Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#226
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#178
Pace66.3#269
Improvement-1.0#247

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#246
First Shot-1.3#215
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#279
Layup/Dunks+1.2#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#295
Freethrows+0.0#178
Improvement+0.5#130

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#196
First Shot+0.3#161
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#273
Layups/Dunks-0.3#184
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#101
Freethrows+1.3#106
Improvement-1.5#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 3.2% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.0 14.3
.500 or above 26.9% 52.9% 24.7%
.500 or above in Conference 35.1% 62.2% 32.8%
Conference Champion 0.9% 4.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 7.0% 1.6% 7.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.3% 3.2% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 7.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 75 - 13
Quad 48 - 413 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 334 Georgia St. W 71-49 82%     1 - 0 +8.4 -4.8 +13.7
  Mon, Nov 10 107 @Pittsburgh L 66-78 16%     1 - 1 -5.1 -4.6 -0.6
  Fri, Nov 14 355 IU Indianapolis L 83-90 89%     1 - 2 -24.1 -8.8 -14.5
  Tue, Nov 18 291 @Detroit Mercy W 72-62 52%     2 - 2 +5.8 -3.0 +8.8
  Fri, Nov 21 149 Oakland W 97-91 44%     3 - 2 +3.7 +13.4 -10.0
  Mon, Nov 24 10 @Louisville L 46-87 2%     3 - 3 -19.2 -16.8 -4.2
  Wed, Nov 26 78 @Cincinnati W 64-56 10%     4 - 3 +18.5 +6.2 +12.9
  Fri, Nov 28 352 NJIT W 73-55 87%     5 - 3 +2.1 -0.4 +3.4
  Tue, Dec 2 54 @Butler L 68-84 7%     5 - 4 -3.0 +3.4 -7.4
  Wed, Dec 10 224 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65-80 38%     5 - 5 -15.6 -6.2 -10.3
  Fri, Dec 19 65 @Akron L 73-88 8%    
  Mon, Dec 22 144 @Wright St. L 65-73 23%    
  Tue, Dec 30 152 Massachusetts L 74-75 45%    
  Sat, Jan 3 175 Ohio W 75-74 51%    
  Tue, Jan 6 306 @Ball St. W 67-66 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 253 @Western Michigan L 71-73 44%    
  Tue, Jan 13 327 Northern Illinois W 77-68 80%    
  Sat, Jan 17 124 @Bowling Green L 66-75 20%    
  Sat, Jan 24 131 Kent St. L 77-80 41%    
  Tue, Jan 27 323 @Central Michigan W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 152 @Massachusetts L 71-78 25%    
  Tue, Feb 3 65 Akron L 76-85 21%    
  Wed, Feb 11 131 @Kent St. L 74-83 22%    
  Sat, Feb 14 253 Western Michigan W 74-70 65%    
  Tue, Feb 17 323 Central Michigan W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Feb 21 167 @Toledo L 72-78 29%    
  Tue, Feb 24 106 Miami (OH) L 71-76 34%    
  Tue, Mar 3 216 @Buffalo L 71-74 38%    
  Fri, Mar 6 124 Bowling Green L 69-72 39%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 4.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.1 1.7 0.1 7.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.9 2.9 0.3 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.4 4.3 0.6 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 5.0 5.5 1.1 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.6 4.3 6.2 1.8 0.1 13.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.9 2.3 0.2 11.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.1 3.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.4 6.4 10.2 13.7 15.0 14.6 12.4 9.7 6.5 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 74.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 40.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-5 14.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 22.7% 22.7% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 12.0% 12.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 14.3% 14.3% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.8% 7.2% 7.2% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.7
12-6 3.6% 5.4% 5.4% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.4
11-7 6.5% 3.0% 3.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.3
10-8 9.7% 2.6% 2.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.5
9-9 12.4% 1.9% 1.9% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 12.1
8-10 14.6% 1.1% 1.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 14.4
7-11 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
6-12 13.7% 13.7
5-13 10.2% 10.2
4-14 6.4% 6.4
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 98.6 0.0%