Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#253
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#206
Pace69.9#169
Improvement-0.9#244

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#216
First Shot+0.3#161
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#312
Layup/Dunks+1.9#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#220
Freethrows-1.8#287
Improvement+1.5#71

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#284
First Shot+0.6#145
After Offensive Rebounds-4.0#355
Layups/Dunks+2.9#83
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#26
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#353
Freethrows+1.5#88
Improvement-2.4#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.0
.500 or above 16.3% 23.0% 8.2%
.500 or above in Conference 23.5% 32.6% 12.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 11.9% 6.2% 18.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Home) - 54.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 49 - 412 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 244 Coastal Carolina W 76-71 60%     1 - 0 -2.7 -4.3 +1.2
  Sun, Nov 9 228 @Campbell L 82-91 34%     1 - 1 -9.9 -1.2 -7.5
  Wed, Nov 12 224 Purdue Fort Wayne W 83-71 56%     2 - 1 +5.4 -1.5 +6.0
  Sun, Nov 16 278 @South Dakota L 78-83 43%     2 - 2 -8.2 +2.7 -11.0
  Thu, Nov 20 31 @Ohio St. L 58-91 3%     2 - 3 -16.4 -10.0 -5.2
  Sun, Nov 23 298 Mount St. Mary's W 83-60 70%     3 - 3 +12.5 +8.2 +5.1
  Sat, Nov 29 213 @Valparaiso L 55-84 32%     3 - 4 -29.3 -11.9 -19.7
  Wed, Dec 3 317 Southern Indiana W 88-74 75%     4 - 4 +1.7 +8.2 -6.9
  Sat, Dec 6 232 @SIU Edwardsville W 83-73 35%     5 - 4 +9.0 +14.4 -5.1
  Sun, Dec 14 20 @Iowa L 51-91 2%     5 - 5 -21.3 -8.5 -16.4
  Sat, Dec 20 216 Buffalo W 77-76 54%    
  Tue, Dec 30 167 @Toledo L 75-82 24%    
  Tue, Jan 6 106 @Miami (OH) L 72-84 13%    
  Sat, Jan 10 226 Eastern Michigan W 73-71 56%    
  Tue, Jan 13 152 Massachusetts L 77-80 40%    
  Sat, Jan 17 65 @Akron L 76-93 7%    
  Tue, Jan 20 124 Bowling Green L 72-77 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 323 Central Michigan W 78-70 76%    
  Tue, Jan 27 327 @Northern Illinois W 78-76 56%    
  Tue, Feb 3 175 @Ohio L 75-82 26%    
  Wed, Feb 11 167 Toledo L 78-79 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 226 @Eastern Michigan L 70-74 35%    
  Tue, Feb 17 65 Akron L 79-90 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 323 @Central Michigan W 75-73 56%    
  Tue, Feb 24 124 @Bowling Green L 69-80 17%    
  Sat, Feb 28 106 Miami (OH) L 75-81 29%    
  Tue, Mar 3 306 Ball St. W 73-67 70%    
  Fri, Mar 6 131 @Kent St. L 77-87 19%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 2.6 1.0 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.0 3.3 0.4 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.1 0.8 0.0 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.6 6.1 1.8 0.1 13.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 4.4 6.9 2.6 0.2 14.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.1 2.7 0.3 13.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 2.8 4.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 10.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 1.9 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.3 13th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.6 5.7 9.5 13.4 15.6 15.2 13.5 9.9 6.5 3.9 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 71.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 32.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 4.8% 4.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 10.0% 10.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.8% 5.6% 5.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-6 2.0% 4.2% 4.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
11-7 3.9% 3.4% 3.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.7
10-8 6.5% 2.3% 2.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.3
9-9 9.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.8
8-10 13.5% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 13.4
7-11 15.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.2
6-12 15.6% 15.6
5-13 13.4% 13.4
4-14 9.5% 9.5
3-15 5.7% 5.7
2-16 2.6% 2.6
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%