Furman
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#151
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#152
Pace66.2#270
Improvement+4.8#4

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#134
First Shot+3.1#92
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#297
Layup/Dunks+3.3#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#129
Freethrows-1.2#259
Improvement+4.1#2

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#189
First Shot+0.6#142
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#282
Layups/Dunks+0.9#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#154
Freethrows+3.1#27
Improvement+0.8#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.4% 23.8% 18.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 92.5% 95.2% 84.6%
.500 or above in Conference 93.2% 94.2% 90.1%
Conference Champion 28.8% 31.3% 21.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round22.2% 23.7% 18.1%
Second Round1.1% 1.3% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Manhattan (Away) - 74.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 34 - 55 - 7
Quad 414 - 419 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 105 High Point L 71-97 37%     0 - 1 -22.0 -5.9 -14.9
  Fri, Nov 7 143 Troy L 61-64 59%     0 - 2 -4.9 -11.4 +6.5
  Fri, Nov 14 93 @Northern Iowa L 54-70 22%     0 - 3 -7.4 -5.9 -3.0
  Sun, Nov 23 202 Queens W 90-79 73%     1 - 3 +5.2 +19.0 -12.6
  Thu, Nov 27 102 Richmond W 73-72 35%     2 - 3 +5.7 +3.5 +2.2
  Fri, Nov 28 90 Illinois St. L 65-72 31%     2 - 4 -1.2 -3.0 +1.5
  Wed, Dec 3 190 @Elon W 97-88 48%     3 - 4 +10.1 +18.4 -8.5
  Sat, Dec 6 200 Harvard W 79-69 72%     4 - 4 +4.4 +5.7 -1.1
  Thu, Dec 18 320 @Manhattan W 80-73 74%    
  Sun, Dec 21 267 Charleston Southern W 78-69 80%    
  Wed, Dec 31 168 Mercer W 79-75 65%    
  Sat, Jan 3 296 Western Carolina W 80-69 85%    
  Wed, Jan 7 225 @Chattanooga W 73-72 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 331 VMI W 80-66 90%    
  Wed, Jan 14 237 @Samford W 75-73 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 246 Wofford W 77-69 77%    
  Wed, Jan 21 361 @The Citadel W 77-65 87%    
  Sat, Jan 24 281 @UNC Greensboro W 76-72 65%    
  Thu, Jan 29 237 Samford W 78-70 76%    
  Sun, Feb 1 225 Chattanooga W 76-69 74%    
  Wed, Feb 4 123 @East Tennessee St. L 70-75 31%    
  Sun, Feb 8 281 UNC Greensboro W 79-69 81%    
  Wed, Feb 11 168 @Mercer L 76-78 44%    
  Sat, Feb 14 331 @VMI W 77-69 76%    
  Wed, Feb 18 123 East Tennessee St. W 73-72 52%    
  Sat, Feb 21 246 @Wofford W 74-72 58%    
  Wed, Feb 25 361 The Citadel W 80-62 95%    
  Sat, Feb 28 296 @Western Carolina W 77-72 67%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 3.2 7.0 8.5 6.0 2.8 0.6 28.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 6.2 8.8 6.7 2.3 0.3 25.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.7 7.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 17.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.4 4.3 1.4 0.1 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.9 0.7 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.5 6.4 9.4 12.3 15.3 15.1 14.2 10.7 6.3 2.8 0.6 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
17-1 100.0% 2.8    2.8 0.0
16-2 94.8% 6.0    5.3 0.7 0.0
15-3 78.9% 8.5    6.1 2.3 0.1
14-4 49.5% 7.0    3.5 2.9 0.6 0.0
13-5 21.4% 3.2    1.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 28.8% 28.8 19.3 7.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.6% 54.7% 54.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-1 2.8% 50.0% 50.0% 12.5 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.4
16-2 6.3% 39.8% 39.8% 13.0 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.6 0.0 3.8
15-3 10.7% 36.8% 36.8% 13.5 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.7 0.3 6.8
14-4 14.2% 29.6% 29.6% 13.8 0.1 1.2 2.2 0.7 0.0 10.0
13-5 15.1% 23.6% 23.6% 14.2 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.1 0.1 11.6
12-6 15.3% 18.1% 18.1% 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.2 12.6
11-7 12.3% 14.4% 14.4% 14.9 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.3 10.6
10-8 9.4% 11.2% 11.2% 15.2 0.1 0.6 0.3 8.3
9-9 6.4% 8.5% 8.5% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 5.8
8-10 3.5% 5.5% 5.5% 15.7 0.1 0.1 3.3
7-11 1.9% 4.9% 4.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.8
6-12 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9
5-13 0.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 22.4% 22.4% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.6 8.1 5.3 1.4 77.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 11.3 1.4 2.7 56.2 39.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%