South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -14.9 #359
Expected Predictive Rating -15.4 #354
Pace 71.5 #108
Improvement +2.2 #83

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #353 D- C F C- F
Defense #345 D F C- F F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #357 0.97 #350 -8.3 #362
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% #4 0.69 #281 +4.7 #16
Three Pointers 35% #304 1.03 #161 -2.6 #274
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #342 -6.2 #343
Freethrows 0.31 #146 63% #363 0.20 #254
Second Chance 30.7% #176 1.02 #218 0.31 #190
Turnovers 21.1% #361
Total Offense -8.5 #353

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #30 1.32 #345 -7.4 #361
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #362 0.84 #304 +2.4 #29
Three Pointers 42% #136 0.96 #104 +0.5 #156
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #312 -4.5 #312
Freethrows 0.40 #360 73% #222 0.29 #358
Second Chance 39.6% #362 1.22 #345 0.48 #365
Turnovers 15.2% #251
Total Defense -6.5 #345

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -5.3% #363 2.9% #360
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.3% #299 5.7% #283
Possession Length 18.9 #324 15.6 #7
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #306 0.24 #349
Improvement +1.8 #90 +0.3 #169

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.2% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 48.4% 66.6% 31.2%
Conference Champion 5.0% 8.5% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.6% 4.2%
First Four3.5% 4.2% 2.8%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 48.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 47 - 147 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 17 @Louisville L 45 - 104 0% -40  0 - 1 -38 -26 F C- F -4 C D- A
 Fri, Nov 7 243 @Samford L 72 - 82 11% -1  0 - 2 -11 -6 D- C+ F -5 C F C+
 Mon, Nov 10 292 @N.C. A&T L 62 - 85 16% -14  0 - 3 -27 -22 F D- F -2 C- D+ A
 Fri, Nov 14 162 @College of Charleston L 61 - 88 6% -14  0 - 4 -24 -8 D- D- F -17 F+ F F
 Wed, Nov 19 259 Chattanooga L 66 - 78 26% -8  0 - 5 -20 -14 F A+ C+ -6 C F B-
 Sun, Nov 23 283 @South Dakota L 81 - 82 16% -8  0 - 6 -5 +3 D B D- -8 F+ F+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 51 @Missouri L 66 - 98 1% -24  0 - 7 -18 -2 F+ C C+ -16 A+ F F
 Sat, Nov 29 125 @Winthrop L 79 - 101 4% -14  0 - 8 -17 +4 B C+ D+ -20 F F A-
 Fri, Dec 5 249 @Bethune-Cookman L 59 - 80 11% -12  0 - 9 -23 -11 F D F -14 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 8 232 @Charleston Southern L 44 - 84 10% -15  0 - 10 -41 -27 F F F -15 D C C-
 Fri, Dec 12 185 @Queens L 78 - 102 8% -19  0 - 11 -23 +0 D A+ F -22 D- F F
 Tue, Dec 16 306 South Carolina Upstate L 72 - 78 37% -6  0 - 12 -18 -2 C+ C F+ -16 F F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 77 @South Carolina L 70 - 95 2% -12  0 - 13 -15 +2 C+ C C- -16 F+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 30 22 @Tennessee L 54 - 105 0% -23  0 - 14 -31 -7 D- C B+ -24 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 275 Howard W 58 - 57 30% +7  1 - 14 1 - 0 -8 -16 D B- F +7 A+ F+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 356 @Morgan St. L 67 - 72 36% +2  1 - 15 1 - 1 -16 -8 D- B- F -8 D C- F
 Mon, Jan 12 364 @Coppin St. W 74 - 72 58% +4  2 - 15 2 - 1 -15 -1 C C- F+ -13 C- F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 294 Norfolk St. L 82 - 89 34% +0  2 - 16 2 - 2 -18 +4 C C F -21 F F B-
 Mon, Jan 26 357 Delaware St. W 70 - 64 59% +6  3 - 16 3 - 2 -11 -5 B- F C -6 C- D D
 Sat, Jan 31 343 NC Central L 73 - 74 49%
 Wed, Feb 4 331 Maryland Eastern Shore L 67 - 68 45%
 Sat, Feb 7 275 @Howard L 67 - 78 14%
 Sat, Feb 14 356 Morgan St. W 79 - 77 58%
 Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. W 79 - 71 77%
 Sat, Feb 21 294 @Norfolk St. L 68 - 78 17%
 Sat, Feb 28 331 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 64 - 71 25%
 Mon, Mar 2 357 @Delaware St. L 67 - 71 37%
 Thu, Mar 5 343 @NC Central L 71 - 77 29%
Totals 6 - 22 6 - 8 -15 -8 D- C F -6 D F C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.4 2.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.2 4.4 3.9 0.5 0.0 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.5 7.7 0.7 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 2.1 10.5 2.9 0.0 15.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.9 11.3 8.0 0.2 21.4 5th
6th 0.2 4.6 14.2 11.2 1.1 31.4 6th
7th 0.8 2.7 1.7 0.1 5.3 7th
8th 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 8th
Total 1.4 7.6 17.8 24.8 23.2 15.6 7.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
11-3 97.4% 0.4    0.3 0.0
10-4 78.1% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.1
9-5 35.8% 2.6    0.3 1.0 1.0 0.3
8-6 2.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 1.6 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.4% 22.1% 22.1% 16.0 0.1 0.3
10-4 2.1% 13.5% 13.5% 16.0 0.3 1.8
9-5 7.2% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.6 6.6
8-6 15.6% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.8 14.8
7-7 23.2% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.8 22.3
6-8 24.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.5 24.2
5-9 17.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 17.5
4-10 7.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.5
3-11 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 16.0 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%