Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#236
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#235
Pace71.7#123
Improvement+0.4#154

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#197
First Shot-2.3#240
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#109
Layup/Dunks-2.6#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#113
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#178
Freethrows-0.8#234
Improvement-0.9#256

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#269
First Shot-3.2#285
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#168
Layups/Dunks-2.8#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#182
Freethrows-1.0#249
Improvement+1.4#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 7.1% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 25.8% 39.4% 18.4%
.500 or above in Conference 64.1% 71.3% 60.2%
Conference Champion 6.7% 9.1% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.8% 1.5%
First Four1.5% 1.1% 1.7%
First Round5.0% 6.6% 4.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Neutral) - 35.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 411 - 614 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 229 Hampton W 90-86 61%     1 - 0 -3.0 +4.0 -7.4
  Sat, Nov 8 246 @Wofford L 76-86 41%     1 - 1 -11.8 -3.1 -8.0
  Mon, Nov 10 313 Arkansas Little Rock W 92-72 77%     2 - 1 +8.0 +14.0 -5.9
  Wed, Nov 12 27 @Indiana L 70-101 3%     2 - 2 -13.2 +5.4 -18.3
  Fri, Nov 14 24 @Texas Tech L 63-80 3%     2 - 3 +1.0 +2.4 -2.8
  Sat, Nov 22 100 @Wichita St. L 58-75 13%     2 - 4 -9.1 -7.8 -2.1
  Sat, Nov 29 65 @Akron L 81-105 8%     2 - 5 -12.6 +0.4 -10.6
  Sat, Dec 6 184 Robert Morris W 74-72 52%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -2.6 -1.4 -1.2
  Sun, Dec 14 181 Indiana St. L 68-70 51%     3 - 6 -6.4 -0.3 -6.3
  Fri, Dec 19 160 South Dakota St. L 74-78 35%    
  Sun, Dec 21 321 @Cleveland St. W 81-79 59%    
  Mon, Dec 29 224 Purdue Fort Wayne W 82-79 58%    
  Tue, Dec 30 40 @Wisconsin L 70-89 4%    
  Thu, Jan 1 144 @Wright St. L 70-78 22%    
  Mon, Jan 5 276 @Green Bay L 74-75 46%    
  Fri, Jan 9 193 Northern Kentucky W 77-76 53%    
  Sun, Jan 11 355 IU Indianapolis W 95-82 88%    
  Thu, Jan 15 149 Oakland L 83-85 44%    
  Sun, Jan 18 224 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 79-82 38%    
  Thu, Jan 22 184 @Robert Morris L 71-77 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 166 @Youngstown St. L 71-78 27%    
  Fri, Jan 30 144 Wright St. L 73-75 42%    
  Sun, Feb 1 321 Cleveland St. W 84-76 77%    
  Wed, Feb 4 291 Detroit Mercy W 79-73 71%    
  Sat, Feb 7 193 @Northern Kentucky L 74-79 32%    
  Sun, Feb 15 276 Green Bay W 77-72 68%    
  Fri, Feb 20 291 @Detroit Mercy W 76-75 51%    
  Sun, Feb 22 149 @Oakland L 80-88 25%    
  Wed, Feb 25 166 Youngstown St. L 74-75 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 355 @IU Indianapolis W 92-85 73%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.9 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.5 1.8 0.5 0.1 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.6 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.2 2.9 0.2 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 6.3 3.0 0.3 0.0 13.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 13.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 4.0 6.9 9.7 12.1 13.4 13.7 12.4 9.9 6.9 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 94.2% 1.0    0.9 0.1
16-4 78.6% 1.8    1.3 0.5 0.0
15-5 47.9% 1.9    0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-6 18.2% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1
13-7 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.7% 6.7 3.7 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 26.1% 26.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.3% 26.0% 26.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.0% 23.7% 23.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-4 2.3% 18.9% 18.9% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.9
15-5 4.0% 16.7% 16.7% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 3.4
14-6 6.9% 13.1% 13.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 6.0
13-7 9.9% 9.0% 9.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 9.0
12-8 12.4% 6.9% 6.9% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.5 11.5
11-9 13.7% 5.1% 5.1% 15.9 0.1 0.6 13.0
10-10 13.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.0
9-11 12.1% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 11.8
8-12 9.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.6
7-13 6.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.9
6-14 4.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.0
5-15 2.0% 2.0
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 2.4 94.3 0.0%