Tulane
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#207
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#169
Pace67.0#249
Improvement-1.3#268

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#144
First Shot+3.0#97
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#315
Layup/Dunks-0.3#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#230
Freethrows+3.8#19
Improvement-3.1#355

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#301
First Shot-2.3#252
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#290
Layups/Dunks+4.9#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#297
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#355
Freethrows+1.0#117
Improvement+1.8#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 13.9
.500 or above 25.5% 33.9% 15.3%
.500 or above in Conference 17.8% 21.1% 13.7%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 19.7% 16.6% 23.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Home) - 54.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 7
Quad 34 - 75 - 14
Quad 49 - 314 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 232 Samford W 85-72 65%     1 - 0 +6.0 +13.7 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 8 239 Texas St. W 79-71 66%     2 - 0 +0.6 +8.1 -7.1
  Tue, Nov 11 325 @Louisiana W 66-62 64%     3 - 0 -2.7 -0.8 -1.5
  Fri, Nov 14 245 New Orleans L 63-85 68%     3 - 1 -29.8 -11.1 -20.2
  Fri, Nov 21 43 Utah St. L 75-96 10%     3 - 2 -9.7 +8.2 -18.3
  Sun, Nov 23 150 Boston College W 93-90 OT 36%     4 - 2 +3.7 +13.1 -9.8
  Fri, Nov 28 258 Nicholls St. W 82-72 70%     5 - 2 +1.6 +7.6 -5.8
  Tue, Dec 2 284 Grambling St. W 65-63 74%     6 - 2 -7.7 -1.6 -5.8
  Sat, Dec 6 65 Akron L 71-88 21%     6 - 3 -11.6 -5.2 -6.2
  Sat, Dec 13 89 UC San Diego L 67-93 20%     6 - 4 -20.2 -11.2 -6.3
  Wed, Dec 17 179 Louisiana Tech W 68-67 55%    
  Sat, Dec 20 178 Portland St. W 73-72 55%    
  Wed, Dec 31 287 @East Carolina W 74-73 53%    
  Sun, Jan 4 118 Florida Atlantic L 76-79 38%    
  Sat, Jan 10 286 @Texas San Antonio W 75-74 53%    
  Wed, Jan 14 110 UAB L 74-78 37%    
  Sun, Jan 18 146 North Texas L 67-68 47%    
  Wed, Jan 21 118 @Florida Atlantic L 73-82 19%    
  Sun, Jan 25 195 @Charlotte L 69-73 37%    
  Wed, Jan 28 86 South Florida L 76-83 28%    
  Sun, Feb 1 76 @Memphis L 69-83 11%    
  Sun, Feb 8 98 Wichita St. L 69-74 32%    
  Wed, Feb 11 163 Temple W 78-77 51%    
  Sun, Feb 15 110 @UAB L 71-81 19%    
  Wed, Feb 18 146 @North Texas L 64-71 27%    
  Sun, Feb 22 210 Rice W 74-71 61%    
  Wed, Feb 25 83 Tulsa L 73-80 26%    
  Sun, Mar 1 86 @South Florida L 73-86 13%    
  Thu, Mar 5 163 @Temple L 74-80 30%    
  Sun, Mar 8 76 Memphis L 72-80 25%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 1.9 0.7 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.8 1.5 0.1 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.0 2.9 0.4 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.5 1.0 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.5 2.1 0.1 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.1 3.4 0.3 0.0 14.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.9 7.6 4.0 0.6 0.0 16.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 4.5 6.3 3.4 0.6 0.0 16.2 12th
13th 0.4 1.7 3.7 3.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 11.4 13th
Total 0.4 1.8 5.0 8.9 12.3 15.0 15.2 13.0 10.6 7.8 4.8 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 92.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 53.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 19.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 7.5% 7.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 8.6% 8.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.4% 5.1% 5.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
11-7 2.7% 4.0% 4.0% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.6
10-8 4.8% 2.0% 2.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.7
9-9 7.8% 1.2% 1.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7
8-10 10.6% 0.9% 0.9% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5
7-11 13.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 13.0
6-12 15.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.1
5-13 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
4-14 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.3
3-15 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.9
2-16 5.0% 5.0
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%