IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.1	#276
Expected Predictive Rating	-3.4	#225

Pace	64.1	#316
Improvement	-0.2	#205

Offense
Total Offense	-1.7	#215

First Shot	-0.9	#197
After Offensive Rebound	-0.8	#232

Layup/Dunks	-2.6	#278
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.9	#228
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.0	#150
Freethrows	+1.6	#94

Improvement	-0.1	#193

Defense
Total Defense	-4.4	#321

First Shot	-3.8	#304
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.6	#232

Layups/Dunks	-1.2	#224
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.6	#151
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.5	#212
Freethrows	-2.7	#328

Improvement	-0.1	#196

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.5%	3.5%	2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.4	15.6

.500 or above	12.4%	20.8%	7.6%
.500 or above in Conference	31.7%	37.8%	28.3%
Conference Champion	0.9%	1.4%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	3.7%	2.5%	4.4%

First Four	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%
First Round	2.1%	3.0%	1.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Home) - 36.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 9	4 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 6	12 - 19

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	17 @Kansas	L	51-94	2%	0 - 1			-23.1	-5.6	-21.3
Fri, Nov 7	216 @Buffalo	L	76-83	29%	0 - 2			-7.4	+7.3	-15.3
Thu, Nov 13	135 @St. Thomas	L	61-80	16%	0 - 3			-14.3	-10.0	-4.2
Sat, Nov 15	96 @Minnesota	L	65-72 OT	10%	0 - 4			+1.3	-4.8	+6.2
Fri, Nov 21	79 Yale	L	67-73	11%	0 - 5			+1.4	+1.9	-1.3
Sat, Nov 22	152 Massachusetts	W	79-75	26%	1 - 5			+4.5	+10.5	-5.8
Mon, Nov 24	171 Iona	W	80-75	31%	2 - 5			+4.1	+9.4	-5.2
Thu, Dec 4	184 Robert Morris	L	78-80	44%	2 - 6	0 - 1		-6.6	+6.5	-13.2
Sun, Dec 7	144 @Wright St.	L	58-86	17%	2 - 7	0 - 2		-24.0	-10.6	-14.3
Thu, Dec 11	355 @IU Indianapolis	W	85-75	68%	3 - 7	1 - 2		-1.1	+1.7	-3.2
Wed, Dec 17	150 UC Santa Barbara	L	70-74	36%
Tue, Dec 23	228 @Campbell	L	71-76	31%
Thu, Jan 1	224 @Purdue Fort Wayne	L	73-78	30%
Mon, Jan 5	236 Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	75-74	54%
Fri, Jan 9	355 IU Indianapolis	W	89-78	85%
Sun, Jan 11	193 Northern Kentucky	L	73-74	46%
Thu, Jan 15	321 @Cleveland St.	W	76-75	51%
Sun, Jan 18	149 Oakland	L	78-82	36%
Thu, Jan 22	166 @Youngstown St.	L	66-75	21%
Sat, Jan 24	184 @Robert Morris	L	66-74	25%
Fri, Jan 30	321 Cleveland St.	W	79-73	72%
Sun, Feb 1	144 Wright St.	L	68-72	35%
Wed, Feb 4	193 @Northern Kentucky	L	70-77	26%
Sat, Feb 7	291 Detroit Mercy	W	74-70	65%
Thu, Feb 12	224 Purdue Fort Wayne	W	76-75	52%
Sun, Feb 15	236 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	72-77	32%
Fri, Feb 20	149 @Oakland	L	75-85	19%
Sun, Feb 22	291 @Detroit Mercy	L	71-73	43%
Sat, Feb 28	166 Youngstown St.	L	69-72	40%
Projected Record					11 - 18	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0					0.9	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0						2.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.5	1.4	0.4	0.0							3.6	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.2	2.5	0.6	0.0								5.8	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.9	3.9	1.2	0.1									8.5	5th
6th								0.0	0.7	3.4	5.5	2.0	0.1	0.0									11.6	6th
7th							0.1	1.1	4.3	6.7	3.0	0.3	0.0										15.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.8	5.6	7.4	3.7	0.4	0.0											19.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.7	2.9	6.2	6.5	2.8	0.3	0.0												19.4	9th
10th			0.1	1.0	2.8	4.0	2.9	1.0	0.1	0.0													11.9	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0																1.6	11th

Total		0.0	0.4	1.5	4.0	7.3	11.1	14.1	15.3	14.5	12.2	8.6	5.5	3.1	1.5	0.5	0.2	0.0						Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-4	90.4%	0.2		0.1	0.1
15-5	55.4%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	21.0%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	4.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
12-8	0.2%	0.0				0.0		0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3	0.0%																			0.0	0.0			0.0
16-4	0.2%		19.2%	19.2%		14.2															0.0	0.0		0.1
15-5	0.5%		19.1%	19.1%		14.3														0.0	0.1	0.0		0.4
14-6	1.5%		14.8%	14.8%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	1.2
13-7	3.1%		8.5%	8.5%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.9
12-8	5.5%		6.8%	6.8%		15.3															0.0	0.2	0.2	5.2
11-9	8.6%		5.4%	5.4%		15.6															0.0	0.2	0.3	8.2
10-10	12.2%		3.7%	3.7%		15.9																0.1	0.4	11.8
9-11	14.5%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																0.0	0.3	14.2
8-12	15.3%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																0.0	0.2	15.1
7-13	14.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	14.0
6-14	11.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
5-15	7.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.3
4-16	4.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.0
3-17	1.5%																							1.5
2-18	0.4%																							0.4
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20

Total	100%		2.5%	2.5%	0.0%	15.5														0.0	0.2	0.8	1.5	97.5		0.0%