Preseason Rankings
Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#192
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.1#49
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#185
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#206
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.0% 22.2% 12.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.4 14.2
.500 or above 60.1% 83.1% 56.6%
.500 or above in Conference 75.8% 87.7% 74.0%
Conference Champion 18.9% 30.7% 17.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.6% 2.0%
First Four1.3% 0.7% 1.4%
First Round14.0% 22.3% 12.7%
Second Round0.9% 1.5% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grand Canyon (Away) - 13.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 43 - 9
Quad 413 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 80   @ Grand Canyon L 72-84 13%    
  Nov 07, 2025 27   @ Ohio St. L 66-86 3%    
  Nov 12, 2025 286   @ Western Michigan W 76-74 57%    
  Nov 18, 2025 88   @ Utah L 70-81 16%    
  Nov 21, 2025 72   @ Saint Louis L 68-81 12%    
  Nov 25, 2025 349   Chicago St. W 82-69 87%    
  Dec 03, 2025 197   @ Oakland L 69-72 40%    
  Dec 06, 2025 266   Northern Kentucky W 75-68 72%    
  Dec 10, 2025 291   Eastern Michigan W 80-72 76%    
  Dec 14, 2025 309   Detroit Mercy W 78-69 79%    
  Dec 21, 2025 63   @ Notre Dame L 64-78 11%    
  Dec 29, 2025 214   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-77 44%    
  Jan 01, 2026 314   Green Bay W 82-72 79%    
  Jan 04, 2026 232   Cleveland St. W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 07, 2026 179   @ Youngstown St. L 74-78 38%    
  Jan 11, 2026 207   @ Robert Morris L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 18, 2026 214   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-74 64%    
  Jan 21, 2026 309   @ Detroit Mercy W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 25, 2026 359   @ IU Indianapolis W 78-68 79%    
  Jan 28, 2026 197   Oakland W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 31, 2026 207   Robert Morris W 77-73 62%    
  Feb 04, 2026 179   Youngstown St. W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 07, 2026 191   @ Wright St. L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 12, 2026 314   @ Green Bay W 79-75 62%    
  Feb 15, 2026 359   IU Indianapolis W 81-65 90%    
  Feb 18, 2026 266   @ Northern Kentucky W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 22, 2026 232   @ Cleveland St. L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 25, 2026 191   Wright St. W 78-75 60%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.5 4.6 4.4 2.8 1.4 0.4 18.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.7 5.1 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.0 15.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.2 5.0 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.4 4.9 2.3 0.4 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 4.3 2.1 0.3 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.7 3.8 1.6 0.1 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.2 0.9 0.1 5.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.9 4.4 5.9 7.6 8.7 10.2 11.1 10.5 10.3 8.6 6.7 5.0 2.8 1.4 0.4 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
19-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4 0.0
18-2 98.5% 2.8    2.6 0.2
17-3 88.8% 4.4    3.6 0.8 0.0
16-4 68.2% 4.6    3.0 1.4 0.1
15-5 40.2% 3.5    1.5 1.4 0.5 0.0
14-6 14.8% 1.5    0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 18.9% 18.9 12.9 4.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.4% 63.7% 63.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 1.4% 54.4% 54.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7
18-2 2.8% 47.5% 47.5% 12.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5
17-3 5.0% 38.1% 38.1% 13.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.1
16-4 6.7% 30.1% 30.1% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.7
15-5 8.6% 24.3% 24.3% 14.4 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 6.5
14-6 10.3% 17.5% 17.5% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 8.5
13-7 10.5% 12.5% 12.5% 16.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 9.2
12-8 11.1% 9.8% 9.8% 17.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 10.0
11-9 10.2% 6.4% 6.4% 17.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 9.5
10-10 8.7% 4.4% 4.4% 18.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.3
9-11 7.6% 2.6% 2.6% 16.5 0.0 0.2 7.4
8-12 5.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.6 0.1 5.8
7-13 4.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 4.3
6-14 2.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
5-15 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.7
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.0% 14.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.1 3.5 3.4 2.4 86.0 0.0%