The Citadel
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.7#354
Expected Predictive Rating-19.8#361
Pace63.7#320
Improvement+2.7#41

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#301
First Shot-4.4#300
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#214
Layup/Dunks-2.1#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#142
Freethrows-2.1#298
Improvement-1.0#258

Defense
Total Defense-8.7#363
First Shot-7.1#356
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#299
Layups/Dunks-5.1#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#137
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#269
Freethrows-0.3#203
Improvement+3.6#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.5% 5.4% 2.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 61.8% 51.3% 62.0%
First Four0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 2.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 30 - 81 - 12
Quad 44 - 144 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 150 @Boston College L 47-76 6%     0 - 1 -25.2 -18.2 -8.8
  Mon, Nov 10 256 Charleston Southern L 86-96 30%     0 - 2 -18.4 +7.8 -25.9
  Fri, Nov 14 313 @West Georgia L 92-100 23%     0 - 3 -13.9 +9.1 -22.4
  Mon, Nov 24 275 Bellarmine L 58-70 33%     0 - 4 -21.1 -12.8 -10.3
  Wed, Nov 26 279 Houston Christian L 65-72 34%     0 - 5 -16.4 -2.3 -15.4
  Sun, Nov 30 277 Presbyterian L 41-69 24%     0 - 6 -34.3 -21.0 -21.5
  Thu, Dec 4 126 @Davidson L 63-79 5%     0 - 7 -10.7 -1.3 -11.0
  Sat, Dec 13 86 @South Carolina L 55-71 3%     0 - 8 -6.7 -9.3 +1.7
  Wed, Dec 17 185 @College of Charleston L 78-82 9%     0 - 9 -2.7 +3.0 -5.5
  Sat, Dec 20 104 @Richmond L 63-84 3%    
  Wed, Dec 31 124 East Tennessee St. L 65-78 11%    
  Sat, Jan 3 221 Wofford L 69-76 26%    
  Wed, Jan 7 170 @Mercer L 67-83 7%    
  Sat, Jan 10 297 Western Carolina L 72-75 38%    
  Thu, Jan 15 291 @UNC Greensboro L 68-78 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 331 @VMI L 70-76 29%    
  Wed, Jan 21 152 Furman L 66-77 16%    
  Sat, Jan 24 124 @East Tennessee St. L 62-81 4%    
  Thu, Jan 29 331 VMI L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 291 UNC Greensboro L 71-75 38%    
  Thu, Feb 5 232 @Samford L 67-80 13%    
  Sat, Feb 7 247 @Chattanooga L 66-78 15%    
  Wed, Feb 11 297 @Western Carolina L 69-78 20%    
  Sat, Feb 14 170 Mercer L 70-80 20%    
  Thu, Feb 19 232 Samford L 70-77 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 247 Chattanooga L 69-75 31%    
  Wed, Feb 25 152 @Furman L 63-80 6%    
  Sat, Feb 28 221 @Wofford L 66-79 12%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.8 0.8 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.3 1.9 4.8 4.6 1.2 0.1 12.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 5.6 9.0 6.4 1.9 0.1 24.8 9th
10th 3.6 10.3 14.4 12.8 6.3 1.5 0.1 49.0 10th
Total 3.6 10.5 16.1 18.6 17.2 13.4 9.5 5.6 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 7.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 2.7% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.3% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 0.6% 0.6
9-9 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 1.5
8-10 3.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.1
7-11 5.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.5
6-12 9.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.5
5-13 13.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.4
4-14 17.2% 17.2
3-15 18.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.6
2-16 16.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.1
1-17 10.5% 10.5
0-18 3.6% 3.6
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.0%