American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
53 South Florida 55.8%   11   22 - 8 15 - 3 +10.8      +5.7 63 +5.1 51 76.9 18 +9.4 64 +11.6 1
65 Tulsa 32.3%   24 - 6 13 - 5 +9.1      +8.0 39 +1.1 139 69.1 156 +9.2 66 +7.5 3
87 Wichita St. 15.5%   20 - 10 13 - 5 +6.6      +2.4 110 +4.2 70 66.6 228 +5.7 97 +7.7 2
124 UAB 0.0%   19 - 12 11 - 7 +2.5      +0.5 153 +2.0 119 72.4 75 +2.9 120 +4.5 4
128 Florida Atlantic 0.0%   16 - 15 9 - 9 +2.2      -0.1 168 +2.3 112 73.0 64 +1.8 131 +1.2 5
129 Memphis 0.0%   13 - 19 8 - 10 +2.1      -1.0 192 +3.1 91 73.9 40 +0.9 141 +0.4 9
135 North Texas 0.0%   17 - 14 9 - 9 +1.7      -3.9 277 +5.6 42 63.6 312 +2.0 128 +0.6 6
150 Temple 0.0%   15 - 16 8 - 10 +0.5      +1.4 131 -0.9 200 63.7 309 -1.2 185 -2.0 10
169 Charlotte 2.6%   16 - 16 9 - 9 -0.3      +3.1 95 -3.3 274 61.0 349 +0.2 152 +0.6 8
205 Tulane 0.0%   17 - 15 8 - 10 -2.2      -1.2 199 -1.1 209 67.1 220 +1.0 137 +0.6 7
224 Rice 0.0%   11 - 18 7 - 11 -3.6      -0.4 175 -3.1 269 64.7 281 -3.7 232 -2.3 11
235 East Carolina 0.0%   10 - 20 6 - 12 -4.5      -3.2 261 -1.2 215 70.8 113 -5.6 251 -4.0 12
335 Texas San Antonio 0.0%   3 - 25 1 - 17 -12.1      -6.2 324 -5.9 327 71.2 107 -12.3 338 -15.7 13


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Mar 11 128 Florida Atlantic 63 150 Temple 59   
Wed, Mar 11 129 Memphis 69 205 Tulane 81   
Thu, Mar 12 128 Florida Atlantic 70 135 North Texas 74   
Thu, Mar 12 169 Charlotte 74 205 Tulane 60   
Fri, Mar 13 169 Charlotte 83 124 UAB 78   
Fri, Mar 13 135 North Texas 84 65 Tulsa 90   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Mar 14 65 Tulsa 77 87 Wichita St. 75 60%   
Sat, Mar 14 169 Charlotte 72 53 South Florida 83 85%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
South Florida 1.0 100.0
Wichita St. 2.0 100.0
Tulsa 2.0 100.0
UAB 4.0 100.0
North Texas 5.0 100.0
Charlotte 5.7 25.4 74.6
Florida Atlantic 5.7 25.4 74.6
Tulane 7.2 25.4 74.6
Memphis 8.3 74.6 25.4
Temple 8.3 74.6 25.4
Rice 11.0 100.0
East Carolina 12.0 100.0
Texas San Antonio 13.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
South Florida 15 - 3 23 - 8 100.0
Wichita St. 13 - 5 20 - 11 100.0
Tulsa 13 - 5 25 - 6 100.0
UAB 11 - 7 19 - 12 100.0
North Texas 10 - 9 18 - 14 25.4 74.6
Charlotte 9 - 9 16 - 17 100.0
Florida Atlantic 9 - 9 16 - 15 100.0
Tulane 8 - 11 17 - 16 74.6 25.4
Memphis 8 - 10 13 - 19 100.0
Temple 8 - 10 15 - 16 100.0
Rice 7 - 11 11 - 18 100.0
East Carolina 6 - 12 10 - 20 100.0
Texas San Antonio 1 - 17 3 - 25 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Florida 100.0% 100.0
Wichita St.
Tulsa
UAB
North Texas
Charlotte
Florida Atlantic
Tulane
Memphis
Temple
Rice
East Carolina
Texas San Antonio


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Florida 55.8% 52.9% 2.9% 11   0.1 1.5 13.0 39.8 1.4 44.2 6.2%
Tulsa 32.3% 29.1% 3.3% 0.0 0.7 25.2 6.4 0.0 67.7 4.6%
Wichita St. 15.5% 15.5% 0.0% 0.1 8.3 6.9 0.2 84.6 0.0%
UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Memphis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Temple 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charlotte 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.2 1.7 0.7 97.4 0.0%
Tulane 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
East Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.1 93.8 6.1 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 96.8 3.2 0.0
2nd Round 24.3% 0.2 75.7 24.1 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 4.8% 0.0 95.2 4.8 0.0
Elite Eight 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Florida 55.8% 2.2% 54.7% 15.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tulsa 32.3% 3.2% 30.5% 6.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wichita St. 15.5% 0.0% 15.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UAB 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Atlantic 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Memphis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Texas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Temple 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte 2.6% 0.0% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tulane 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rice 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas San Antonio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%