IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.5	#221
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.4	#173
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.1	#266

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.3	#175

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.2%	15.9%	6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.3	12.9	13.9

.500 or above	42.4%	72.1%	41.1%
.500 or above in Conference	62.1%	81.8%	61.2%
Conference Champion	7.1%	17.6%	6.6%
Last Place in Conference	5.2%	1.8%	5.3%

First Four	0.3%	0.0%	0.4%
First Round	7.2%	16.0%	6.8%
Second Round	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Away) - 4.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 5	3 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 5	13 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2025	44	@ SMU	L	63-82	4%
Nov 08, 2025	274	@ Tarleton St.	L	64-65	48%
Nov 11, 2025	13	@ Kansas	L	58-82	1%
Nov 16, 2025	73	@ Oklahoma St.	L	68-82	10%
Nov 28, 2025	50	@ Xavier	L	63-80	6%
Dec 06, 2025	218	@ Lamar	L	64-67	39%
Dec 17, 2025	212	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	66-69	38%
Dec 29, 2025	233	Nicholls St.	W	71-67	62%
Dec 31, 2025	312	New Orleans	W	77-69	75%
Jan 03, 2026	270	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	73-74	48%
Jan 05, 2026	289	@ Houston Christian	W	67-66	52%
Jan 10, 2026	255	@ Northwestern St.	L	65-66	45%
Jan 12, 2026	333	@ East Texas A&M	W	70-66	63%
Jan 17, 2026	243	SE Louisiana	W	71-67	63%
Jan 19, 2026	96	McNeese St.	L	64-70	31%
Jan 24, 2026	209	@ Incarnate Word	L	66-70	38%
Jan 26, 2026	270	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	76-71	67%
Jan 31, 2026	289	Houston Christian	W	70-63	71%
Feb 02, 2026	209	Incarnate Word	W	69-67	58%
Feb 07, 2026	233	@ Nicholls St.	L	68-70	42%
Feb 09, 2026	312	@ New Orleans	W	74-72	57%
Feb 14, 2026	218	Lamar	W	67-64	59%
Feb 16, 2026	212	Stephen F. Austin	W	69-66	58%
Feb 21, 2026	96	@ McNeese St.	L	61-73	17%
Feb 23, 2026	243	@ SE Louisiana	L	68-70	43%
Feb 28, 2026	255	Northwestern St.	W	68-63	65%
Mar 02, 2026	333	East Texas A&M	W	73-63	78%
Projected Record						12 - 15	12 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-22	1-21	2-20	3-19	4-18	5-17	6-16	7-15	8-14	9-13	10-12	11-11	12-10	13-9	14-8	15-7	16-6	17-5	18-4	19-3	20-2	21-1	22-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.9	1.5	1.7	1.5	0.9	0.3	0.1		7.1	1st
2nd													0.0	0.2	1.2	2.5	3.6	2.7	1.4	0.4	0.1				12.0	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.4	2.0	3.6	3.4	1.8	0.5	0.0	0.0					11.8	3rd
4th											0.0	0.5	2.3	3.9	3.0	1.1	0.2	0.0							11.0	4th
5th										0.0	0.4	2.5	4.1	2.7	0.7	0.1	0.0								10.5	5th
6th									0.0	0.4	2.3	4.1	2.4	0.6	0.0										9.7	6th
7th								0.0	0.5	2.2	3.7	2.1	0.5	0.0											9.1	7th
8th							0.0	0.5	2.2	3.3	1.9	0.4	0.0												8.3	8th
9th					0.0	0.0	0.6	1.8	2.7	1.6	0.3	0.0													7.0	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.7	1.4	2.2	1.0	0.2	0.0														5.7	10th
11th			0.0	0.2	0.6	1.4	1.5	0.6	0.1	0.0															4.5	11th
12th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0																3.2	12th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.7	2.7	3.8	5.1	6.6	7.7	8.7	9.7	9.6	9.4	8.6	7.3	6.4	4.8	3.1	1.9	1.0	0.3	0.1			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
22-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
21-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
20-2	93.5%	0.9		0.8	0.1
19-3	76.6%	1.5		1.2	0.3	0.0
18-4	54.9%	1.7		1.1	0.5	0.1
17-5	30.6%	1.5		0.7	0.6	0.1	0.0
16-6	13.4%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0
15-7	3.3%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-8	0.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-9	0.1%	0.0			0.0		0.0
12-10	0.0%
11-11	0.0%

Total	7.1%	7.1		4.4	2.1	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
22-0	0.1%		72.2%	72.2%		11.1						0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
21-1	0.3%		49.3%	49.3%		11.8												0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2
20-2	1.0%		45.4%	45.4%		12.3											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.5
19-3	1.9%		39.5%	39.5%		12.7												0.0	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.2
18-4	3.1%		29.3%	29.3%		13.2												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1		2.2
17-5	4.8%		26.7%	26.7%		13.8													0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	3.5
16-6	6.4%		18.3%	18.3%		14.2													0.0	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.0	5.2
15-7	7.3%		12.5%	12.5%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	6.4
14-8	8.6%		8.6%	8.6%		15.9													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.1	7.8
13-9	9.4%		3.7%	3.7%		16.7														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	9.0
12-10	9.6%		2.3%	2.3%		18.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	9.4
11-11	9.7%		1.3%	1.3%		18.3															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.5
10-12	8.7%		0.7%	0.7%		18.3																	0.1	8.6
9-13	7.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.7
8-14	6.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.6
7-15	5.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
6-16	3.8%																							3.8
5-17	2.7%																							2.7
4-18	1.7%																							1.7
3-19	1.0%																							1.0
2-20	0.5%																							0.5
1-21	0.2%																							0.2
0-22	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		7.2%	7.2%	0.0%	14.3						0.0			0.0		0.0	0.2	0.9	1.8	2.1	1.6	0.7	92.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%