Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.7 #131
Expected Predictive Rating -0.9 #179
Pace 66.4 #250
Improvement +2.3 #84

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #256 D+ C- C+ C- D+
Defense #61 B+ B- D+ B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #327 1.11 #240 -4.4 #322
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #138 0.83 #76 +1.6 #92
Three Pointers 45% #91 0.92 #301 +0.0 #181
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #262 -2.9 #264
Freethrows 0.30 #191 67% #330 0.20 #237
Second Chance 30.5% #187 0.97 #286 0.29 #226
Turnovers 15.3% #112
Total Offense -3.1 #256

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #168 1.01 #30 +2.5 #95
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #61 0.71 #96 -0.9 #259
Three Pointers 36% #303 0.87 #26 +5.1 #15
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #23 +6.6 #23
Freethrows 0.29 #139 65% #4 0.19 #64
Second Chance 29.3% #124 0.94 #49 0.28 #83
Turnovers 15.0% #269
Total Defense +4.7 #61

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.3% #275 -0.9% #94
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.3% #245 -12.1% #16
Possession Length 17.8 #212 17.6 #227
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #295 0.14 #66
Improvement +1.7 #95 +0.6 #146

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.9% 3.7% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 0.7% 2.9% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 40.8% 20.8% 43.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Home) - 13.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 8
Quad 22 - 72 - 15
Quad 33 - 46 - 18
Quad 46 - 112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 107 @Florida Atlantic L 78 - 83 OT 30% -2  0 - 1 +2 -1 D+ A+ C +4 C+ A+ D
 Thu, Nov 6 347 The Citadel W 76 - 47 93% +11  1 - 1 +14 -0 F C A+ +16 A+ A- C
 Tue, Nov 11 293 Central Connecticut St. L 59 - 60 87% +4  1 - 2 -11 -16 F D+ D +5 C A B
 Sat, Nov 15 147 @Temple W 76 - 71 42% +5  2 - 2 +9 +5 D+ B- B+ +4 A+ C- F
 Tue, Nov 18 237 Hampton W 63 - 52 80% +12  3 - 2 +4 -6 F C C+ +11 A C B+
 Fri, Nov 21 129 Davidson L 49 - 59 50% -3  3 - 3 -8 -12 D- C- F +1 B+ A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 180 Tulane L 90 - 93 OT 62% -1  3 - 4 -5 +6 D+ C- A+ -11 C F F+
 Wed, Nov 26 178 Harvard W 73 - 60 72% +9  4 - 4 +9 +4 B F A+ +6 A+ B- D
 Wed, Dec 3 48 LSU L 69 - 78 OT 27% -4  4 - 5 -1 -7 D+ C- D- +6 A+ A C-
 Sat, Dec 6 339 New Haven W 67 - 63 93% -3  5 - 5 -11 -2 B+ F F -8 C+ C- F+
 Wed, Dec 10 170 Massachusetts L 74 - 76 60% -3  5 - 6 -3 +1 F C- B+ -4 A F B
 Mon, Dec 22 344 Fairleigh Dickinson W 72 - 61 93% -2  6 - 6 -4 +3 D+ A- A- -5 C+ B F
 Sun, Dec 28 284 Le Moyne W 72 - 64 86% +2  7 - 6 -2 -9 C F C +7 B+ A- B-
 Sat, Jan 3 110 @Georgia Tech L 53 - 65 32% -2  7 - 7 0 - 1 -5 -15 F D+ B- +10 B+ A+ B
 Tue, Jan 6 24 North Carolina St. L 71 - 79 15% -7  7 - 8 0 - 2 +5 +15 A+ B+ F+ -11 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 18 @Louisville L 62 - 75 5% +1  7 - 9 0 - 3 +8 -2 B- F A+ +10 C+ A+ B+
 Tue, Jan 13 32 @Clemson L 50 - 74 8% -11  7 - 10 0 - 4 -7 -9 B+ D- F +1 B+ D C+
 Sat, Jan 17 76 Syracuse W 81 - 73 OT 39% -2  8 - 10 1 - 4 +13 +3 C+ D A+ +9 C+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 21 94 Pittsburgh W 65 - 62 45% +1  9 - 10 2 - 4 +6 -1 C+ C B +7 A+ C F+
 Sat, Jan 24 80 @Notre Dame L 64 - 68 21% +4  9 - 11 2 - 5 +6 +2 D A+ C+ +3 A+ D D-
 Sat, Jan 31 22 Virginia L 62 - 74 14%
 Tue, Feb 3 3 @Duke L 56 - 81 1%
 Sat, Feb 7 40 Miami (FL) L 66 - 74 21%
 Wed, Feb 11 83 Stanford L 68 - 70 43%
 Sat, Feb 14 68 California L 66 - 70 36%
 Tue, Feb 17 105 @Florida St. L 70 - 76 29%
 Sat, Feb 21 37 @SMU L 66 - 81 8%
 Tue, Feb 24 69 Wake Forest L 68 - 72 38%
 Sat, Feb 28 40 @Miami (FL) L 63 - 77 9%
 Tue, Mar 3 60 @Virginia Tech L 64 - 75 15%
 Sat, Mar 7 80 Notre Dame L 65 - 67 42%
Totals 12 - 19 5 - 13 +2 -3 D+ C- C+ +5 B+ B- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.2 9th
10th 0.0 1.4 1.1 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.6 2.5 0.4 3.5 11th
12th 0.1 3.8 1.9 5.8 12th
13th 1.3 6.3 0.6 8.1 13th
14th 0.3 6.4 3.8 0.1 10.6 14th
15th 0.0 2.9 8.5 0.9 12.2 15th
16th 0.9 9.4 5.9 0.1 16.3 16th
17th 0.7 7.7 11.0 1.1 20.5 17th
18th 5.5 10.3 3.0 0.0 18.7 18th
Total 6.1 18.9 26.5 23.3 15.4 6.7 2.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.5% 0.5
8-10 2.4% 2.4
7-11 6.7% 6.7
6-12 15.4% 15.4
5-13 23.3% 23.3
4-14 26.5% 26.5
3-15 18.9% 18.9
2-16 6.1% 6.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.1%