Chicago St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#338
Expected Predictive Rating-8.9#301
Pace71.0#141
Improvement+0.7#131

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#303
First Shot-4.5#299
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#206
Layup/Dunks-5.0#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.3#356
Freethrows+1.8#81
Improvement+0.3#156

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#345
First Shot-4.5#320
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#294
Layups/Dunks-0.3#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#13
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#347
Freethrows-1.0#245
Improvement+0.4#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 9.4% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.2% 10.4% 2.8%
.500 or above in Conference 59.4% 71.5% 58.7%
Conference Champion 6.6% 10.7% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 8.0% 4.8% 8.2%
First Four6.1% 8.8% 6.0%
First Round2.9% 4.6% 2.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Away) - 5.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 410 - 1010 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 113 @DePaul L 62-92 6%     0 - 1 -23.6 -8.4 -14.1
  Thu, Nov 6 43 @Saint Louis L 86-108 2%     0 - 2 -7.3 +4.6 -7.9
  Tue, Nov 11 54 @Butler L 66-98 2%     0 - 3 -19.0 -5.5 -12.1
  Sat, Nov 15 189 Illinois-Chicago L 63-67 28%     0 - 4 -8.8 -6.4 -2.8
  Tue, Nov 18 96 @Minnesota L 54-66 5%     0 - 5 -3.7 -8.2 +3.2
  Thu, Nov 20 20 @Iowa L 54-93 1%     0 - 6 -20.3 -2.2 -23.8
  Tue, Nov 25 224 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-90 17%     0 - 7 -13.6 +4.0 -18.0
  Fri, Nov 28 166 @Youngstown St. L 64-87 11%     0 - 8 -20.5 -5.9 -14.5
  Sat, Dec 6 90 @Illinois St. L 53-95 4%     0 - 9 -33.2 -14.2 -20.8
  Sun, Dec 14 287 @Loyola Chicago W 84-75 25%     1 - 9 +5.1 +5.5 -0.6
  Tue, Dec 16 124 @Bowling Green L 67-83 6%    
  Sat, Dec 20 27 @Indiana L 61-90 0.3%   
  Fri, Jan 2 301 Wagner L 73-74 49%    
  Sun, Jan 4 211 LIU Brooklyn L 74-79 33%    
  Thu, Jan 8 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-77 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 341 @Stonehill L 70-73 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 307 Le Moyne W 80-79 51%    
  Mon, Jan 19 337 New Haven W 71-68 60%    
  Fri, Jan 23 363 @St. Francis (PA) W 76-74 56%    
  Sun, Jan 25 329 @Mercyhurst L 68-72 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 363 St. Francis (PA) W 79-71 75%    
  Sat, Jan 31 329 Mercyhurst W 71-69 58%    
  Thu, Feb 5 242 @Central Connecticut St. L 67-76 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 337 @New Haven L 68-71 39%    
  Thu, Feb 12 341 Stonehill W 73-70 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 307 @Le Moyne L 76-82 30%    
  Thu, Feb 19 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-74 73%    
  Sat, Feb 21 242 Central Connecticut St. L 70-73 39%    
  Thu, Feb 26 211 @LIU Brooklyn L 71-82 17%    
  Sat, Feb 28 301 @Wagner L 71-77 29%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.7 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.2 6.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 3.4 3.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 4.9 3.8 0.9 0.1 11.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 6.1 4.2 0.9 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.7 4.8 0.8 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.5 5.1 1.0 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.4 5.2 1.3 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.3 1.3 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.0 1.1 0.1 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 4.6 8.0 10.8 13.4 13.9 13.8 11.3 8.7 5.8 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 96.6% 0.2    0.2
15-1 96.8% 0.7    0.6 0.1
14-2 82.3% 1.4    1.1 0.3 0.0
13-3 58.8% 2.0    1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0
12-4 28.7% 1.7    0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1
11-5 7.1% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.6% 6.6 3.6 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 31.0% 31.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.7% 29.2% 29.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.5
14-2 1.7% 25.8% 25.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 1.2
13-3 3.4% 22.4% 22.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8 2.6
12-4 5.8% 14.8% 14.8% 16.0 0.0 0.9 4.9
11-5 8.7% 11.2% 11.2% 16.0 1.0 7.7
10-6 11.3% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.9 10.4
9-7 13.8% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.7 13.1
8-8 13.9% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.6 13.3
7-9 13.4% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 13.0
6-10 10.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.6
5-11 8.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 7.9
4-12 4.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.5
3-13 2.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-14 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.3 93.6 0.0%