UNC Greensboro
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#281
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#299
Pace68.9#201
Improvement+0.3#162

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#228
First Shot-1.3#211
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#237
Layup/Dunks-4.5#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#252
Freethrows+3.6#25
Improvement+2.1#43

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#318
First Shot-3.5#299
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#255
Layups/Dunks+0.6#151
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#328
Freethrows+1.2#108
Improvement-1.7#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.3% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 9.7% 12.6% 3.6%
.500 or above in Conference 41.2% 44.7% 33.7%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.2% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 5.6% 8.3%
First Four1.7% 1.8% 1.6%
First Round2.1% 2.5% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Home) - 68.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 49 - 911 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 67 @Kansas St. L 64-93 6%     0 - 1 -17.7 -12.6 -1.5
  Sat, Nov 8 190 Elon L 90-92 OT 44%     0 - 2 -6.9 +5.3 -12.1
  Wed, Nov 12 29 @North Carolina St. L 64-110 2%     0 - 3 -28.9 -5.8 -20.5
  Sat, Nov 15 192 Austin Peay L 63-69 44%     0 - 4 -11.1 -12.3 +1.4
  Thu, Nov 20 202 @Queens L 94-101 26%     0 - 5 -6.8 +18.8 -25.8
  Sun, Nov 23 166 Youngstown St. W 68-62 28%     1 - 5 +5.5 -5.3 +10.6
  Tue, Nov 25 282 Delaware L 60-73 50%     1 - 6 -19.5 -10.1 -10.6
  Wed, Nov 26 106 Miami (OH) L 71-82 16%     1 - 7 -7.1 -3.1 -3.7
  Tue, Dec 2 222 UNC Asheville L 77-82 39%     1 - 8 -8.6 +7.4 -16.4
  Sat, Dec 6 280 @East Carolina W 82-78 38%     2 - 8 +0.5 +10.1 -9.6
  Tue, Dec 16 310 N.C. A&T W 78-73 68%    
  Thu, Jan 1 225 Chattanooga W 75-74 51%    
  Sat, Jan 3 237 Samford W 76-75 52%    
  Wed, Jan 7 246 @Wofford L 72-77 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 123 @East Tennessee St. L 68-80 13%    
  Thu, Jan 15 361 The Citadel W 78-67 85%    
  Sat, Jan 17 168 Mercer L 77-80 40%    
  Wed, Jan 21 331 @VMI W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Jan 24 151 Furman L 72-76 35%    
  Thu, Jan 29 168 @Mercer L 74-83 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 361 @The Citadel W 75-70 69%    
  Wed, Feb 4 296 Western Carolina W 78-74 64%    
  Sun, Feb 8 151 @Furman L 69-79 19%    
  Wed, Feb 11 331 VMI W 78-71 73%    
  Sat, Feb 14 246 Wofford W 75-74 54%    
  Wed, Feb 18 296 @Western Carolina L 75-77 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 123 East Tennessee St. L 71-77 28%    
  Thu, Feb 26 225 @Chattanooga L 71-77 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 237 @Samford L 73-78 32%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.3 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.1 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.2 3.9 0.6 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.8 4.1 0.6 0.0 15.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.0 7.2 4.3 0.7 0.0 17.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.3 6.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 15.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.2 3.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.8 5.2 8.8 12.2 14.1 14.4 13.2 11.1 7.9 4.9 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 82.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1
14-4 50.1% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 21.3% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 13.4% 13.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.1% 13.6% 13.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-5 2.5% 13.1% 13.1% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.2
12-6 4.9% 8.6% 8.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.4
11-7 7.9% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.1 0.4 7.4
10-8 11.1% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.5 10.6
9-9 13.2% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 12.9
8-10 14.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 14.1
7-11 14.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.0
6-12 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.1
5-13 8.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.8
4-14 5.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.1
3-15 2.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.8
2-16 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 97.1 0.0%