14.9 12.9 9.9 6.3 3.1 1.0 0.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
18-2 98.8% 3.1    2.9 0.1
17-3 92.4% 5.8    5.1 0.8 0.0
16-4 76.2% 7.6    5.1 2.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 47.9% 6.2    2.9 2.6 0.7 0.1
14-6 19.0% 2.8    0.5 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-7 3.2% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 27.2% 27.2 17.8 7.1 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 36.1% 36.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 1.0% 40.5% 40.5% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
18-2 3.1% 37.9% 37.9% 13.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.9
17-3 6.3% 32.9% 32.9% 13.4 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 4.2
16-4 9.9% 28.2% 28.2% 13.8 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 7.1
15-5 12.9% 23.2% 23.2% 14.1 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.9 0.0 9.9
14-6 14.9% 18.1% 18.1% 14.4 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 12.2
13-7 14.6% 14.6% 14.6% 14.8 0.0 0.7 1.2 0.3 12.5
12-8 12.5% 10.1% 10.1% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 11.3
11-9 9.4% 8.2% 8.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 8.6
10-10 7.1% 4.8% 4.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.7
9-11 4.3% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 4.1
8-12 2.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 2.3
7-13 0.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
6-14 0.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 17.0% 17.0% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.3 6.3 5.2 1.4 83.1 0.0%