Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.5 #242
Expected Predictive Rating -4.3 #229
Pace 66.7 #239
Improvement -4.6 #341

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #280 C- D C D+ C-
Defense #180 C C+ C C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #125 1.11 #233 +0.3 #166
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #79 0.72 #237 +1.5 #98
Three Pointers 33% #326 1.05 #141 -3.4 #296
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #226 -1.6 #227
Freethrows 0.27 #283 72% #201 0.19 #275
Second Chance 27.0% #278 0.94 #318 0.25 #312
Turnovers 16.9% #213
Total Offense -4.0 #280

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #87 1.13 #138 -1.5 #231
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #107 0.78 #221 -0.9 #258
Three Pointers 35% #327 1.03 #205 +2.6 #84
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #175 +0.2 #175
Freethrows 0.29 #147 74% #262 0.21 #161
Second Chance 29.4% #130 1.01 #123 0.30 #116
Turnovers 16.2% #193
Total Defense -0.5 #180

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.0% #255 0.1% #171
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.1% #209 -0.4% #179
Possession Length 18.5 #285 17.1 #133
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #190 0.21 #307
Improvement -1.9 #281 -2.8 #322

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.7
.500 or above 1.8% 4.8% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 6.7% 15.9% 3.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 3.3% 13.6%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 26.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 20 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 74 - 14
Quad 48 - 512 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 270 Georgia St. W 71 - 49 67% +8  1 - 0 +13 -2 F A- D +15 A B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 92 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 78 11% -11  1 - 1 -3 -3 F+ D+ B -0 C+ B D-
 Fri, Nov 14 340 IU Indianapolis L 83 - 90 83% -3  1 - 2 -22 -8 F C- B -13 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 291 @Detroit Mercy W 72 - 62 50% -1  2 - 2 +6 -4 C D F +10 A+ C+ B-
 Fri, Nov 21 135 Oakland W 97 - 91 38% +1  3 - 2 +5 +14 A+ F C- -9 D- D+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 19 @Louisville L 46 - 87 2% -20  3 - 3 -21 -16 F D+ D+ -6 D B+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 52 @Cincinnati W 64 - 56 6% +9  4 - 3 +21 +8 C A+ F +14 A A- B+
 Fri, Nov 28 339 NJIT W 73 - 55 82% +3  5 - 3 +4 -1 B+ D F +6 A- F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 60 @Butler L 68 - 84 7% -7  5 - 4 -4 +3 C C- D+ -8 D F B
 Wed, Dec 10 224 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65 - 80 36% -12  5 - 5 -16 -4 C F B+ -13 B- F C
 Fri, Dec 19 62 @Akron L 72 - 93 7% -15  5 - 6 0 - 1 -9 +1 F C A- -9 C+ D D-
 Mon, Dec 22 151 @Wright St. L 64 - 70 22% -1  5 - 7 -3 -7 D F C+ +4 C A+ B+
 Tue, Dec 30 171 Massachusetts W 80 - 74 48% +2  6 - 7 1 - 1 +2 +3 C- D+ A- -1 A+ B F
 Sat, Jan 3 214 Ohio L 67 - 68 57% +9  6 - 8 1 - 2 -7 -5 B- F C -2 D A+ A
 Tue, Jan 6 295 @Ball St. W 74 - 52 51% +13  7 - 8 2 - 2 +17 +16 A+ B+ F +6 B- A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 273 @Western Michigan L 62 - 79 45% -1  7 - 9 2 - 3 -20 -11 C F F+ -10 F+ D B+
 Tue, Jan 13 310 Northern Illinois W 77 - 59 76% +3  8 - 9 3 - 3 +6 -3 C- F B+ +8 B A+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 145 @Bowling Green L 79 - 85 21% -6  8 - 10 3 - 4 -2 +13 A- C- A -15 F+ D C
 Sat, Jan 24 143 Kent St. L 75 - 76 2OT 40% -3  8 - 11 3 - 5 -3 -8 F C- A- +5 C A+ A-
 Tue, Jan 27 302 @Central Michigan L 65 - 100 53% -9  8 - 12 3 - 6 -40 -15 C- F F -22 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 171 @Massachusetts L 70 - 77 27%
 Tue, Feb 3 62 Akron L 74 - 84 16%
 Sat, Feb 7 200 @Appalachian St. L 63 - 68 33%
 Wed, Feb 11 143 @Kent St. L 72 - 81 21%
 Sat, Feb 14 273 Western Michigan W 76 - 71 67%
 Tue, Feb 17 302 Central Michigan W 74 - 67 74%
 Sat, Feb 21 164 @Toledo L 71 - 78 25%
 Tue, Feb 24 91 Miami (OH) L 73 - 80 24%
 Tue, Mar 3 185 @Buffalo L 70 - 76 30%
 Fri, Mar 6 145 Bowling Green L 71 - 73 41%
Totals 12 - 18 6 - 12 -4 -4 C- D C +0 C C+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.0 4th
5th 0.4 1.8 0.5 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 2.2 0.1 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 2.3 5.6 0.9 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 8.9 3.4 0.1 13.7 8th
9th 1.5 11.3 9.3 0.6 22.7 9th
10th 0.3 7.8 11.5 1.6 21.2 10th
11th 0.0 2.4 8.8 2.4 0.0 13.7 11th
12th 0.4 4.6 2.8 0.2 7.8 12th
13th 1.3 1.7 0.2 3.2 13th
Total 1.6 9.0 21.0 26.8 22.3 12.5 5.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.2% 2.4% 2.4% 13.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
9-9 5.2% 1.9% 1.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.1
8-10 12.5% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.1 0.1 12.3
7-11 22.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 22.3
6-12 26.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 26.8
5-13 21.0% 21.0
4-14 9.0% 9.0
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.4 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%