Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#263
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#245
Pace59.8#365
Improvement+1.6#76

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#293
First Shot-8.0#357
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#21
Layup/Dunks+0.3#165
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#297
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#345
Freethrows+0.2#161
Improvement+0.0#186

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#205
First Shot-0.2#182
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#258
Layups/Dunks-3.9#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#123
Freethrows+1.0#124
Improvement+1.6#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.6% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 28.5% 40.3% 19.6%
.500 or above in Conference 48.9% 54.6% 44.6%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.5% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 3.6% 5.8%
First Four1.4% 1.1% 1.6%
First Round3.3% 4.1% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 42.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 411 - 813 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 204 Navy L 55-76 51%     0 - 1 -26.8 -14.3 -14.3
  Sat, Nov 8 123 East Tennessee St. W 68-64 30%     1 - 1 +3.9 +0.6 +3.6
  Mon, Nov 10 334 @Georgia St. W 63-61 58%     2 - 1 -5.6 -0.7 -4.6
  Wed, Nov 12 87 @South Carolina L 61-81 9%     2 - 2 -10.9 -2.2 -10.3
  Sun, Nov 16 279 @Sacramento St. L 62-64 42%     2 - 3 -5.3 -8.2 +2.8
  Tue, Nov 18 81 @California L 57-67 8%     2 - 4 +0.3 +0.9 -2.8
  Fri, Nov 21 30 @UCLA L 46-86 3%     2 - 5 -23.1 -17.6 -7.1
  Sun, Nov 30 361 The Citadel W 69-41 81%     3 - 5 +13.2 +7.0 +14.4
  Wed, Dec 3 246 @Wofford L 56-63 36%     3 - 6 -8.8 -11.7 +2.2
  Sat, Dec 6 322 Morehead St. W 80-72 75%     4 - 6 -4.6 +3.9 -8.2
  Wed, Dec 17 280 @East Carolina L 65-67 43%    
  Sun, Dec 21 320 @Manhattan W 70-69 54%    
  Sat, Jan 3 262 South Carolina Upstate W 68-65 60%    
  Wed, Jan 7 255 @Radford L 70-73 38%    
  Sat, Jan 10 308 @Longwood L 68-69 49%    
  Wed, Jan 14 222 UNC Asheville W 67-66 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 357 @Gardner-Webb W 73-67 70%    
  Wed, Jan 21 267 Charleston Southern W 68-65 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 112 Winthrop L 68-74 29%    
  Thu, Jan 29 105 @High Point L 65-78 13%    
  Sat, Jan 31 255 Radford W 73-70 59%    
  Sat, Feb 7 357 Gardner-Webb W 76-64 85%    
  Thu, Feb 12 267 @Charleston Southern L 65-68 40%    
  Sat, Feb 14 222 @UNC Asheville L 64-69 33%    
  Thu, Feb 19 308 Longwood W 71-65 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 262 @South Carolina Upstate L 65-68 40%    
  Thu, Feb 26 105 High Point L 68-75 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 112 @Winthrop L 65-77 15%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.8 5.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 16.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.7 7.7 6.3 1.5 0.1 0.0 18.6 4th
5th 0.2 3.0 7.9 5.4 1.0 0.1 17.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.7 7.0 4.9 0.7 0.0 15.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.4 3.4 0.5 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.2 9th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.2 6.1 10.2 13.9 16.1 15.6 13.5 9.2 5.9 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 93.6% 0.3    0.3 0.1
13-3 68.7% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.0
12-4 28.8% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-5 8.0% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.1% 9.5% 9.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 24.5% 24.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.2% 18.3% 18.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-4 3.0% 13.8% 13.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.6
11-5 5.9% 10.5% 10.5% 15.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 5.3
10-6 9.2% 6.8% 6.8% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 8.6
9-7 13.5% 4.5% 4.5% 15.8 0.1 0.5 12.9
8-8 15.6% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.5 15.1
7-9 16.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 15.6
6-10 13.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 13.6
5-11 10.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.1
4-12 6.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-13 3.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.2
2-14 1.2% 1.2
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.4 96.1 0.0%