Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.0 #269
Expected Predictive Rating -5.7 #250
Pace 62.6 #338
Improvement +1.3 #127

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #268 D+ C D C C-
Defense #254 D+ C D+ C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #64 1.10 #248 +1.6 #122
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #82 0.76 #164 +2.0 #80
Three Pointers 31% #349 0.91 #312 -6.7 #349
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #274 -3.1 #273
Freethrows 0.34 #84 67% #331 0.22 #157
Second Chance 31.9% #144 1.05 #161 0.34 #139
Turnovers 19.1% #331
Total Offense -3.4 #268

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #43 1.18 #204 -3.6 #298
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #267 0.82 #281 +0.4 #152
Three Pointers 38% #263 1.08 #275 +0.2 #170
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #275 -3.0 #275
Freethrows 0.30 #189 69% #40 0.21 #143
Second Chance 30.1% #159 1.02 #136 0.31 #148
Turnovers 15.0% #269
Total Defense -2.6 #254

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.6% #232 1.5% #307
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.6% #274 4.3% #262
Possession Length 18.4 #279 18.0 #277
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #298 0.15 #123
Improvement +3.1 #41 -1.8 #288

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.9% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 6.5% 23.2% 4.9%
.500 or above in Conference 53.0% 83.0% 50.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four1.4% 1.5% 1.4%
First Round1.8% 3.3% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Away) - 8.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 410 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 178 Navy L 55 - 76 44% -16  0 - 1 -25 -13 D- F F -15 F C F
 Sat, Nov 8 130 East Tennessee St. W 68 - 64 32% +2  1 - 1 +3 +0 D A+ F +3 A+ F B+
 Mon, Nov 10 270 @Georgia St. W 63 - 61 39% -5  2 - 1 -1 +2 C A+ F -3 D C C-
 Wed, Nov 12 90 @South Carolina L 61 - 81 9% -18  2 - 2 -11 -2 D- B- C -10 C B F
 Sun, Nov 16 294 @Sacramento St. L 62 - 64 44% +4  2 - 3 -7 -10 F D- C- +3 C- D- A+
 Tue, Nov 18 69 @California L 57 - 67 6% -3  2 - 4 +1 +3 F+ A+ D -4 D+ C A
 Fri, Nov 21 34 @UCLA L 46 - 86 3% -24  2 - 5 -23 -17 F F F -8 F F+ B-
 Sun, Nov 30 351 The Citadel W 69 - 41 75% +19  3 - 5 +15 +9 B- A+ F+ +14 A+ B B
 Wed, Dec 3 211 @Wofford L 56 - 63 28% -4  3 - 6 -7 -13 F B- D- +5 A- B F
 Sat, Dec 6 299 Morehead St. W 80 - 72 69% +3  4 - 6 -3 +2 C+ B+ F -5 F A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 17 262 @East Carolina L 53 - 74 37% -10  4 - 7 -24 -17 F C F -7 F B A+
 Sun, Dec 21 326 @Manhattan L 81 - 87 55% -3  4 - 8 -13 +2 D C C -15 F C+ F+
 Sat, Jan 3 307 South Carolina Upstate W 86 - 77 70% +4  5 - 8 1 - 0 -3 +10 B+ B- B- -12 F C+ B-
 Wed, Jan 7 253 @Radford L 61 - 80 36% -6  5 - 9 1 - 1 -21 -7 F D+ B -17 F A- F
 Sat, Jan 10 257 @Longwood L 70 - 77 36% -10  5 - 10 1 - 2 -9 +4 B- D D- -14 F D D-
 Wed, Jan 14 204 UNC Asheville W 71 - 70 49% +6  6 - 10 2 - 2 -5 +1 B+ D+ F -5 A- C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 363 @Gardner-Webb W 92 - 55 81% +20  7 - 10 3 - 2 +22 +12 B- C B- +10 B- C+ A-
 Wed, Jan 21 234 Charleston Southern W 87 - 83 54% +8  8 - 10 4 - 2 -3 +8 A+ D D+ -11 D F D+
 Sat, Jan 24 126 Winthrop L 72 - 82 31% -5  8 - 11 4 - 3 -11 -4 F+ C- F+ -7 B+ C- F
 Thu, Jan 29 96 @High Point L 67 - 82 8%
 Sat, Jan 31 253 Radford W 77 - 75 59%
 Sat, Feb 7 363 Gardner-Webb W 80 - 65 92%
 Thu, Feb 12 234 @Charleston Southern L 70 - 75 32%
 Sat, Feb 14 204 @UNC Asheville L 66 - 72 28%
 Thu, Feb 19 257 Longwood W 72 - 70 59%
 Sat, Feb 21 307 @South Carolina Upstate L 68 - 69 49%
 Thu, Feb 26 96 High Point L 70 - 79 22%
 Sat, Feb 28 126 @Winthrop L 67 - 78 15%
Totals 12 - 16 8 - 8 -6 -3 D+ C D -3 D+ C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.3 8.8 6.2 1.1 0.1 18.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 11.9 7.3 0.6 0.0 21.4 4th
5th 0.6 10.4 10.6 0.9 22.4 5th
6th 0.4 7.0 11.9 1.7 0.0 21.1 6th
7th 0.2 3.2 8.0 1.9 0.0 13.3 7th
8th 0.3 1.2 0.3 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
Total 0.5 4.8 16.0 25.7 26.5 17.0 7.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-4 28.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 1.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.4% 10.8% 10.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-5 1.8% 8.7% 8.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6
10-6 7.3% 5.4% 5.4% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 6.9
9-7 17.0% 2.9% 2.9% 15.8 0.1 0.4 16.5
8-8 26.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.7 25.9
7-9 25.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.5 25.2
6-10 16.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 15.8
5-11 4.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.8
4-12 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 15.8 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%