West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.3 #328
Expected Predictive Rating -6.9 #276
Pace 69.8 #155
Improvement -2.1 #285

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #296 D- C C D+ F
Defense #335 D C- D+ C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #300 1.01 #334 -5.1 #337
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% #8 0.79 #133 +5.8 #8
Three Pointers 32% #343 0.92 #297 -6.3 #344
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #329 -5.6 #329
Freethrows 0.26 #303 72% #205 0.19 #298
Second Chance 30.5% #185 1.05 #175 0.32 #169
Turnovers 16.9% #212
Total Offense -4.6 #296

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% #3 1.24 #283 -7.6 #361
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #305 0.83 #294 +1.0 #116
Three Pointers 36% #318 1.09 #286 +1.4 #127
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #326 -5.2 #326
Freethrows 0.31 #206 72% #145 0.22 #200
Second Chance 32.0% #247 1.05 #185 0.33 #227
Turnovers 14.3% #305
Total Defense -5.8 #335

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -4.1% #358 2.5% #355
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.3% #300 7.4% #312
Possession Length 18.3 #269 16.6 #59
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #240 0.25 #353
Improvement -0.6 #214 -1.6 #275

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 7.3% 17.7% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 20.8% 40.7% 13.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 2.1% 9.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Austin Peay (Home) - 26.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 410 - 1011 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 13 @Nebraska L 53 - 86 1% -11  0 - 1 -11 -9 F B B+ -2 A F C
 Mon, Nov 10 34 @UCLA L 62 - 83 1% -11  0 - 2 -4 +1 A- C- F -7 D B- B
 Fri, Nov 14 351 The Citadel W 100 - 92 71% +8  1 - 2 -8 +10 C+ A B- -19 F B F
 Mon, Nov 17 338 @Tennessee Tech W 61 - 59 42% +6  2 - 2 -6 -12 F F F +6 A- C B+
 Fri, Nov 21 307 South Carolina Upstate W 72 - 64 55% +4  3 - 2 -4 -6 D- A- F +2 A B D-
 Sun, Nov 23 111 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 82 7% -3  3 - 3 -9 -3 D+ D+ B+ -6 D+ F+ C
 Mon, Dec 1 113 @Troy W 93 - 89 2OT 7% -0  4 - 3 +10 +5 D+ D+ A+ +5 D+ A+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 338 Tennessee Tech L 59 - 87 65% -11  4 - 4 -42 -20 F C+ F -23 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 245 Georgia Southern L 85 - 91 40% -9  4 - 5 -14 +3 D+ A+ F -17 D- F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 29 @Georgia L 74 - 103 1% -20  4 - 6 -11 -4 F+ C D -3 B+ D- D+
 Thu, Jan 1 303 Bellarmine W 87 - 85 54% +6  5 - 6 1 - 0 -9 +4 D D- A+ -14 F+ B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 263 Eastern Kentucky W 88 - 76 43% -1  6 - 6 2 - 0 +3 +8 C- B+ B -5 D+ C- F+
 Thu, Jan 8 348 @North Florida W 85 - 73 46% +6  7 - 6 3 - 0 +3 +0 C- D+ C +2 B+ F C+
 Sat, Jan 10 285 @Jacksonville L 43 - 75 28% -20  7 - 7 3 - 1 -36 -23 F F+ F -19 F A F
 Thu, Jan 15 329 @Stetson L 86 - 95 39% -4  7 - 8 3 - 2 -16 +6 D- B- B+ -22 F C- B-
 Sat, Jan 17 232 @Florida Gulf Coast L 72 - 90 19% -6  7 - 9 3 - 3 -19 -4 F+ F A- -15 F F C+
 Thu, Jan 22 219 Central Arkansas L 65 - 86 35% -9  7 - 10 3 - 4 -27 -9 C A+ F -20 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 199 Queens W 74 - 66 32% +4  8 - 10 4 - 4 +2 -2 B- D- F+ +5 A- D+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 303 @Bellarmine L 74 - 77 32% -8  8 - 11 4 - 5 -8 +2 D C- C- -11 F D F+
 Sat, Jan 31 172 Austin Peay L 72 - 78 27%
 Thu, Feb 5 348 North Florida W 88 - 83 68%
 Sat, Feb 7 285 Jacksonville L 70 - 71 50%
 Wed, Feb 11 330 @North Alabama L 73 - 76 39%
 Sat, Feb 14 219 @Central Arkansas L 70 - 80 18%
 Wed, Feb 18 263 @Eastern Kentucky L 74 - 82 23%
 Sat, Feb 21 199 @Queens L 75 - 86 16%
 Wed, Feb 25 169 Lipscomb L 73 - 80 26%
 Sat, Feb 28 330 North Alabama W 76 - 73 62%
Totals 11 - 17 7 - 11 -10 -5 D- C C -6 D C- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.8 0.1 2.8 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 5.9 3.3 0.3 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 2.0 9.9 6.1 0.7 0.0 18.8 6th
7th 0.4 8.4 8.3 0.9 0.0 18.0 7th
8th 0.1 4.1 10.6 2.1 0.1 16.8 8th
9th 1.0 8.8 3.8 0.1 13.7 9th
10th 0.1 3.6 5.8 0.5 10.1 10th
11th 0.6 3.6 1.1 0.0 5.4 11th
12th 1.2 0.9 0.0 2.1 12th
Total 1.9 9.3 20.3 25.4 22.4 13.5 5.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 33.3% 0.0    0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.3
11-7 1.5% 1.5
10-8 5.5% 5.5
9-9 13.5% 13.5
8-10 22.4% 22.4
7-11 25.4% 25.4
6-12 20.3% 20.3
5-13 9.3% 9.3
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.9%